Month: December 2014
Monday
Both our NFL and NBA plays were easy winners yesterday. Hope some of you were following. I’ll get a season total posted on all sports soon. Plays on two of the three hockey games tonight featuring some of the same teams we have been enjoying and dreading the past 7-10 days:
New Jersey +170 @ Islanders
Ottawa @ Buffalo +130
No opinion on the Saints/Bears game tonight other than that most os you probably have better ways to be spending your time.
NFL Week 15
TB +3
Riding the Tampa train again; came close last week and we had a chance for miracle chopportunity at the end of the game as a drive petered out at the 10 yard line. No Cam Newton today; Derek Anderson beat the Bucs in Week 2 but they were a different team then and Tampa has been 60% ATS since their mauling in Atlanta.
CIN +1.5 (EVEN)
This started at +1 (-110). I don’t understand why it’s moving in the other direction, unless a bunch of fish are betting on Johnny Football. In their first meeting, AJ Green wasn’t playing and winds were at 15-20 mph in Cincinnati (which can be no jokes, especially for a QB like Dalton who has very little arm strength). This is also somewhat a hedge as I have taken both Baltimore (+450) and the Browns (+1200) to win the division.
TEASER: ATL +3 and OVER 55
This will be a close, entertaining, high score game with fail thrown in. Could be the game of the week. Means something to both teams.
TEASER (+450):
BAL -14, NE -10, KC -10, DET -8, CIN/CLE Under 44
Also a prop bet, which Darts hipped me onto the last time these two teams played: Over Total FG 3.5 (-110) in the SF at SEA game. These two teams kicked 6 FGs in their last meeting.
NOTES:
For those thinking about Miami, both Hightower and Chandler Jones are playing today.
Most bet NFL games:
1. Packers-Bills
2. Patriots-Dolphins
3. Cowboys-Eagles
Two most bet games are also the most lopsided: NE 77%, GB 75%.— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) December 14, 2014
Teams that will go Over their Season Win Total with a victory today:
Patriots
Packers
Eagles
Colts
Ravens
Steelers
Chargers
Texans
Vikings— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) December 14, 2014
NFL Sunday
Unlike Pat, I’m probably taking a single game and the line has since moved. Green Bay @ Buffalo +4 -115. Other leans this morning are Tampa, Kansas City, Washington and Miami. I will happily take Miami if it hits 10 but otherwise this and the other games are probably a pass. Will post any updates.
UPDATE: Bills easily covered the 4. Leans went 2-2. NBA because I’m an idiot Spurs -4
NFL
I say that but my first bet is…
Swansea v Tott Over 2.5 -116 @ 21
This is a flat out awful bet but I have a lot of fantasy players that need to do things so I am taking an anti-hedge. The reason I posted this as NFL is because I am going to bet on just about every football game in about 2 hours.
Saturday
NCAA:
Army/Navy Under 54.5 (GO ARMY! BEAT NAVY! OR AT LEAST COVER THE +16!)
NHL:
Anaheim +110
MMA:
Stipe Miocic +300
Palhares v Fitch Goes the Distance +350
Saturday
Day action in hockey, Carolina +135 @ Philadelphia. Flyers have been my bogey team this season so hopefully the streak ends here. The Army/Navy under I took early in the week at 61 is down to 55 or so. The officially streaking Buffalo Sabres are an option tonight as well as the terminally depressing Coyotes.
UPDATE: Hurricanes got smushed 5-1, but we everyone should easily hit their under barring some overtime inspired nonsense. Passing on everything else tonight.
Friday
Our busy day yesterday finished 1-3. The slog through this hockey season continues. NBA because I’m an idiot: Portland +2.5 @ Chicago.
TNF
NFL:
I’m taking Lou’s Rams, who have back-to-back shutouts, -5 vs Arizona (EVEN) and also throwing in a teaser with the Under 40. Rams have played well at home lately, partly in due to the fact they are motivated by the unfortunate events in Ferguson, MO……as well as the fact they have THE outside of outside shots at actually winning their division (they would need to win tonight, AND a SF win vs SEA this Sunday to stay alive).
NHL:
Minnesota +115
And for your enjoyment, the goal of the year below by Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey:
Jeez…. Soccer is crazy "@NFVines: Aaron Ramsey's goal https://t.co/isLDLyLDhY"
— Rocc Lesnar (@GirlThatsRocco) December 11, 2014
Thursday
Today might be our busiest day of the NHL season. We have a total of 5 game on the board at the moment. Not sure if they will all be plays or not. First in tackle football, the Rams line is up to -6 in some places from opening at 3 or 3.5. Just like it’s difficult to win money on double digit favorites, it’s just as difficult to win after multi point line moves. This is bookmakers begging for some Arizona action as the Rams are the “correct” side, but it’s a pass at even 5 much less 6.
NHL so far we are running back both teams from Tuesday:
Calgary @ Buffalo +145
New Jersey +115 @ Philadelphia
One west cost game confirmed:
Minnesota +115 @ San Jose
The last two up in the air are Phoenix and Ottawa. Will update here with any plays
UPDATE: Passed on Ottawa, going with Nashville @ Phoenix +140
Wednesday
Very close to a 2-0 day yesterday as Buffalo won 1-0 effectively aparcar el autobus in an effort that would make many Italian soccer managers proud. Devils lost in a shootout 3-2 behind a goalie making his first NHL start, Keith Kincaid, who mentioned in his post game interview that he doesn’t really like shootouts. He’s on the correct team as the Devils are approximately 1 for their last billion. So 1-1 +0.8 yesterday for us and 22-26 +1.51 for the season. Hopefully upward and onward from here.
Nothing doing tonight but there look to be some options for tomorrow.
