Category: NFL
Plays today
First of all, congrats to Lou for betting on a WNBA game. That’s some ballsy shit right there. In honor of this, I’m making a small play on the Ottawa Redblacks +7 at Hamilton in the CFL.
Here are my plays today:
TB +102 and in Parlay with Dodgers -195 (Kershaw) at +200.
DET/ANA Over 8.5 -105
UFC:
Daron “Detroit Superstar” Cruickshank +190
Robbie Lawler vs Matt Brown fight goes the distance +300
Keep an eye out for NFL totals soon, maybe even in podcast format.
If you bet on every Peyton Manning & Tom Brady reg. season start since 2003:
177-116, 60.4%
+55 units won
18.8% ROI pic.twitter.com/J0LFpJ7Vk5— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) July 21, 2014
LeBron Odds
In case you were curious:
As decision time nears, @hemdash looks at where betting markets think LeBron James will go: http://t.co/aPaox5P8fa pic.twitter.com/aR01Virv6C
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) July 9, 2014
Just returned from Vegas, I actually somehow chopped of the bets I made lol
I also sadly lost -105 on Brazil. At least I shipped the over by the 20th minute!
Also like the Mets +110
NFL Draft thoughts
Looked online today and saw that Clowney is -425 to be #1 in the draft; the field is at +325 and Manziel is +150 to be top 5. I kinda like the last two to be quite honest, especially with the trade talk involved. It’s May and I’m already betting on NFL……that’s how adverse I am to betting on baseball.
With the WSOP coming up, here’s some advice from Raul Ibanez on when to fold:
#Angels DH Raul Ibanez, who is hitting .144, on not starting vs. a RHP: "Shoot, I wouldn't put me in right now, either."
— Mike DiGiovanna (@MikeDiGiovanna) May 6, 2014
Marathon Parlay
Parlaying the Mets (-105 vs St L) and Red Sox (-160) today at +175.
Fun tidbit on Red Sox Marathon Day gambling history (it’s windy today too):
Since 2005, the #RedSox are 7-3 on #PatriotsDay with the 'over' at 6-3-1 over that span.
— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) April 21, 2014
If only to do so just for an excuse to post this picture:
Your 2014 New York Mets @pareene (h/t @Karak2p2) RT @ollieblog pic.twitter.com/HbQkQv2n64
— Sean ♠️ (@Seanismoney) April 20, 2014
Wednesday
Nothing doing again tonight with only three NHL games to choose from and the end of the season rapidly approaching. Lots of back to backs to end the year as well further reducing our options in most cases (If both teams played the night before it’s a wash). Vancouver is the best game of the three though it is a marginal lean at best. I will make sure to track leans next to my plays next season. Win totals for baseball also coming soon though sides and totals won’t be available until early May.
Wednesday
Vancouver was a winner in a shootout last night in what I think was their first road win since January. Nothing doing today in NBA or NHL :(
Olympic Hockey Preview
Just scored a free Olympic bet from Bovada for betting (too much) money on the Super Bowl. We had Seattle (like most of America I’d assume) and so did Lou’s dad. The game wasn’t even close, and the oddsmakers were spot on having Peyton Manning throw a pick at -180 to as high as -230 (disclaimer: we took the juice).
We will choose hockey, as I just don’t know enough about Johnny Weir’s figure skating form to make an opinion about that.
I think Canada is the most talented team in the tournament. I just don’t think their goaltending (Price starts, Luongo is backup) is good enough.
Russia will find a way to fuck it up. They always do. Plus, they are properly hedged with the Russian mafia in any order. Ovechkin will probably win Golden Goal.
I will be rooting hard for the USA; we have the best goaltending (Quick, Miller) but unfortunately in these “open” Euro rinks, they lack the skaters on the outside to create opportunities to score. There are also more penalties called in Olympic play, not good for the physical (read: “slower”) teams. Also, I still don’t know why Okposo didn’t make the team.
Sweden is sneaky good. Lundquist won a Gold back in Torino, proving once more that he’s a capable and clutch goalie against all teams not named, “The Boston Bruins”. I’d probably be more bullish if they didn’t lose Franzen.
The Swiss could actually make it out of their group. That’s a good prop bet.
The Czechs have 4 good lines. They also have 2 40 year olds who didn’t play defense in their primes (Nedved, Jagr), nevermind now, skittish goaltending…… and Tomas “Olay” Kaberle. We will be hammering their individual overs. They’ll score goals, though.
I think the Czechs do however make the final 4….and we can then hedge if they do. So Czechs at 10-to-1 it is.
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4:00a
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Canada
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Russia
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Sweden
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USA
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Czech Republic
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Finland
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Switzerland
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Slovakia
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Norway
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Latvia
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Austria
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Slovenia
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Executive Decisions
NCAA: UCONN -13 vs Houston
Teaser: UCONN -13 and LA Clippers at Golden State Over 213
Super Bowl stuff later in the week*
*Preview: I’m taking Pete Carroll to beat Peyton Manning in a big game and I am completely fucking terrified.
NFC Championship
We have Seattle in an 11-to-10 bet to win the NFC (took this right after they beat the Saints on MNF). They have made the championship game, and now we have some great hedging opportunities with their opponent, the San Francisco 49ers (who I think are the most talented team left in this tournament, and have been my main bankroll builder in Dec/Jan).
My prediction? SF 20, Seattle 17.
Bets include:
Super Bowl futures:
SF vs DEN +250
SF vs NE +600
Teaser:
SF (+3) and NE (+4)
SF (+3) and Under (40)
Lines:
SF ML +150
FYI……As a warning Sunday for those who wish to take the Broncos (-4):
UFC Fight Night 35
From Atlanta…Ric Flair is in the house WHOOOOO
Cole “Magrinho” Miller (from Augusta, GA) wins by inside distance +180, fight goes to decision +160
Yoel “Soldier of God” Romero Palacio wins by inside distance -150 (former Cuban Olympic Wrestler. Guy is simply a beast)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CQkoXcNtGcA
T.J. Dillashaw wins inside distance +180 (Duane “Bang” Ludwig fighters. These guys just simply knock people out)
A shout out to Lou with his two NHL picks (BUF +180 at WAS, winning 2-1 in shootout, and TB +117 as well) that paid for my weekend football drinking. We will continue our experiment tonight with a total: WAS at PIT Under 5.5 (+105). The Capitals (22-16-8) have struggled on offense while dropping six of their last eight, including four games in which they managed only one goal. These are also the two top teams in the East playing before the Olympics; it could be a “Playoff Style” game tonight. NHL teams play 5-7 of these a year during their outrageously long (84 gm) regular season (most of the time for my Bruins, it is: PIT, MTL, NYR).
We’ll have NFL stuff later in the week, mostly having half of our bankroll on the 49ers in a hedge with our Seattle winning NFL (11-to-10) bet. BTW our referees:AFC: Tony CorrenteNFC: Gene Steratore.
