Early Thoughts

Posted in NFL, UFC - 2015/01/22 - 2 Comments

First of all, who the hell ISN’T loving Ballgate?  This below makes everything totally worth it; I just wonder whether or not this MOTIVATES the Pats (when they destroy teams after stuff happens like this) or if it DEFLATES them (see what I did there).

Former Pats’ QB Drew Bledsoe says that Tom is all about work ethic, and I certainly hope he’s right and I wouldn’t want Tom to pull a Ryan Braun on Drew.

As for any early leans, I don’t have any thoughts on the spread as of this point (the line moves have been interesting, however those who say they are the biggest moves in a while forget both the 2001 and 2007 Super Bowls, which saw big favorites lose 35-45% of their margins from start to finish), but I do like the over at 48.5 (-105), and the following props: Tom Brady, Russell Wilson for MVP (both at 13/4),  and Bill Belichick to not be seen smiling for the entire game (-200).

Also an early UFC leans: Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader Goes Distance -260 and Anthony “Rumble” Johnson (+220) in Sweden vs Alexander Gustafsson.

NBA BONUS: Love my Celtics, but have to take the Blazers -7 at home at the Rose Garden tonight.  I’ve been there, it’s a great arena and I feel this line should be at -8.5 and above.  The Celtics have not won against a Western team on the road since 2013.

2 thoughts on “Early Thoughts”

  2. #Ballghazi has flipped my pick – I had thought that we were headed for another overconfident Patriots Super Bowl, along the lines of, “we’re only gonna score 17 points?! HARF HARF HARF” (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qhw_YLGmvKw) The early/drastic line movement toward the Patriots supported that. But instead of 2 weeks of media fluffing, they’re dealing with 2 weeks of media moralizing, and that’s a totally different animal. Plus I think they’ll be cheating like crazy.

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