Miracle Covers

Thursday

Among many many other things, I’m grateful of late for other sports picking up for some terrible hockey plays of late. Detroit -7 to start the day with two options in LSU and San Francisco this evening

MNF Special

Thanks to inclement weather, we get to see TWO football games tonight.  One good, and the other involving the Bills and Jets.  They are playing in Detroit, but won’t be coached by Detroit, so the under (which I like at 42, 70% of the money is on the Over) might NOT be in play.  Take what Jim “I went to the Romeo Crennel School of Football Game Theory” Caldwell’s decision yesterday:

You definitely want to keep settling for field goals on the road against a team that averages 40 points a game.

— Bill Simmons (@BillSimmons) November 23, 2014

So I like Bills v Jets Under 42 (in Detroit), the over in the Baltimore/New Orleans game (51) and putting both in a parlay and a teaser.  I’m also going to take Bills -3 (+110), because I hate myself.

We’ll have some Turkey (betting) Tips for later in the week, including a probable return of the Celtics Over train (5-0) this week when they face Chicago.

Sunday

We had a 3-0 day in college football which helped to offset an 0-2 hockey day. The Carolina loss was particularly terrible as they effectively set the game on fire in the 3rd. NFL this week originally looked like there were going to be a lot of plays, but many of the games have now dropped off with the usual Sunday morning line moves. Detroit and Miami are the two primary sides here so I guess they are leans and not plays at this point.

One confirmed play today and that’s Green Bay @ Minnesota +8. This line is likely 7.5 at this point and peaked as high as 9.5 or 10 earlier in the week. I should have been more vigilant and taken it then but the +8 is good enough and I’m taking the moneyline at +305 as well. Hoping for 3 upsets in a row following the Jets and Rams he past two weeks.

The couple of other games I’ll peek at before 1:00 are Atlanta and Houston, but I’m not expecting anything to come about. Nothing in hockey or any other sport today. Good luck

NFL Week 12

SF -9 (-120) vs WAS

Washington is probably as of now the worst team in the league, and one of the worst run orgs in sports.  Jay Gruden, the head coach, ripped RGIII on Monday, saying that the QB should worry about just himself (which is correct; RGIII is acting like an entitled douche).  Then, the next day, took it back and apologized to RGIII in a press conference (way to win a locker room!  DeSean Jackson is thrilled!).  Then ownership, who its rumored made him do that, comes out today to say that Gruden is independent and can do what he wants (including benching the QB; I hope he doesn’t. They actually played well when he was under center).  SF is a hot mess too, but at least they are talented.  As a side note, I took both of these teams’ season unders (SF 10.5, WAS 7.5) so if this game ends in a tie (40-to-1 for those interested), it’s a double win!

TB +6 (-110) at CHI

The Lovie Smith Bowl.  Again, this line is way too high, should be CHI +3 to +4.5.  FWIW, the line has now moved to +5 (-120) and may end up in the Vegas zone at some point.

ARI at SEA Under 42

It was 41.  I think someone wins this game 17-10.  Big test to see if Cardinals are for real today.

TEASER (+260):

NE -7.5 (I never knew that Jim Caldwell actually ran the ball on 3rd and 9 from the 31 with 0:24 seconds and NO TIMEOUTS in that crazy Lions/Atlanta game.  He said, “it’s not that much of a risk”.  WTF!  Did he go to the Romeo Crennel school of head coaching?  I’ve never played Madden that bad after finishing a bottle of tequila!).

GB -9

SF -9

PHI -11

Thanks to Oakland on Thursday, I was almost as excited as these guys:

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