Lou’s NFL Over/Unders 2012

Confidence Pool scoring and I am usually better than Pat at these. 

5) Miami Fish Under 7.5

 Rebuilding team jettisoning any and all above average players.  Ryan Tannehill had problems with interceptions against the Big-12, I don’t think he’s going to magically improve as a rookie.  I’m not convinced at all that he will develop into a first division starter either. 

4) Dallas Cowboys Under 9

See below.  This still applies even with the win on Wednesday.

3) Buffalo Bills Over 7.5

Will go with the crowd on this one as the schedule is ridiculously easy in the 2nd half.  I do think the Jets are being underrated and the Bills are being pumped up a bit more despite having very similar rosters. 

2) Cleveland Browns Under 5.5

It’s challenging for NFL teams to win more than 12 games or less than 4 due to the parity of rosters and professional tactics.  Cleveland has proven this with the following win totals:

2 (expansion 1999), 3, 7, 9, 5, 4, 6, 4, 10, 4, 5, 5, 4(2011)

This is why we’ve nicknamed the Browns Cleveland Le Poo.  Outside of Joe Haden (possibly suspended for 4 games), Trent Richardson (still getting healthy) and LT Joe Thomas (possibly sad from playing with all of these below average NFL players) there isn’t another consistently above average position player on the roster.  It doesn’t mean someone won’t emerge or have a great season, but Weeden looks terrible and the receiver’s aren’t much better meaning if you can score 24 against Le Poo you should leave with un win.   Mons de six for Le Poo.

 1) Carolina Panthers Over 7.5

Again, see below.  Looking forward to week 7 off the bye, Carolina at home to Dallas.