NCAA Saturday

Loser in hockey again and even worse I misread my sheet and missed a +170 winner on the Islanders.  Hopefully it will get made up today…Again, the usual disclaimer, I have not and have no plans on watching any of these teams actually play.

Only 1 football game, Colorado +13

In the afternoon hockey game, Edmonton +145.  Jets and Rangers are on the short list for later tonight.

UPDATE: Rangers +170

 

Friday

Two losers yesterday.  Will try and do better today.  NHL Buffalo +125 

Thursday

Short post again today.  Ottawa was an easy winner in hockey yesterday.  One play again today and it’s the terrible Rangers +130 @ the equally Terrible Flyers.  Another unentertaining sporting event that we are also gambling on is the NFL game tonight.  I was on the fence betting this game, but the line move to 7 has pulled me in.  Tampa +7 -110, fading the public on a home game per usual.  Nothing ridiculous doing on either game, just a standard 1u.

 

Wednesday

Hark!  A play!  Ottawa +130

I promise I really do have the baseball wrap up coming soon.  Preview: we finished on the plus side.

 

World Series of Prop Bets

Can you imagine if there was a World Series of Prop Bets?  What would the events be?  Will there be a podium where the national anthems are played for degenerate winners?  I’m competing for the USA in the “Parlay Relay”.  The possibilities could be endless.

As baseball’s World Series comes up, here are some prop bets I like:

Koji Uehara to win the World Series MVP (12-to-1)

Why not?

How many times will Shane Victorino get hit by a pitch? (Over/Under 1 @ Even)

We chop alot here, worth the gamble.

Matt Holliday more hits, runs, RBI than Dustin Pedroia (-115)

Pedroia is hurt with a bum thumb, struggling at the plate and on the field due to that injury, and in his career Holliday is 9-for-26 (.346) in 28 AB at Fenway with 3 doubles, 1 HR, 2 RBIs and 2 BBs at .577 slugging.

Will any player or manager get ejected in the World Series? (No @ -200)

That’s free money, IMO #backupthetruck

Our “Kudos of the Day” goes to Jim Leyland, who steps down as Tigers Manager after a long career in baseball.  I’ll always respect the man for his talent on only on the diamond, but also off of it…..like his keen sense of smoking butts in the dugout without the umpires noticing (OK, maybe not) and of course, his all-time hall of fame talent of saying thew word, “fuck”:

 

Monday

Good day all around yesterday as our Bookmaker garbage line special teaser came in and the Colts both won and covered.  Last week’s teaser was a big one and went 5-2 for a small loss, this week’s was a three team round-robin that won.  I’m going to count teasers that end up on the plus side as wins and minuses as losses.  Most of the teasers will end up as small losses, but the hope, like most of the other sports, is a small win at the end of the season.  Teasers are 1-1 for -0.2 now to date.

NFL with yesterday’s small win is 4-1 +2.21.

Tonight’s game is Minnesota +3.5 at the 0-6 Giants.  The public is all over the Giants so it’s Minnesota or nothing tonight.  I’m inclined to pass on this game entirely, but that may change before tonight.

Lastly, nothing doing in hockey again as the Calgary line is too high to be a play.  I’m definitely not about to go granting exceptions to games that don’t match the system I built, especially since I have no proof other than some light testing that it’s even profitable.  I think it will work, but obviously no guarantees.  1-2 -0.7 in the early season there.

 

 

Sunday

2-1 yesterday on NCAA, 5-5 -0.24 for the season.  Not much doing in NFL today.  Bovada is kind enough to still have +4 on Tennessee at home to SF which I would play if it were available to me.  It’s not so I’m passing.  I may be able to run a small teaser to take advantage of Bookmaker’s shitty lines, but it will need to win until 15-20 minutes prior to kickoff.

I’ll update again in a bit.

UPDATE: Just a small 3-team round robin teaser today.  GB -2.5, BAL +8.5, and CAR -1

UPDATE 2: 1/2 unit on Indy +6

Quick Hits

“Looooooooooots of action!” as Karna would say, trying to recover from a disastrous Thursday.

NCAA:

Texas A&M vs Auburn Over 72 (Manziel has been killing these overs.  A&M’s defense isn’t very good, either).

UFC:

Gabriel “Napao” Gonzaga +150 (Brazilian, fights out of Ludwig, MA.  Good veteran, has won last 3 fights by TKO.  Fighting Shawn Jordan, who used to play DT at LSU..athletic but raw talent who has won last 4 fights).

Andre “Touchy” Fili wins inside distance +125 (He’s a Duane “Bang” Ludwig Fighter….trains with Joseph Benedivdez, who is the #1 Featherweight in the world.  These guys at Team Alpha Male have been killing it recently).
NFL:
Detroit -3 (+105) vs Cincinnati (Hedge on my Cincy bet, and Detroit at home will always be able to move the ball with Bush And Megatron healthy.  I’d bet the over if Andy Dalton could actually be accurate with the ball).
Denver at Colts Over 57 (I think after the comments made by his former owner Jim Irsay made this week, Peyton Manning is going to hang a big crooked number just to remind him of how good he is.  Plus, Indy’s defense is struggling, especially vs the run.  That sets up PA).
Bears -1 at Washington R.G. Threes (I feel like this should be bigger).
Teaser: Packers (-10 vs CLE) + JAX (+9 vs SD) + DEN/IND Over 52

Saturday

Phoenix was a 3-2 loser last night.  Nothing in hockey today.  Some NCAA underdog plays:

Colorado St +6 -106
Kansas +22 -106
New Mexico St +18 -102
3-4 -1.22 to date

Sad Friday

We came close to a miracle cover last night but Arizona was ultimately stopped on a late 4th down in a Seattle win.  It honestly looked and felt like a college game where one team was just more talented than the other.  3-1 on my abbreviated NFL season to date for +1.8 as I had the same action last night as I did on Oakland last week.

Edmonton was also a loser in hockey 3-2 as was Sean’s #Loustrong parlay.  One hockey game tonight, Phoenix +135