Category: NFL
Weekend Plays
We won our NFL Draft under, a life first for me, with 12 SEC players taken. Player #12 didn’t go until the 32nd pick so our under 13 was good. It was looking difficult for there to be 14 so while there was a risk of a push, it didn’t seem likely to go over. It also turned out that under two QBs was a very solid play as maybe NFL teams are getting smarter and not taking crappy players at QB high in the draft anymore.
In baseball, I am now sure at this point that my filters are too stringent so I will tinker with the system setup some more. Our lean last night in Cahill won but went from -130 to -135 before start time. Two plays today:
Cleveland +145 @ KC (Kazmir/Santana)
SF @ SD Even (Lincecum/Cashner)
I will be away on Saturday so likely no plays over the weekend, but one in MLS I will post early and that is San Jose +150 away to Chivas.
Debating the under on DC/Columbus even though it is -150.
Blah
Not much happening this week and it’s been busy at work as well. I’ve missed a few bets with the day games and nothing at night has looked any good at all. The one bet I would have made was on the Cubs a few days back when they lost in 13. Still it’s better to not do anything than to do something monetarily harmful, so I’m not going to be bothered too much. I kind of like Cahill for Arizona tonight but need to see lineups and the public numbers before betting.
One play on the NFL Draft tonight
Total SEC Players Picked in 1st Round Under 13 -250 2u
There should be an MLS play somewhere for Saturday.
NFL Plays
Saints ML +112
Jax Jags +3.5 -106
Bills +3 -115
Browns ML +116
Just looked at those last 3 picks. Jags, Bills, Browns ML. That is Murderer’s Row, ’27 Yankees type stuff. Was my keyboard laughing at me while I was typing that? Likely more lunacy to follow.
NFL Plays
Buffalo Wild Wing commercials, I realized what’s messed up about them. They only show people where their team is winning. They never show the Cleveland Buffalo Wild Wings, where conversations go something like this,
Guy One “So remind me why the fuck we came here.”
Guy Two “I could be working on my lawn right now.”
At any whoots, I think if the Giants, ie The Most Ever Team Schizophrenic (had to stretch to get METS) have shown us anything these days it is that the final score is going to be either 34-7 (infamous) Giants or 17-10 Cleveland. Those are the only possible outcomes. What both of these results have in common…they both hit the under, the only safe bet going. Cleveland is going to rely on Trent Richardson and that is that. With “that” said, the under is currently 43 and I am assuming it will only go higher as time gets nearer to kick-off. I will update with the final number but I will assuredly be taking the under. Other stuff.
Cincy and the Under
Wash and the Under
Philly Under
And the Giants under hit 44. As i write this, T Richardson scored before time started on the clock so my bet is already rock solid. Good luck, bitches
NFL Plays
I think I am 1-8 in my pick em league right now. Forward! Those picks…
Titans (+12) @ Houston
Carolina (+7) @ Atlanta
NE Pats @ Buffalo (+4)
And some side degeneracy…
Seattle @ St LouisUnder39.5
Almost certainly more to follow…
NFL Winners
Raiders ML (+180) 50 Units
Houston @ Denver under (43.5, -105) 55 Units
Eagles (-3, -123) @ Arizona 44 Units
NFL 2nd half Drunk Bafoonery
Skins/Bengals 2nd half under 24 (-115) 44 to win 38.26
Titans 2nd half (+11, -320) 30 to win 9.38
NFL Plays
Plays for my NFL pick ATS League
Jacksonville @ Indy (-3)
St Louis (+7.5) @ Chicago
NE Pats @ Baltimore (-3)
And now for some genuine degeneracy…
St Louis (+7, -108) 15 Units
Redskins/Bengals under 49.5 -102 17 Units
Bills/Browns under 45.5 -105 19 Units
And wait for it…
Jets ML (-147), Indy ML (-181), Lions/Titans under 47 (-104) 12 Units
Football Play
One play for the “weekend” at the moment.
Panthers/Giants 1st half under 24.5 -128
27 Units
Too many injuries one would assume for a legitimate point total. See what happens.