Category: NFL
Miracle Cover Sunday
If you ever read a story with the words, “Floyd Mayweather did well,” combined with, “Vegas bookmakers lost…” it probably holds true that Lou also lost money on the same events.
Two last-second interceptions returned for touchdowns by the Denver Broncos and Arizona Cardinals delivered million-dollar blows to Las Vegas sports books, including a $600,000 hit from boxing champ Floyd Mayweather Jr.
I was lamenting ending up with a poor line for both the Jets and Washington, but it didn’t make a difference in the end. I shrugged my shoulders at the Geno Smith INT in the early games, but was a bit flustered after INT #2 in the afternoon, especially as I thought Arizona had run out the clock. I also think I saw a 23-20 final posted at some point. I’m reminded of the day 4-5 years ago when I refused to let Sean & Pat leave the bar with the Lions down 10 (but covering) in Seattle with under a minute to play and no other games to be found because “I was sweating a Matt Stafford Pick-Six.” He promptly threw said interception two plays later and I went home winless that day too.
And it was a miracle cover.
Four games in hockey including Avs-Bruins which has already started. No plays out of the bunch. Kansas City might be playable in baseball but it’s far too early to tell and will be close if it turns out to be good. Rams are the side to be on tonight at home to San Francisco and I’ll update if I end up taking them.
UPDATE: 49ers @ Rams +4 -115 Good price and a good line, we’ll see if the result works out.
Sunday
1-1 on our hockey plays yesterday pushing us to 1-3 for the season. Ottawa was a winner in the shootout, but Winnipeg was never in the game versus San Jose losing 3-0. Our initial NFL experiment was a failure with both the Redskins and Jets lines moving in the opposite direction, but that’s probably just an indication I picked the wrong teams this week. Nothing doing on either NHL game later today.
Saturday
Our leaner in Carolina last night was nowhere near good. Carolina as Pat mentioned is not a very good team right now. A couple of options tonight that I’m waffling on are Winnipeg and Ottawa at San Jose and Tampa respectively. I’ll also likely get NFL plays posted up tonight in an effort to get ahead of the ridiculous Sunday morning line movement that’s been happening the past few weeks.
UPDATE: Ottawa +160 @ Tampa
NFL for tomorrow:
Thursday Night Degeneracy
Continuing with the “favorite on TNF” theme, taking Colts -3 (settled at -3.5, started at -2.5) +105. Luck is 12-2 in career vs division opponents.
Also taking first NHL play of the year with Winnipeg +120 vs the Arizona Coyotes (wha?). The only time you’ll hear me say: Let’s go Jets!
MNF
Taking the Washington team +7.5 tonight vs Seattle. This is partly a hedge with my under bet with them.
Also hedging against VT in fantasy football as I am up vs his last player, Steven Hauschka, Seattle’s kicker. The Over for 2 Seattle FGs is -110
In his #Seahawks career, Pete Carroll has gone 14-5 ATS as a home favorite but only 6-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) October 6, 2014
NFL Week 5
BAL +3.5
DEN -7.5
CHI v CAR UNDER 46.5
NO v TB OVER 48
Also, Philly’s line is down to 4.5 at some books. I’d take at -4.5 but not at -6.
Teasers:
PHI -6
SF -6
DEN -7.5
and
PIT -7
CHI v CAR UNDER 46.5
NO v TB OVER 48
And a ML parlay for fun:
And here are your most bet on games of the day:
Most popular NFL parlays:#Eagles 90%#Steelers 89%#Chargers 84%#Saints 81%#Lions 78%
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) October 5, 2014
Most bet NFL games:
1. Bengals-Patriots
2. Jets-Chargers
3. Cardinals-Broncos
4. Bills-Lions— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) October 5, 2014
NFL Sunday
A lost week for me, I’ll get current season totals up in a bit. No NFL plays for me today, though I’m close on several, Tennessee, Carolina and Arizona the primary ones, but I will probably pass altogether.
Thursday Night Degeneracy
Ponder is starting tonight for the Vikes, so therefore I *must* take Green Bay -10 (-105) at home. I am also putting them in a teaser with the under at 47 (also a hedge with Matt Asiata, who I have in 2 fantasy leagues).
We’ll continue the MLB binge with taking the Angels at -1.5 at +115 at home versus the Royals and putting them and Green Bay in a parlay at +410.
Huge split for the Angels spread bet but I think betting against Ned Yost could be a profitable strategy for us:
Getting closer to first pitch and we're still seeing a 97%-3% split on #Angels–#Royals spread bets. #MLBPlayoffs
— Pinnacle (@Pinnacle) October 2, 2014
NFL Week 4
Chicago +2 (-110)
Green Bay might be a bad team. I hate betting on Jay Cutler but I’ll take the point when they are at home here. Plus it looks like Marshall is playing. This line has gone back ands forth from +1 to +2 all week.
Baltimore -3 (-120)
The Panthers are banged up and might only have 2 RBs available today. Cam Newton has been walking around like he’s in a nursing home due to a bad back. And it’s also Steve Smith III revenge day; also taking two props on him hitting the Over in Rec Yards at 69.5 and score a TD at +130.
Steelers -9 (+115) and Teaser: PIT -9 and Under 44.5
TB is the worst team in the league, and the Steelers can run the ball again for the first time since 2009.
Teaser: Dallas +3 and Over 54.5
This is an important game for both teams; its SNF which usually means a lot of points. More betting on the type of game here, close and high scoring, than on Dallas itself.
I’m also really tempted to take the Raiders ML +155 in London vs the Dolphins. Tannenhill’s last presser where he addressed his job made him sound like a used car salesman, just like his coach.
Here are your most bet on games of the day:
Most bet NFL games:
1. Falcons-Vikings
2. Packers-Bears
3. Saints-Cowboys
4. Eagles-49ers— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) September 28, 2014
