Weekend Plays
We won our NFL Draft under, a life first for me, with 12 SEC players taken. Player #12 didn’t go until the 32nd pick so our under 13 was good. It was looking difficult for there to be 14 so while there was a risk of a push, it didn’t seem likely to go over. It also turned out that under two QBs was a very solid play as maybe NFL teams are getting smarter and not taking crappy players at QB high in the draft anymore.
In baseball, I am now sure at this point that my filters are too stringent so I will tinker with the system setup some more. Our lean last night in Cahill won but went from -130 to -135 before start time. Two plays today:
Cleveland +145 @ KC (Kazmir/Santana)
SF @ SD Even (Lincecum/Cashner)
I will be away on Saturday so likely no plays over the weekend, but one in MLS I will post early and that is San Jose +150 away to Chivas.
Debating the under on DC/Columbus even though it is -150.
Blah
Not much happening this week and it’s been busy at work as well. I’ve missed a few bets with the day games and nothing at night has looked any good at all. The one bet I would have made was on the Cubs a few days back when they lost in 13. Still it’s better to not do anything than to do something monetarily harmful, so I’m not going to be bothered too much. I kind of like Cahill for Arizona tonight but need to see lineups and the public numbers before betting.
One play on the NFL Draft tonight
Total SEC Players Picked in 1st Round Under 13 -250 2u
There should be an MLS play somewhere for Saturday.
Soccer Play
Taking Bayern at home today FTW. For anyone who has been paying attention to league soccer, picking against Barca even drawing at the moment should not be considered overly daring, especially considering the opponent. Let’s hope Bayern can pick one up at home. The bet…
Bayern ML +110 @ 24
MLB Play
Shelby Miller is a very young, exciting talent for the St Louis Cardinals. Young, exciting pitchers can be often volatile, either tossing gems or getting bombed. They leave the 7 IP 3 ERs allowed lines to old men like Ryan Dempster or Ted Lilly. That is partly why I am taking the run line in this game, thinking Miller could shut the Nationals down completely. See what happens.
St Louis (-1.5) @ +156 @ Washington @ 22
Sunday
We went 2-1 on our MLS plays last night. The home favorites both won and Chicago got a late winner to beat Columbus 1-0. While it’s a pretty solid rule to never bet on a draw in soccer, I nearly did so on this Columbus Chicago game. The draw was around +225 and Columbus to win was around +210 so I took the +120 that pushed on the tie instead. I will need to revisit draw odds on these MLS games at some point since they are so low scoring. One game over 2.5 out of six last night.
Nothing in MLB again today. Two leans in Miami and Seattle both away, but I am short on time and will pass on both. Justin Grimm is starting for Texas today and while he’s a little old for a prospect, my intuition is telling me he’ll be just fine in the Rangers rotation.
MLB Plays
Cardinals ML -115 @ Phillies @ 22
Indians @ Astros Over 9 -101 @ 22
GM 1 Royals ML +135 @ Red Sox @ 22 (Ervin Santana Game)
Jake Westbrook has a 0.00 ERA but is only 1-1. Kyle Kendrick kinda sucks. The Indians and Astros offenses are both facing batting practice coaches. The Red Sox probably all partied last night.
MLS Saturday
We won our MLB wager yesterday as Pittsburgh cruised 6-0 leading to Braves Journal asking the following on the game thread:
Was there a game tonight? Did the Braves know?
5-4 on the season so far for +2.62u. Nothing looks good today in MLB and there are three games already underway. Vernon Wells has 5 home runs on the season for those who care.
Three plays in MLS today however and we will see how they do.
Columbus +120 No Draw @Chicago
RSL -167 vs. Chivas
Dallas -150 vs. Vancouver
Good luck out there today.
MLB Plays
Two So Far. I am down 100 Units exactly since 4/1
Over 7.5 -111 San Diego vs San Fran @ 22 Units
Indians ML -110 vs Astros @ 22 Units
Lincecum is awful as is Richard away from home. Betting against the Astros is nothing revolutionary at the moment, but I am getting a good price as I am wagering on a man that has not pitched well in about half a decade. Just be average, Kazmir, that should be plenty.
No Plays = No Posts
One play today Pittsburgh +108 W. Rodriguez at home to the Bravos & Tim Hudson. Debating Padres and Marlins both near +200 on the road.
Fun question from trivia the other night. Name all the pitchers who spent time in the Mets organization have thrown a perfect game.
Haven’t really gotten into weekend soccer yet but will update with any plays. Highlight of the weekend in MLS is the first ever Cannabis Cup as Seattle visits Denver. Be safe ya’ll.
Tuesday
Keeping things short today. One play tonight Milwaukee (Peralta) at home to SF (Zito).
