2013 MLB Over/Unders
Please don’t actually use these to make your own wagers. Pat and I are historically terrible and went 3/10 and 4/10 respectively last season. These are friendly wagers between Pat & myself with confidence scoring used. Per usual, I like my first 5 much more than the last 5 as the lines seem to get more difficult every year.
Here’s my 10:
10) Miami Marlins Over 63
It’s extremely enjoyable to have bet real American dollars on this over while the entire baseball universe is making fun of this team with comments like ‘I’ve never heard of half this roster,’ ‘A 57 year old Placido Polanco is batting cleanup for them,’ and ‘Juan Pierre.’ All of these comments are true, but it shouldn’t preclude this team from staving off 100 losses. It’ not like there are any teams in baseball that are so wonderful that would guarantee losses, and Miami does have lots of players & prospects, they just aren’t very good. This is one small step above Houston, who has a better 25 man roster but had to hold tryouts to fill their 40-man.
9) LA Dodgers Under 91.5
Not a fan of overpaying everyone on the roster except for the scrubs that are playing everyday while the rich folk do whatever rich folk do while on the DL.
8) Philadelphia Phillies Under 84
Old.
7) Kansas City Royals Over 77.5
I don’t think they make the playoffs and they made a dumb trade for Shields but it will help them short term. Opposite team of the Phillies and they both probably end up around .500.
6) New York Yankees Under 88
This dropped to 84.5 or even 84 before going off the board entirely. I will side with the majority here but this will be closer than people think. Last year Pat & I both took Toronto high up on our lists because of some line movement and got smushed.
5) San Diego Padres Over 74.5
We are into the crapshoot portion of the picks here. The Padres look better than last year but still not good.
4) Chicago White Sox Under 81
3) Milwaukee Brewers Under 81
2) Cleveland Indians Over 77.5
1) Arizona Diamondbacks Over 82.5
Lastly I am testing some systems this season for MLB and for MLS(soccer). More detail later but this is just testing so please don’t blindly follow, unless you’re up for that sort of thing.
