Author: pat
NCAA Picks
Rankings, momentum, recruiting classes, new coaches. These are all super things that people can look to to try to gauge the relative strengths of a team as a new season starts. But is there honestly a better determinant in figuring out just where a team lies in the pecking order, than by asking a team one simple question?
Coach : Well, we are really fired up about our team this year. We have some strong guys coming back from last year, combined with a new crop that we are just all kinds of excited about. We are confident in our abilities heading into this year.
Reporter : That’s great, coach. Now, I’m sorry, I just don’t have the paperwork in front of me. Do you open at home, or on the road this year?
That’s what it really boils down to. Of the 18 games pinnacle has lines up for today so far, exactly 3 of the teams are road favorites. This is a little misleading since it’s college bball there are mini tourneys going on where no one is technically home, but you get the point.
Went 4-6 yesterday on picks. Let’s see what I like today…
Portland (+15.5) @ Ohio
I am trying a new technique with the early season so far, which obviously was decidedly mediocre last night. But the point is that of the 18 games this is the only one that fits. If pinnacle posts some more lines I’ll have more to play with, we’ll see.
NCAA BBall
College Bball! No matter where you live, if you follow gambling lines there are always a change of seasons. College basketball is the truest gambling winter sport if you think about it. Played from mid-November til around April 1. Here’s what I have for today…
Bryant (+33.5) @ Indiana
Denver (+3.5) @ Iona
Georgia St @ Duke (-20.5)
Maryland (+11.5) @ Kentucky
Mississippi St @ Troy (+5.5)
North Dakota (+20.5) @ Kansas St
Southern Utah (+24) @ Gonzaga
Towson @ Charleston (+16)
UC Riverside (+18) @ Depaul
UC Santa Barbara @ LSU (-8)
Scrutinizing my own picks it looks like I do not have a healthy respect for college bball faves at the moment. See how things play out.
NFL Plays
Buffalo Wild Wing commercials, I realized what’s messed up about them. They only show people where their team is winning. They never show the Cleveland Buffalo Wild Wings, where conversations go something like this,
Guy One “So remind me why the fuck we came here.”
Guy Two “I could be working on my lawn right now.”
At any whoots, I think if the Giants, ie The Most Ever Team Schizophrenic (had to stretch to get METS) have shown us anything these days it is that the final score is going to be either 34-7 (infamous) Giants or 17-10 Cleveland. Those are the only possible outcomes. What both of these results have in common…they both hit the under, the only safe bet going. Cleveland is going to rely on Trent Richardson and that is that. With “that” said, the under is currently 43 and I am assuming it will only go higher as time gets nearer to kick-off. I will update with the final number but I will assuredly be taking the under. Other stuff.
Cincy and the Under
Wash and the Under
Philly Under
And the Giants under hit 44. As i write this, T Richardson scored before time started on the clock so my bet is already rock solid. Good luck, bitches
NFL Plays
I think I am 1-8 in my pick em league right now. Forward! Those picks…
Titans (+12) @ Houston
Carolina (+7) @ Atlanta
NE Pats @ Buffalo (+4)
And some side degeneracy…
Seattle @ St LouisUnder39.5
Almost certainly more to follow…
Rideher Cup Follow-Up
Go USA, I swear. With that said, here are plays I have made.
Luke Donald v Bubba Watson (+116) – 10 Units
Ian Poulter (-128) v Webb Simpson – 11 Units
Nick Colsaerts (-105) v Dustin Johnson – 10 Units
Lee Westwood (+124) v Matt Kuchar – 7 Units
UPDATE
Normally would not like betting against Rory, but for anyone else watching this he showed up late to his match, minutes before his tee time. Plus I owe the U.S. some love
Rory McIlroy v Keegan Bradley (+121) 9 Units
Rideher Cup
Leans I am thinking of going into the last day…
L Donald vs B Watson (-102)
I Poulter (-145) vs W Simpson
N Colsaerts (-102) vs D Johnson
Looking at the match-ups, I don’t like saying it, and because I have a soul I couldn’t do it, but Europe at +600 is not a bad idea either…
NFL Winners
Raiders ML (+180) 50 Units
Houston @ Denver under (43.5, -105) 55 Units
Eagles (-3, -123) @ Arizona 44 Units
NFL 2nd half Drunk Bafoonery
Skins/Bengals 2nd half under 24 (-115) 44 to win 38.26
Titans 2nd half (+11, -320) 30 to win 9.38
MLB Tweener
Something in between increasingly drunken NFL bets…and speaking of drinking, check out the rationale
SD Padres (-1.5, +111) 20 Units
SD Padres ML (-151) 28 Units
Giants clinched NL West last night. I am guessing they got ripped last night. Plus they are pitching someone named Petit.