Week 5 NFL and UFC 229
Arizona at SF Over 40 (-115)
These teams will fail upward to 40 points somehow.
Chiefs vs Jaguars Over 49 (-105)
I will also take a “Will Pat Mahomes throw an INT? – Yes” prop as he is due with 15 TDs, no INT so far this year. He’s pretty much a lock for MVP, barring injury.
Raiders at Chargers Over 53 (-105)
The lack of defense in this game will be played to Benny Hill music.
TEASER @ +150:
Chargers -5
Rams -7.5
Panthers -6.5
UFC BONUS:
Tonya Evinger +135
McGregor +155
Week 4 NFL
Miami +7 (-120)
The Pats are reeling right now. This kinda reminds me of 2002 when the team, coming off a Super Bowl, didn’t make enough additions in the offseason to offset the players who left as well as the weaknesses of the team that existed even in a Super Bowl year. The Pats as of right now only have 5 active WR on the roster: 1 is decent (Hogan), two of them are Special teams guys (Patterson/Slater), and the other two are super talented but unreliable and hurt (Gordon and Dorsett). Maybe they should of overpaid Amendola like Miami did. Gronk is getting triple teamed because of this and he’s frustrated. Brady has almost no one to throw to, and he’s pissed at the coach, who the fans in NE are starting to question more than at any time of his 18+ year tenure here. 6 out of the 8 guys they drafted are on IR, including the best of the bunch LB Ja’Whaun Bentley. They’ve lost two RBs to IR that were going to play a big role in the run game (Hill and Burkhead). Sony Michel might also suck. The defense still sucks; we paid Adrian Clayborn and Danny Shelton all this money and they have 3 tackles between them through 3 games. Maybe things stabilize when Edelman comes back and Gordon gets up to speed on the offensive side, but defensively this might be the worst team Belichick has had since 2006. This line is too high; Pats still might win at home and Miami might not be as good as their 3-0 record suggests considering they haven’t played a top team yet, but I don’t think the Patriots are seven points better than anyone right now.
Titans +3.5 (-110)
Former Patriot HC Mike Vrabel has done a good job managing the game flow for the Titans; the improvement over Mularkey (who clearly DGAF) shows. Vrabel also gives his team Tuesdays off if they win (I love these videos). The Titans win games ugly but they do so through excellent tackling, not turning the ball over, little penalties, and good special teams. When you win a game after QB Blaine Gabbert throws for 133 yards, the coaching staff is doing THEIR part. Philly is 2-1 but they have struggled in each game, and Carson Wentz still is in “preseason warmup” mode. Titans are probably a Wild Card team in the AFC, taking over the spot from the woeful Texans.
Jacksonville -7.5 (-110)
Sam Darnold is a promising QB, and the Jets are an OK team, but he’s going into the Jaguars den against the most intimidating front 7 in the NFL. Bortles putting enough points on the board is always a concern for a cover, but the Jags might get a defensive TD or two in this one as Darnold likes to take too many chances, something he has to improve on if he wants to become a consistently winning franchise QB, as supposed to a decent one.
Browns +3.5
This started at EVEN; all the money is going on the Raiders and I have no idea why (minus them being a public team). The Browns have the #1 defense. It’s Mayfield’s first start but he does it against a team with no pass rush and is the worst in the league in TO ratio.
SF at LA Chargers Over 46 (-110)
TEASER @ +150:
Houston +1
Jacksonville -7.5
Miami +7
DFS:
Bellator 206 BONUS:
Rampage Jackson vs Wanderlei Silva – Fight Goes to Distance – Yes @ +155
Week 3 NFL 2018
Packers -3 (-105)
This was the crowd in Washington last week. The Packers fandom travels extremely well. This will be a defacto home game for the Packers, against an average at best Washington team.
NY Giants at Houston Over 42 (-105)
These teams will fail upward to score points, IMO.
Cardinals +6 (-110)
Bears keep teams in games due to their inconsistent offense; they are young and promising however and that’s something to keep in mind next year.
PARLAY @ +375:
GB ML -150
NE ML -270
LA Rams ML -300
KC ML -280
TEASER: +150:
MIN -17
NE -7
KC -7
LA Rams -7
DFS:
UFC BONUS:
Renan Barao -160
UFC Fighters who have missed weight are 8-1 this year in fights
Week 2 NFL
Houston -3 (EVEN)
They looked shaky last week but they still almost covered and it’s Gabbert vs Watson. I take Watson, especially with no juice.
