MLB – Over/Unders

Louis and I have bet a pub crawl, and it should be a pretty good one considering it’s based on an entire season for a whole shitload of teams, on mlb over/unders for the season.  You rank team totals on confidence from 1-10.  Let’s see what I like.

TEN POINT PICK – SF Giants over 82.5

I honestly feel that I have to be missing something here.  San Fran won like 88 games last year, got a year of experience for a young, outrageously talented pitching staff, added some pop in my opinion with DeRosa and forever-undervalued Aubrey Huff, and the over/under is 82.5?

NINE POINT PICK – Nationals under 72

This really should not even count, it has to be considered essentially automatic, Washington had 59 wins last year.  The under is -136, but that does not matter in this contest.

EIGHT POINT PICK – Dodgers over 84

Very, very good lineup.

SEVEN POINT PICK – Yankees over 95.5

I know the AL East is a bear, but…I’m trying to think of an analogy of what the Yankees are if the East is a bear.  The mighty claw, the powerful jaws?  The Yankees are the “Big Foot’s Dick” of the Al East.  They easily won 100 games last year with A-Rod out and suspect pitching at times, especially early on.   I would have this line at 97.5.

SIX POINT PICK – Indians under 75.5

Another number that confuses me, this is asking the Indians to win 11 more games this year and D Masterson is their third pitcher, and the Lou Marson is their starting catcher right now.

FIVE POINT PICK – Atlanta over 85.5

I really am not crazy about the Braves pitching staff, but their lineup is very solid and they are playing in a far from ruthless division.  Wagner as a closer is probably going to work out well.

FOUR POINT PICK – Texas over 85

This is going against Vegas as the over is +120, but I like it anyway.  The Angels are dead, this division is up for grabs.

THREE POINT PICK – Cincinnati over 79.5

I know NOTHING about the Reds except that every sports show I pop on talks about them as a sleeper and that they have some pitcher from one of those islands where he probably had to swim to get over here.  What the hell.

TWO POINT PICK – NY Mets over 81

You knew it was coming.

ONE POINT PICK – Cardinals over 88.5

This is a high number, but I get the feeling that St Louis could have a ridiculous year, something like mid to high 90s.  Let’s see what happens…