Seattle Superbowl

Posted in NFL, UFC - 2013/12/06 - 0 Comment

After the Seahawks easily disposed of the Saints on Monday, I decided to take the plunge at 11/10 to take them to win the NFC.  They have a virtual 3 game lead on the conference, own the tiebreaker over the Panthers (the only team left that might have a chance to beat them in that building…and they are in a fight with the Saints in the NFC South), and are the most balanced team in football right now.  They have the largest average of margin in wins in the NFL this year, and 2nd in total points (behind the Broncos).  I believe that with their home field advantage, that the only thing holding them back to NYC is an injury (especially to Marshawn Lynch).

The Seahawks can be run on, and will be run on by the 49ers this week who are desperate and playing for the Wild Card lives (hence why I’ll take the 49ers -3 at home @ +105 along with the ML at -137 this week)….but if they face them the 3rd time around, it will be in Seattle, where Kaepernick has shown to crap his pants.   Seattle will most likely finish the year 14-2 or 13-3, as they finish up the year Giants, Cardinals, and Rams.  I also create some fun hedging opportunities in the playoffs with this scenario (I can only hope Carolina gets double digits in Seattle in a playoff game) with this, so I consider this a +EV prop.

The Seahawks are 5/2 to win the entire thing.  Interesting if that will change depending on their playoff performance.

I also like:

New Orleans vs Carolina Over 46

Teaser: Arizona -6 (vs St.Louis) and Under 42

Giants +155 ML (at San Diego)

Also might have some plays on Baltimore (vs MIN, -7, 42 O/U) and Denver (vs TEN, -13, 49 O/U) at home, but they are weather dependent as storms will be across the US on Sunday with ice, snow, and wind.  Indy +7 is temping, but it has too much juice (-120) for my taste.

UFC:

Mark “Super  Samoan” Hunt vs Antonio “Big Foot” Silva Over 1.5 rounds +130

Anthony “The Hippo” Perosh +375 (is fighting in his home country of Australia vs Ryan Bader, whose lost his last 2 of his last 3 fights).

Our tweet of the week comes again from WagerMinds: