Friday

The Milwaukee Brewers rotation has been the worst in the NL with an ERA still over 5 after a recent series with the Marlins.  Their pitching staff overall trails only Baltimore and Houston with several other AL teams, who all have the DH excuse, in the neighborhood.  I have a suspicion that the pitching is going to come around a bit in the second half of the season and expect the Brewers to be a .500 team the rest of the way.  Corey Hart will be back to play first base at some point to prevent the Brewers from taking a zero a first base, Mike Fiers seems to have found his way again down in AAA and there is a chance Rickie Weeks is not Dan Uggla 2.0.  Their offense is good and would be excellent if they had something other than automatic outs in the 7 & 8 spots in their lineup, and even average pitching would see them well over .500.  Playoffs will be a big ask at this point, but there’s no reason not to take a long look at teams like this that started out poorly and can play well later and stay under the betting radar.

Going with the Brewers tonight away to Cincinnati.  Lohse +125 vs. Arroyo.  Joey Votto gets the night off and Dusty Baker persists in batting someone terrible in the #2 spot. No Braun or Lucroy for Milwaukee so it’s a wash.