Tuesday
Short on time, may add another game in each sport in a few hours.
NHL
Edmonton +155 @ Philadelphia
UPDATE: I did not account for the terribleness of Edmonton backup goaltenders that only rivals Winnipeg and the Islanders for sustained failure. Doubling down on another terrible team, Toronto @ Arizona -110
NBA
Phoenix -6.5 @ Lakers
Monday
1-0 with our Rams play yesterday and a big swing and a miss not getting in Miami before it moved to -3. It was probably playable there but I was nitty with the line move and missed out on an easy win. Up to a merely below-average 7-8 for -0.15 on the season. Nothing in hockey gain with a solo game tonight that’s already well underway and nothing over the weekend either. NHL is 7-7 +2.45 for the season. No bet on Giants-Colts tonight and we’ll hope for some action tomorrow.
Sunday
3-3 in amateur football yesterday. Likely passing on Miami, Jets and Houston with yesterday’s Rams the only play today.
NFL Week 9
Posting this early as I will be getting hammered starting at around 8:30AM for the other football.
KC -10 (+105) vs Jets
Started at -115, now +105. Pounding this all the way; giddy at both taking Vick on the road in KC vs fans who will be rabid after that stomach punch WS loss…..and watching the Jets implode is always a yearly treat.
Bucs +7 (-120) at Cleveland
Way too many points. Cleveland missing both Mack and Cameron.
Arizona +2.5 (or whatever it is) at DAL
Oakland +15.5 at Seattle
Oakland will be a tougher and tougher out as they get close to (im)perfection. Seattle having identity and clubhouse issues, too. This is now at +14.5. BTW: I think if I am the Raiders, I wait for the Jets to fire Rex Ryan and then give him the keys. He’d be a great fit there.
San Diego +1 at Dolphins
Rivers vs Tannenhill? I’ll take Rivers.
5 team teaser (at +400):
PIT +1, NE +3.5, SF -10, KC -10, OAK +21
4 team parlay (+1200)
SD +1, KC -10, NE +3.5, TB +7
EPL Bonus:
MAN U v MAN CITY UNDER 3
TOTTENHAM EVEN
Sacrilege
Team Lou has college football plays today. Please remember from the last time I did this, I’m not actually going to watch any of these games, nor can I name a single player on any of these rosters. I don’t think I could name a more then five college football in total unless you let me just say ‘Smith’ or some other ubiquitous last name. Toronto was an easy 4-1 winner in hockey last night. Possible but unlikely to have any plays tonight. Here is college football:
Air Force – Army UNDER 56.5 -109
Boston College +3 -114
Maryland +3 -102
Northwestern +3.5 -114
Kentucky +7.5 -106
And an NFL game I am getting posted early before the line moves down to 8 or something ridiculous:
Rams +10 -117 @ San Francisco
UPDATE: San Diego St +3 -115
Addiction
I am growing increasingly addicted to exacto bets for Premier League. They are VERY tough to hit, as the odds attest. I hit recently on one of these in the 2-0 Swansea/Leicester game only bc some bald guy on Leicester missed a “sitter” (as they say) in stoppage time. These get especially fun when Tottenham plays because you often get to use unusual numbers on your keyboard. All plays @ 3.
Friday
1-1 for a push or microscopic loss last night as Buffalo lost 3-2 and St. Louis won 2-0. Single play tonight Toronto -115 @ Columbus
And in a stunning upset, I may wager on amateur tackle football tomorrow
Thursday
No plays for us yesterday but we have a couple of home teams going tonight. 1/2 unit plays on these unlike the visitors.
Boston @ Buffalo +195
Anaheim @ St. Louis -105
Philly is a notable pass away to Tampa tonight.
Game 7
and I’ve got nothing…No bets, no leans. There is probably some value on the Giants at +125 to +130 but this is a game to pass on. Devils got smushed last night 8-3 after being up 1-0 after 8 seconds and 3-1 halfway into the 2nd. Undone by a near own goal in the first and some nitty and/or dumb penalties to the top powerplay team in the league. Nothing doing on either game tonight, but a full slate again Thursday
Tuesday
A poor 0-0 yesterday as Washington and Edmonton won covered easily, with both teams playing arguably their best games of the season. I will be re-working some of my modeling this next week to try and keep this from happening again. Single play tonight and it’s a longshot, New Jersey +170 @ Pittsburgh. New Jersey is challenging the coinflip theory of shootouts, having lost their last 10 billion in a row, so they’ll likely need to win outright versus our usual strategy of forcing overtime and hope the result goes our way.
The under (7) looks good to me tonight in baseball but I am passing and not playing.
