NFL Week 4

BUF -6.5 -110

Now at 7. Buffalo does sometimes play down to their competition (as they did last week vs the Chargers), but they should beat a frazzled Patriots team with no Gonzalez or Barmore on defense. I’ve already hedged out my Pats AFC East title position; they probably won’t even make the playoffs as things look that bad and the juju around the team b/t Kraft’s political bullshit, Vrabel and “InsideHerGate”, and Drake Maybe’s sophmore slump, is even worse.

TEN +11.5 -110

Did you know the Ravens are are 29-40-1 against the spread as favorites at home from 2017 through 2026? It seems like every time Lamar Jackson is a big favorite at home, not only does the other team cover, but like the Saints earlier this year (+9.5)… the dog wins outright. We are entering the “Sweat against Steelers’ Big Ben if 7 points or more as favorite on road” territory that helped us so well on Miracle Covers so well over the years.

DAL at HOU OVER 48.5 -110

Houston’s defense hasn’t been as stout as last year, and the offense is slightly improved. And Dallas’ defense is so bad, you might as well call them “Allas”, because there *is* no D.

MIN -9.5 -110

This Dolphins team fucking sucks.

PROPS: James Cook AT LEAST 2 TD +350; Ty Johnson AT LEAST 15 yards Rushing +260; J.Winston & D.Maye AT LEAST 1 INT +187; Javonte Williams AT LEAST 3 Receptions -124; Malik Willis Rushing Yards UNDER 31.5 -115; Brock Bowers Receptions OVER 6.5 -150; Dontayvion Wicks Receptions AT LEAST 5 +131

TEASER +145: BUF -6.5, JAX +2.5, DAL +2.5

DFS:

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