Author: lou
Sunday
I am hungover too. 1-1 on hockey yesterday for a small win. 4-4 for +1.5 so far. In NCAA Colorado was a loser by more than 13. 5-6 -1.34 for me now on that season.
Only one NFL play for me so far and it’s Buffalo +11 @ New Orleans. Pat, Sean, their parents and roughly 80% of the betting public are all taking New Orleans today. It’s also a top 5 Hilton contest pick along with Dallas, Seattle, Minnesota and Atlanta. That all points me to the away team and I’d be backing up the truck somewhat if this game were in Buffalo. Also no Jimmy Graham today for the Saints.
I may end up taking Arizona in the late game, but it will depend on the line and if I’m around. Will check for any teasers here too before kickoff.
NCAA Saturday
Loser in hockey again and even worse I misread my sheet and missed a +170 winner on the Islanders. Hopefully it will get made up today…Again, the usual disclaimer, I have not and have no plans on watching any of these teams actually play.
Only 1 football game, Colorado +13
In the afternoon hockey game, Edmonton +145. Jets and Rangers are on the short list for later tonight.
UPDATE: Rangers +170
Friday
Two losers yesterday. Will try and do better today. NHL Buffalo +125
Thursday
Short post again today. Ottawa was an easy winner in hockey yesterday. One play again today and it’s the terrible Rangers +130 @ the equally Terrible Flyers. Another unentertaining sporting event that we are also gambling on is the NFL game tonight. I was on the fence betting this game, but the line move to 7 has pulled me in. Tampa +7 -110, fading the public on a home game per usual. Nothing ridiculous doing on either game, just a standard 1u.
Wednesday
Hark! A play! Ottawa +130
I promise I really do have the baseball wrap up coming soon. Preview: we finished on the plus side.
Monday
Good day all around yesterday as our Bookmaker garbage line special teaser came in and the Colts both won and covered. Last week’s teaser was a big one and went 5-2 for a small loss, this week’s was a three team round-robin that won. I’m going to count teasers that end up on the plus side as wins and minuses as losses. Most of the teasers will end up as small losses, but the hope, like most of the other sports, is a small win at the end of the season. Teasers are 1-1 for -0.2 now to date.
NFL with yesterday’s small win is 4-1 +2.21.
Tonight’s game is Minnesota +3.5 at the 0-6 Giants. The public is all over the Giants so it’s Minnesota or nothing tonight. I’m inclined to pass on this game entirely, but that may change before tonight.
Lastly, nothing doing in hockey again as the Calgary line is too high to be a play. I’m definitely not about to go granting exceptions to games that don’t match the system I built, especially since I have no proof other than some light testing that it’s even profitable. I think it will work, but obviously no guarantees. 1-2 -0.7 in the early season there.
Sunday
2-1 yesterday on NCAA, 5-5 -0.24 for the season. Not much doing in NFL today. Bovada is kind enough to still have +4 on Tennessee at home to SF which I would play if it were available to me. It’s not so I’m passing. I may be able to run a small teaser to take advantage of Bookmaker’s shitty lines, but it will need to win until 15-20 minutes prior to kickoff.
I’ll update again in a bit.
UPDATE: Just a small 3-team round robin teaser today. GB -2.5, BAL +8.5, and CAR -1
UPDATE 2: 1/2 unit on Indy +6
Saturday
Phoenix was a 3-2 loser last night. Nothing in hockey today. Some NCAA underdog plays:
Sad Friday
We came close to a miracle cover last night but Arizona was ultimately stopped on a late 4th down in a Seattle win. It honestly looked and felt like a college game where one team was just more talented than the other. 3-1 on my abbreviated NFL season to date for +1.8 as I had the same action last night as I did on Oakland last week.
Edmonton was also a loser in hockey 3-2 as was Sean’s #Loustrong parlay. One hockey game tonight, Phoenix +135
Beep…Beep…Beep
That’s the sound of a truck backing up to dump piles of smelly American dollars on what should be a craptastic Thursday night football game in Arizona where the Cardinals are hosting Seattle. Arizona is down to +5.5 in some places so make sure to get your plays in at 6 if at all possible. I already took 6.5 earlier in the week. Public is around 70% on Seattle even though their entire offense at the moment consists of a banged up Marshawn Lynch and Russell Wilson running around.
We’re not betting a house like mentioned in last’week posting especially not at only 5.5, but a truck at 6 or 6.5 seems like the right amount.
In other news, I’ve been backtesting an NHL system that seems promising so that’s going to start tonight. Like baseball, every bet is 1u with the idea that they’ll add up to more than they started with at the end of the season. Unlike baseball, this system is road team focused so we’ll see how that goes.
Lastly, good job Sean on the over yesterday.
UPDATE:
Plays tonight: Arizona +6.5 and +225. Pinnacle has the line down to 4 from 6 this morning. Someone’s truck who is a lot bigger than mine is also backing up to Arizona here.
In hockey, Edmonton +135
