NCAA Football Totals

I’m debating betting college football this season and am currently dabbling in building some college football models and backtesting a couple of data sets against my spiffy excel sheet with lots of tabs.  Before any of you ask, I’m not actually going to watch any of these games, but I’m guessing line moves and something similar to what I have for baseball will work for college football.  That said, my knowledge is approximately zero on any of these teams, so this would be strictly a math and line movement model and thus weaker than what I have for baseball.  I say approximately zero knowledge because I did read a bunch of team previews last week and felt inspired enough to make the season bets below.  I won a medium sized bet on Stanford a couple of years ago, but they are the only team I’ve watched (other than their opponents) in maybe three years.  I’ll be happy if these turn a small profit.

Top Teams, Small Dollars

Alabama Over 11 -110

Oregon Over 10.5 -150

Worse Teams, Medium Dollars

Auburn Under 7 -150

Cincinnati Over 8.5 -135

Kansas Under 4 -130