Month: June 2014
World Cup Today
Australia +550
Chile/Holland Over 2.5 at -130
Interesting tidbit on the overs; in the group stage in 2010, 53 goals were scored. In 2014? Already in the late 90s.
21 of 32 World Cup matches have gone over the total, and 73% of bettors are on the Over 2.5 goals for #NEDvsCHI: http://t.co/VzZMkmCqBA
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) June 23, 2014
And if you hate money, bet on the Mexico/Croatia game.
U-S-A!
World Cup bets today:
Belgium +110 (betting against Fabio Capello is always a profitable decision)
USA +280
Sunday story: Some guy had a 350k miracle cover thanks to Messi
Go USA!!!!
Friday
Arizona lost yesterday 4-1. No plays today. San Diego is a leaner but with their perpetual total of 6.5 they are a pass. No totals sadly.
World Cup Today 6/19
First, I’d like to recommend a trend for live bettors (such as myself) for these WC games, especially in venues like Manaus (which is in the Amazon) and Brasilia (near a mountain), where either the humidity is often VERY high, or the altitude is high, and that trend is second half scoring.
In this WC, we have already had 6 comebacks. Also, the majority of the goals have been scored in the second half. This is mostly due to fatigue, and as the second games loom, teams moving forward because they need a win rather than a result (see: Australia v NED yesterday, by far the most exciting game so far this WC).
So when the game starts, take a look at the “second half to be highest scoring half” line and take a plunge. I made a nice 25 unit score during the Cameroon v Croatia games as that line was +250 (and this was before Arsenal’s Alex Song got that god awful red card at the end of the 1st half…so make sure you take it early). On a side note, Croatia v Mexico looking to be like a great game.
I am angry I missed betting against Spain yesterday. Chile was essentially playing a home game against futbol’s version of the 2012 Boston Celtics (a once great team with old geezers and a key missing defensive part like Puyol).
Here are my bets today:
Ivory Coast +280
Uruguay v England Under 2.5 +110 (and will also hedge second half with over goals)
Japan +110 and the draw at +250
I leave you with this wonderful vine from the Spurs parade yesterday. Gotta love Pop being a dick:
Bet you can't watch just once https://t.co/GltUdeDLhh
— Michael Smith (@michaelsmith) June 19, 2014
Wednesday
No baseball again today. Sox were an easy 8-2 winner last night because Matt Cain has morphed into Marco Estrada over the past 6 weeks. Soccer is easier with wingers.
Tuesday
No baseball for us either yesterday or over the weekend. There were not many home underdogs or small favorites to pick from, and I did not run the totals engine at all. There is a single play today:
Giants (Cain)@ White Sox (Danks) +110
I have been looking for some World Cup plays, but the public betting information is not very reliable so I’m hesitant to put anything but the smallest plays down, not that there have been many. Thanks to Sean for posting actual content!!!
World Cup 6/17
South Korea +375
Belgium/Algeria Under 2.5 at +150
Brazil 2, Mexico 1 score at 7-to-1
