Division Round Saturday
Packers -7
The Rams defense has looked strong, but I just can’t take Jared Goff and the pins in his hand vs Aaron Rodgers on the road. Green Bay won’t make the same mistakes Seattle did to allow them to get that coveted lead so they can ground and pound clock. I do have two props for this one: OVER Receptions Aaron Jones 3.5 -125 and First score of the Game – Field Goal +150. I am also teasing this line with the Ravens.
Ravens +3.5 (-115)
Now at +2.5 (-105). I didn’t really like the way the Bills played last week: the play calling as too nitty in the beginning, the defense had issues against the run, giving up time of possession due to losing the battle at the line of scrimmage. Most importantly, they didn’t cover the spread despite having a 14 point lead in the 4th (yeah, I am salty). If it wasn’t for Frank Reich’s bad coaching decisions and Philip Rivers’ noodle arm missing a few key throws, they could of easily lost this game if not for Josh Allen and their fantastic passing attack. The Ravens are playing physical, Lamar is back in form, and their defense seems to have righted the ship from mid-season struggles. I do like the over 49.5 as well; both teams should score points, but the Bills will need to create turnovers and turn them into TDs. Should be a fun game, I could see it being 28-27 Ravens or Bills. The props I like in the game (there’s a ton):
– First to Score: Lamar Jackson +700; Josh Allen +800; JK Dobbins +250
– Anytime TD scorer: JK Dobbins -167, Gabriel Davis +250
– Over Rushing Yards: Gus Edwards 37.5 -114, Josh Allen 43 -200
– Over Receptions Dawson Knox 2.5 +100
DFS:
UFC BONUS:
Matt Brown vs Carlos Condit FIGHT GOES DISTANCE – YES @ +115
Max Holloway by Decision +125
