Week 1 NFL 2018
Cleveland +6 (-115)
This is now at 4.5 now we know that Bell is probably not playing. We have had history of going against the Steelers when they are 6 or more point favorites in the last two years (at Jets/at Miami/at Bears). They average 8 less points on the road than t home, Cleveland’s defense is good, and the Browns covered this game last year with Kizer, nevermind Tyrod Taylor (or Mayfield if Tyrod gets hurt).
Saints/Bucs Over 49.5 (-110)
It’s in the dome, should be points in this game.
Texans +6.5 (-110)
NE is only starting 3 WRs, so Texans should be able to bracket Gronk. The Texans and Watson covered in this game last year. Should be a fun, tight game and potential AFC Title Game preview. I fully expect the Texans to be up late, then Coach Bill O’Brien to nit it up to give the Pats the ball back, and Brady to win it late like he did last year.
Carolina -3 (-105)
The Gowin special. Two of the worst WR corps go at it in this one, but especially Dallas. I just don’t see how they move the balls against a very good Carolina defense at home, unless they win the field position battle by Newton throwing the ball in the dirt.
TEASER +120:
Saints -10
Vikings -6.5
Ravens -7
DFS:
NCAA BONUS:
GA vs S.Carolina Under 55 (-110)
When a point total moves 4+ from it’s originaly line (51 here), the Under hits 57% of the time
UFC BONUS:
Till vs Woodley – Fight Goes the Distance – YES @ +110
PARLAY @ +250: Suarez -500 + Magomedsharipov -1400 + Stamann +130
NFL 2018 Season Plays & Over/Unders
My confidence plays (all of these IRL 1u)
5pts (max) Bills Under 6.5
4) Colts Over 6.5
3) Browns Over 5.5
2) Panthers Under 8.5
1) Cardinals Over 5.5
Others:
Chiefs AFC West +305
Saints NFC South +170
Keenan Allen Most Receiving Yards +1200
Miracle Covers 2018 NFL Preview
It’s that time of year: NFL Preview time! Everybody has a chance in August!
Our AFC Preview:
https://soundcloud.com/miraclecovers/2018-afc-miracle-covers-preview
And Our NFC (and Super Bowl thoughts) Preview:
Here are my plays…Lou and Pat will post theirs soon:
San Francisco to make the playoffs +195
Arizona Over 5.5
Seattle Under 8.5
LA Rams to win Division -125
Saints to win division +190
LA Rams to win NFC +1400 (now at +600)
LA Chargers to win division +175
Pittsburgh Under 10.5
Buffalo Under 6
Player Props:
Everson Griffen Sacks Leader +1000
Myles Garrett Sacks Leader +3300
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Leader +1200
Carson Wentz Passing Yards leader +2200
First Coach to be fired – Dirk Koetter +450
Will Colin Kapernick Play on a Team? No @ -700
CFL BONUS:
Montreal +16
World Cup Round of 8
5-1-1 so far in the knockout rounds….gonna try and keep it going. THe only game where I don’t like, but betting for hedging terms, is Brazil +110. We have Belgium at 11-1 to win it all, so taking the other side as insurance…..but my actual thoughts on the game itself though is that it is unbettable.
Russia/Croatia Draw +205
France/Uruguay Over 2 EVEN
England +110 ML
World Cup Round of 16 Saturday
France ML +135
Uruguay/Portugal Over 2 (+110)
Prop: Maradona has a Heart Attack in game -135
World Cup 2018
We didn’t get time to do a podcast for this one, but here are my World Cup 2018 plays:
To advance from group stage:
Denmark -120
Peru +145
To win group:
Belgium -140
Poland +200
To reach final:
Germany +240
To win World Cup:
Germany +450
Argentina +900
Belgium +1100
Colombia +4500
Lowest Scoring Team:
Panama +800
Costa Rica +1000
Golden Ball:
Lukaku +4000
Messi +900
CFL BONUS:
Roughriders +110
MTL at BC Lions Under 49 (-115)
Belmont Stakes and UFC 225 plays
Belmont Stakes:
Justify 11/10
Tenfold 10/1
UFC 225:
Rafael Dos Anjos +115
Parlay +861
Sergio Pettis +150, Claudia Gadelha-400, Mike Jackson-200, Rafael Dos Anjos+105
NBA Playoff Memorial Day Weekend
So, I have a betting theory where I love to bet teams who come home, down 3-2, in Game 6’s of playoff series. My theory is,you usually get a team’s best and most emotional performance, at home, to force a Game 7 to keep the season alive. I think this is part of the reason why road teams lose 75% of Game 7’s: they are so gassed from the adrenaline dump the game before (as well as the usual 1 day layover flight) that they cardio dump on the road in Game 7.
My first 4 figure bet was actually a Game 6 when the Mets (I know, what a risk) were home to St Louis in 2006 with Tom Glavine on the mound (which I shipped). For this year so far, I did this with Toronto vs Boston (NHL), Milwaukee vs Boston (NBA), and Washington vs Tampa (NHL) so far this year, and we’ve hit all of them.
Now, we have 2 more this weekend in the NBA: Cavs -7 (-105) and Warriors -10 (-115).
For the Cavs, they are coming off a blowout loss where the other team shot only 36%. LeBron looked as tired as I was with a hangover after watching the game at the bar. Watch his backcourt, who has sucked ass in Boston all series, suddenly get a pep in their step for Game 6 in their home gym with the crowd behind them. The Celtics are 1-8 on the road this postseason, and they have trailed by 14 or more points in every one of those game (including the one they won). I also expect a LeBron bounce back, and I am also taking the LeBron Over Points 35 (-120) prop.
The Warriors’ line is high at -10…but it’s now at -12 with Chis Paul out with a hamstring injury (a huge injury, IMO). The Rockets are 15-9 without Paul, and 61-12 with him this year. The Warriors are a great team, and this series has been great, so I expect a Game 7 in Houston for the ages.
UFC BONUS:
Stephen Thompson -110