KC at PIT 53.5 OVER (-110)
There will be points in this fun AFC playoff preview. Even if its Dobbs instead of Big Ben.
CLE at NO OVER 49.5 OVER (-115)
Saints defense gave up 34 last week, and even with Cleveland’s ass offensive play calling and Tyrod “He’s aight” Taylor, should be enough points in this one. If it’s under 50 and the Saints are at home, I’m probably gonna keep firing until it stops.
Oakland +6.5 (-115)
Raiders looked bad and the Gruden Part 2 got off to a bad start, but the Broncos aren’t 6.5 points better than anybody right now. This should be a close, uninspiring, crappy game. Don’t watch it.
LA Rams -13 (-105)
They are simply the best team, and Arizona’s too green as of yet to really challenge them this early in the year.
DFS:
Week 1 NFL 2018
Cleveland +6 (-115)
This is now at 4.5 now we know that Bell is probably not playing. We have had history of going against the Steelers when they are 6 or more point favorites in the last two years (at Jets/at Miami/at Bears). They average 8 less points on the road than t home, Cleveland’s defense is good, and the Browns covered this game last year with Kizer, nevermind Tyrod Taylor (or Mayfield if Tyrod gets hurt).
Saints/Bucs Over 49.5 (-110)
It’s in the dome, should be points in this game.
Texans +6.5 (-110)
NE is only starting 3 WRs, so Texans should be able to bracket Gronk. The Texans and Watson covered in this game last year. Should be a fun, tight game and potential AFC Title Game preview. I fully expect the Texans to be up late, then Coach Bill O’Brien to nit it up to give the Pats the ball back, and Brady to win it late like he did last year.
Carolina -3 (-105)
The Gowin special. Two of the worst WR corps go at it in this one, but especially Dallas. I just don’t see how they move the balls against a very good Carolina defense at home, unless they win the field position battle by Newton throwing the ball in the dirt.
TEASER +120:
Saints -10
Vikings -6.5
Ravens -7
DFS:
NCAA BONUS:
GA vs S.Carolina Under 55 (-110)
When a point total moves 4+ from it’s originaly line (51 here), the Under hits 57% of the time
UFC BONUS:
Till vs Woodley – Fight Goes the Distance – YES @ +110
PARLAY @ +250: Suarez -500 + Magomedsharipov -1400 + Stamann +130
NFL 2018 Season Plays & Over/Unders
My confidence plays (all of these IRL 1u)
5pts (max) Bills Under 6.5
4) Colts Over 6.5
3) Browns Over 5.5
2) Panthers Under 8.5
1) Cardinals Over 5.5
Others:
Chiefs AFC West +305
Saints NFC South +170
Keenan Allen Most Receiving Yards +1200
Miracle Covers 2018 NFL Preview
It’s that time of year: NFL Preview time! Everybody has a chance in August!
Our AFC Preview:
https://soundcloud.com/miraclecovers/2018-afc-miracle-covers-preview
And Our NFC (and Super Bowl thoughts) Preview:
Here are my plays…Lou and Pat will post theirs soon:
San Francisco to make the playoffs +195
Arizona Over 5.5
Seattle Under 8.5
LA Rams to win Division -125
Saints to win division +190
LA Rams to win NFC +1400 (now at +600)
LA Chargers to win division +175
Pittsburgh Under 10.5
Buffalo Under 6
Player Props:
Everson Griffen Sacks Leader +1000
Myles Garrett Sacks Leader +3300
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Leader +1200
Carson Wentz Passing Yards leader +2200
First Coach to be fired – Dirk Koetter +450
Will Colin Kapernick Play on a Team? No @ -700
CFL BONUS:
Montreal +16
World Cup Round of 8
5-1-1 so far in the knockout rounds….gonna try and keep it going. THe only game where I don’t like, but betting for hedging terms, is Brazil +110. We have Belgium at 11-1 to win it all, so taking the other side as insurance…..but my actual thoughts on the game itself though is that it is unbettable.
Russia/Croatia Draw +205
France/Uruguay Over 2 EVEN
England +110 ML
