Easter Sinner
Jannik Sinner dominated the Miami Open over the last couple of weeks, an occurrence which has prompted me to look up Future Lines for the remaining 2024 Grand Slams. I have zero issues on most of the lines…Alcaraz and Djok are clear #1 and #2 respectively for the French, Nadal at #3 seems highly optimistic but who knows. Same at Wimbledon, where last year Alcaraz somewhat stunningly won his first grass tournament at Queens Club and then improbably followed that up with his first Wimbledon title. Alcaraz and Djok running 1A/1B there seems very justified…
But the US Open odds are where things seem super interesting. If you go back to early/mid January, the Future Odds were more or less this…
Djok +125
Alcaraz +150
Medvedev +800
Sinner +800
But lets move forward to a post-AO ’24 world…
Djok +125
Alcaraz +160
Sinner +350
Medvedev +700
Over the last few months, Jannik wins his first major (taking down Djok in the process) and destroys the field (incl Medvedev) in Miami. He compiles a record of 16-1 (all on hard-courts). His lone loss comes to Alcaraz in SFs @ Indian Wells, a match Vegas makes Sinner a slight favorite in…So if Sinner is strolling around beating Djok and Meddy, while being favored over Alcaraz, I think a smart move is to capitalize on the “line lag” going on with the US Open. Yes, Sinner has yet to win in New York…The furthest Sinner has gone @ US is QF 2022 (5-setter vs Alcaraz), and he gets bounced LY in another 5-setter vs Zverev in the Round of 16. But again, that is pre-AO Sinner…The dam has been breached. I believe at this exact moment Sinner is the best hard-court player on the planet. Sinner (+350) ’24 US Open Future is the recommendation. There is a chance we don’t see a hard-court number this high next to Sinner for quite some time.
