Month: November 2014
Thursday
Both basketball plays were losers yesterday as Denver was not close to winning at all. The system backtested well so we’ll stick with it for the time being. Vancouver, Winnipeg and Florida are on the shortlist for hockey tonight from west to east. Not sure yet which games will end up being plays but I’l try and get them up 30 minutes before gametime.
NFL tonight is Browns at Bungles. I liked Cincy at -6 but not at 6.5 or 7 which is where the line will close. Good luck.
FLORIDA +135 @ Philadelphia
UPDATE Vancouver +120 @ San Jose
Wednesday
1-1 and breakeven in our hockey plays last night as Edmonton was beaten easily with a backup goaltender and a few forwards out and Phoenix held on to win 3-2 over Toronto. The Suns won by 6 and I lost with a bad line. For the few people who asked there probably won’t be more than 20-30 NBA plays for the entire season and I’m using small amounts on top of that. Nowhere near our hockey bet sizes.
Nothing doing on the 3 NHL games. One NBA possibility late tonight; I’ll try and remember to update
UPDATE: Denver +3.5 and +150
Tuesday
Short on time, may add another game in each sport in a few hours.
NHL
Edmonton +155 @ Philadelphia
UPDATE: I did not account for the terribleness of Edmonton backup goaltenders that only rivals Winnipeg and the Islanders for sustained failure. Doubling down on another terrible team, Toronto @ Arizona -110
NBA
Phoenix -6.5 @ Lakers
Monday
1-0 with our Rams play yesterday and a big swing and a miss not getting in Miami before it moved to -3. It was probably playable there but I was nitty with the line move and missed out on an easy win. Up to a merely below-average 7-8 for -0.15 on the season. Nothing in hockey gain with a solo game tonight that’s already well underway and nothing over the weekend either. NHL is 7-7 +2.45 for the season. No bet on Giants-Colts tonight and we’ll hope for some action tomorrow.
Sunday
3-3 in amateur football yesterday. Likely passing on Miami, Jets and Houston with yesterday’s Rams the only play today.
NFL Week 9
Posting this early as I will be getting hammered starting at around 8:30AM for the other football.
KC -10 (+105) vs Jets
Started at -115, now +105. Pounding this all the way; giddy at both taking Vick on the road in KC vs fans who will be rabid after that stomach punch WS loss…..and watching the Jets implode is always a yearly treat.
Bucs +7 (-120) at Cleveland
Way too many points. Cleveland missing both Mack and Cameron.
Arizona +2.5 (or whatever it is) at DAL
Oakland +15.5 at Seattle
Oakland will be a tougher and tougher out as they get close to (im)perfection. Seattle having identity and clubhouse issues, too. This is now at +14.5. BTW: I think if I am the Raiders, I wait for the Jets to fire Rex Ryan and then give him the keys. He’d be a great fit there.
San Diego +1 at Dolphins
Rivers vs Tannenhill? I’ll take Rivers.
5 team teaser (at +400):
PIT +1, NE +3.5, SF -10, KC -10, OAK +21
4 team parlay (+1200)
SD +1, KC -10, NE +3.5, TB +7
EPL Bonus:
MAN U v MAN CITY UNDER 3
TOTTENHAM EVEN
Sacrilege
Team Lou has college football plays today. Please remember from the last time I did this, I’m not actually going to watch any of these games, nor can I name a single player on any of these rosters. I don’t think I could name a more then five college football in total unless you let me just say ‘Smith’ or some other ubiquitous last name. Toronto was an easy 4-1 winner in hockey last night. Possible but unlikely to have any plays tonight. Here is college football:
Air Force – Army UNDER 56.5 -109
Boston College +3 -114
Maryland +3 -102
Northwestern +3.5 -114
Kentucky +7.5 -106
And an NFL game I am getting posted early before the line moves down to 8 or something ridiculous:
Rams +10 -117 @ San Francisco
UPDATE: San Diego St +3 -115
Addiction
I am growing increasingly addicted to exacto bets for Premier League. They are VERY tough to hit, as the odds attest. I hit recently on one of these in the 2-0 Swansea/Leicester game only bc some bald guy on Leicester missed a “sitter” (as they say) in stoppage time. These get especially fun when Tottenham plays because you often get to use unusual numbers on your keyboard. All plays @ 3.
