Month: June 2014
World Cup Today
Columbia-Greece Draw +230 and Colombia 1-0 at 4-1
Italy-England Under 2 -105 and England +180
Japan +170
Costa Rica +850 (small play; Suarez is out today)
Rainy Friday
Two winners yesterday to get us back on track as most of the home teams won. No plays tonight
Cross Bets
Here are my plays today:
Brazil -1.5 @ -120
Brazil 2-0 at 4-1 and Brazil 3-1 at 12-1
Brazil is unbeaten (15-0-2) in 17 straight World Cup openers, winning 8 in a row. Host nations are undefeated in World Cup openers (14-0-6).
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) June 12, 2014
Also, for those of you wondering (and you know who you are *coughpatdartscough*):
World Cup Over/Under props:
Goals: 158.5
Yellow Cards: 275.5
Red Cards: 18.5
Corners: 647.5
PK's scored: 32.5
PK's missed: 12.5— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) June 12, 2014
Here’s an MLB nugget for Lou:
This season MLB underdogs receiving less than 30% of moneyline bets have gone 146-181 for +12.67 units and a 3.9% ROI http://t.co/jOoQ5rVL1h
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) June 12, 2014
I also like Miami -5 and in a teaser with the over 197 in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. More from the good folks at Bet Labs:
During the Big Three era the #Heat have gone 10-0 ATS following a playoff loss of more than 10 points. #NBAFinals http://t.co/WrWa9IpHKq
— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) June 8, 2014
World Cup Bets
Not much for me so far, but we’ll try and figure out based on the betting patterns which games are fixed :(
Will England advance from group – No +141
Will France win Group – Yes -134
Argentina to win World Cup making everyone in Brazil sad +393
Day Game!
Dodgers (Greinke) @ Reds (Simon) +111
Tampa was a winner last night 6-3. Any more baseball plays for tonight will go here.
UPDATE: Toronto (Buehrle) @ Baltimore (Gausman) -110 Leaner on Cle/Bos Under 8.5
FIFA World Cup 2014
A quick run down of my leans on the groups (lines from Caesar’s Palace):
Group A:
Brazil 1/4
Mexico 6/1
Croatia 8/1
Cameroon 25/1
My picks: Brazil to win the group (and 2/1 they win the whole thing), and Croatia to move onto the knockout round. Cameroon to make it to the second round isn’t a bad play, either. I have no faith in Mexico. Their coach looks like he’s on meth and was on an episode of “True Detective”:
Group B:
Spain 2/7
Netherlands 5/2
Chile 9/2
Australia 25/1
My picks: Netherlands to win, Spain to move onto the second round. Australia might not score a goal.
Group C:
Colombia 2/3
Japan 7/2
Ivory Coast 9/2
Greece 10/1
My picks: Japan to win, they are always a solid team and played well in Brazil last summer. Colombia to move onto the second round.
Group D:
Italy 3/2
Uruguay 8/5
England 2/1
Costa Rica 18/1
My picks: Toughest group to predict. I like Italy to win and Uruguay to move on (sorry Putland; I have a bet that the US will score more goals than UK #moneyonfire); England isn’t fit but Suarez also isn’t 100%. Don’t be surprised to see Costa Rica pull off a shocker upset here, too in one of the games. They are feisty. Edison Cavani for Uruguay for Golden Goal is my *reach* pick (33/1).
Group E (totally forgot about E yesterday!):
France -125
Switzerland +250
Ecuador +400
Honduras +2800
My picks: I like France to win, and Switzerland to advance. I also like Franc Ribery at -2800 to get caught with an underage Brazilian hooker
Group F:
Argentina 2/9
Bosnia 13/2
Nigeria 9/1
Iran 30/1
My picks: Argentina to win (also have them 11/2 to be runner up to Brazil); Nigeria to be second (reluctantly…they need to play better defense). Messi is due for a run, and he’s my Golden Goal pick (7/1). I have no idea who plays for Bosnia or Iran.
Group G:
Germany 5/9
Portugal 5/2
Ghana 10/1
USA 6/1
My picks: Portugal to win, USA to finish second. The Germans are not fit (if they were I might pick them to win)……if the US loses to Ghana, the Black Stars will finish second IMO. The key for the US, as Lou would say, can be summarized in one word: FORWARD.
Group H:
Belgium 1/2
Russia 2/1
South Korea 6/1
Algeria 30/1
My picks: Belgium a.k.a “Everybody’s Dark Horse” to win, South Korea to finish second…..they play well as a team.
End it here with two great videos on the top moments from the World Cups’ past (long):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wGBuwL6hWSo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E5AbVK-bpwU
Wednesday
A pair of tough luck losers yesterday with Tampa outhitting the Cardinals but losing 1-0 and Marco Estrada poorly timing his gopheritis. Running Tampa back today, with Colorado as our leaner. Cardinals (Wacha) @ Tampa (Bedard) +119
Tuesday
Single play today St. Louis (Wainwright) @ Tampa (Odorizzi) +124
UPDATE: A total Brewers/Mets UNDER 7.5
Because its the Cup
I like the Rangers -160 and -1.5 at +195 tonight vs LA
Home teams are 8-0 since 2005 in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final, winning by an average margin of 2.5 goals per game: pic.twitter.com/Sagp3z2xiA
— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) June 8, 2014
