World Cup Round of 8
5-1-1 so far in the knockout rounds….gonna try and keep it going. THe only game where I don’t like, but betting for hedging terms, is Brazil +110. We have Belgium at 11-1 to win it all, so taking the other side as insurance…..but my actual thoughts on the game itself though is that it is unbettable.
Russia/Croatia Draw +205
France/Uruguay Over 2 EVEN
England +110 ML
World Cup Round of 16 Saturday
France ML +135
Uruguay/Portugal Over 2 (+110)
Prop: Maradona has a Heart Attack in game -135
World Cup 2018
We didn’t get time to do a podcast for this one, but here are my World Cup 2018 plays:
To advance from group stage:
Denmark -120
Peru +145
To win group:
Belgium -140
Poland +200
To reach final:
Germany +240
To win World Cup:
Germany +450
Argentina +900
Belgium +1100
Colombia +4500
Lowest Scoring Team:
Panama +800
Costa Rica +1000
Golden Ball:
Lukaku +4000
Messi +900
CFL BONUS:
Roughriders +110
MTL at BC Lions Under 49 (-115)
Belmont Stakes and UFC 225 plays
Belmont Stakes:
Justify 11/10
Tenfold 10/1
UFC 225:
Rafael Dos Anjos +115
Parlay +861
Sergio Pettis +150, Claudia Gadelha-400, Mike Jackson-200, Rafael Dos Anjos+105
NBA Playoff Memorial Day Weekend
So, I have a betting theory where I love to bet teams who come home, down 3-2, in Game 6’s of playoff series. My theory is,you usually get a team’s best and most emotional performance, at home, to force a Game 7 to keep the season alive. I think this is part of the reason why road teams lose 75% of Game 7’s: they are so gassed from the adrenaline dump the game before (as well as the usual 1 day layover flight) that they cardio dump on the road in Game 7.
My first 4 figure bet was actually a Game 6 when the Mets (I know, what a risk) were home to St Louis in 2006 with Tom Glavine on the mound (which I shipped). For this year so far, I did this with Toronto vs Boston (NHL), Milwaukee vs Boston (NBA), and Washington vs Tampa (NHL) so far this year, and we’ve hit all of them.
Now, we have 2 more this weekend in the NBA: Cavs -7 (-105) and Warriors -10 (-115).
For the Cavs, they are coming off a blowout loss where the other team shot only 36%. LeBron looked as tired as I was with a hangover after watching the game at the bar. Watch his backcourt, who has sucked ass in Boston all series, suddenly get a pep in their step for Game 6 in their home gym with the crowd behind them. The Celtics are 1-8 on the road this postseason, and they have trailed by 14 or more points in every one of those game (including the one they won). I also expect a LeBron bounce back, and I am also taking the LeBron Over Points 35 (-120) prop.
The Warriors’ line is high at -10…but it’s now at -12 with Chis Paul out with a hamstring injury (a huge injury, IMO). The Rockets are 15-9 without Paul, and 61-12 with him this year. The Warriors are a great team, and this series has been great, so I expect a Game 7 in Houston for the ages.
UFC BONUS:
Stephen Thompson -110
Kentucky Derby and NBA
NBA (We have the Celtics to win the series, +320, so we gotz hedge bucks!)
Philadelphia -8.5
Kentucky Derby:
Good Magic +1000
My Boy Jack +1200
Trifecta:
Justify/Audible/My Boy Jack
Final Four and Monster Parlay
Final Four:
I have a chance for some big bucks in two bracket pools I am in, and I basically need a Kansas vs Loyola Final to hit the 777. So we got some hedge money today!
Michigan ML -255
TEASER: Michigan -5.5 and Villanova -5 @ EVEN
Parlay +474
Anthony Joshua-700
Arizona Diamondbacks-150
Golden State Warriors-420
Michigan -255
Manchester City-300
Real Madrid-320
