NFL Wild Card Weekend Saturday
The quest to go undefeated against the spread will be harder this year, with 7 playoff teams instead of 6 for each conference for 14 total. But the parody of the field, along with COVID, makes this one of the harder fields to prognosticate.
Here’s my Saturday picks and plays; anything I actually bet on with have as asterisk on it.
Buffalo -7 (-105)*
Taking Buffalo because of the favorable juice, they’ll have some fans at home, the offense has been on fire in the last month and the defense has improved since losing a buzzer beater to Arizona in November. The only concern is their run defense; Indy’s Jonathan Taylor has been running the ball great lately. But I anticipate the Bills to stack the box and make Philip Rivers throw the ball vs (in Bill Rafferty voice) man-to-man down the field, which when he does, makes me feel old as balls that’s how uncomfortable it is. I also will have two props: Josh Allen first TD scorer at +600 and Josh Allen OVER rushing yards 39 (+105).
Seahawks -3
Toughest game to pick of the weekend, IMO. Russell Wilson looked great early, but he and the offense have sputtered into the end of the year. Their secondary is so bad, they call it the “Legion of Room”. At least they can tackle. Whilst their defense maybe the best in the field, the Rams’ offense is probably the 3rd worst in the field (behind Chicago and Washington). I don’t know if they are better off at QB with the backup Wolford, or the flaccid Jared Goff (who is questionable and a gametime decision). Taking the points at home for Seattle for the pick, but even then their great homefield is waned due to no fans. Don’t bet on this game.
Tampa Bay -9
Started at 8, now at 9. Tampa has more talent, especially at QB where it’s old ass Tom Brady vs Old and Broken Down Alex Smith. Taylor Heinicke may even see action in this game according to Rivera if Smith struggles. WFT’s front seven is awesome; they will have to have a monster game to keep it close. But I anticipate too many 3-and-outs for Washington and I just don’t know where they find points. I will say, Brady is 1-5 vs winning teams this year; however, WFT is not a winning team with a 7-9 record, getting a home game due to winning the NFC LEast. For a prop, I am taking the first score to be a Field Goal at +150. I am also teasing Tampa (-9), Pittsburgh (-6) and Buffalo (-7) at +150.
DFS:
NBA Bonus:
Phoenix +3.5
