Author: pat
NFL Plays
Plays for my NFL pick ATS League
Jacksonville @ Indy (-3)
St Louis (+7.5) @ Chicago
NE Pats @ Baltimore (-3)
And now for some genuine degeneracy…
St Louis (+7, -108) 15 Units
Redskins/Bengals under 49.5 -102 17 Units
Bills/Browns under 45.5 -105 19 Units
And wait for it…
Jets ML (-147), Indy ML (-181), Lions/Titans under 47 (-104) 12 Units
Football Play
One play for the “weekend” at the moment.
Panthers/Giants 1st half under 24.5 -128
27 Units
Too many injuries one would assume for a legitimate point total. See what happens.
NFL Picks
How about Western Kentucky? My picks for my NFL picks league…
Minnesota (-1) @ Indy
Oakland (-1) @ Miami
Chiefs (+3) @ Buffalo
Side action at this moment….
Arizona @ Pats (-13)
Balt (+3) @ Philly
Jags/Texans under 40
More to follow?
NFL Pick League
For the NFL pick league I am in I have the following…
Miami @ Houston (-11)
Philly (-8) @ Cleveland
Jaguars @ Minnesota (-4)
Tackle Football – Professional
Over/Under Contest. As Lou Lou noted I am currently in a drought on these. Forward!
#5 Arizona (under 7)
For a team that everyone knows will probably suck, the NFL did Arizona few favors with this schedule. The firs half is tough, and the second half is brutal. They will be a home favorite against the Rams in Week 12, but outside of that, goodness.
#4 Patriots (under 12)
I understand that people are down on the AFC East. But what books are essentially asking the Pats to do to hit this over is sweep the division. That might happen, but I am betting against it. Night road games against the Ravens and Jets, tough home games against the Texans and 49ers. Twelve is asking quite a bit from a team that lost to every half-way legitimate team they played last year outside of Baltimore, who will probably be hungry for revenge.
#3 Dolphins (under 7.5)
As ush. Louis has already analyzed this and I second everything. At this moment in time, 7.5 might as well be 15.
#2 Tennessee (over 7)
Titans have a very reasonable schedule. Chris Johnson is still a premier back. IMO this line is an entire game off. Only danger I see is if Locker struggles significantly but they keep throwing him out there in the name of future franchise improvement.
#1 Buffalo (over 7.5)
Have you seen the last 7 weeks of Buffalo’s schedule???
Tackle Football – “Amateur”
Only game I like at this point is…
Western Kentucky (+38) @ Alabama
Justification on this – W Kentucky favors a ball control style of play. It’s going to be difficult just in terms of sheer time for Alabama to cover if W Kentucky puts together a couple of decent drives.
We’ll see if I like anything more as the afternoon wears on…
Baseball Play
I would really like this a whole ton more if I was getting a better payout, but I am bending to Vegas’ will on this and accepting something at essentially even money.
Arizona (+108) @ Atlanta
D’Backs have a young pitcher Bauer who is supposed to be the bees knees. The fact that the Braves are putting out Jurrjens or however you spell it is nice (since he’s been so hittable this year) but not fundamental to the bet. It’s all about Bauer. As a final note on this, I thought I was pretty hot shit knowing stuff about this guy…I had Sportscenter on for about 20 seconds this morning and they were talking about how this kid is still available in about half the espn fantasy leagues. They were putting things in a positive light as in, “be the first in your league to grab him. He may still be available!” I’m shocked it’s already that high, though. Very glass half empty feel to this. We’ll see…
Baseball Plays
Not crazy about either of these bets but I’m hungover, slightly bored, and the proud owner of the MLB package, so why not. I have
NYY (+160ish) @ Detroit
Seattle @ CWS (under 8)
By Verlandean standards, Justin has been pretty bad recently, and the Yankees are the Yankees. I think honestly the best bet in the Seattle/W Sox game is betting on Sale, but I picked up Milwood in “super-dork league”* so I simply can’t bet against him. Both Milwood and Sale have been pitching well recently, so I’ll gamble on the under. I could literally see this coming down to the wire, like a 4-3 game in the 9th with men on base. See what happens.
* Phrase by Louis
Baseball Play
I like the Oakland A’s tonight as a slight, slight underdog against the Angels. LA’s pitcher Jerome Williams has been excellent this year after a poor first outing against the Yankees. But the Angels are injury-riddled at the moment, and A’s pitcher Tommy Milone is fully capable of pitching a gem himself.
The Play : A’s (+105) 20 Units
