Saturday
2 for 2 on Friday and I wanted to repeat both bets today but cannot get a good price anywhere on the Cubs. Pinnacle has +116 but the best I can get is +101. Passing there because of the price difference but taking Houston again tonight with Harrell at Anaheim +161.
Quiet Week Busy Weekend
Not much doing the last few days with PSG giving Barca a scare in the quarterfinals our only action the last few days. One play this morning with a few more sure to come as I have time:
Cubs (Villaneuva) +145
Adding: Astros (Norris) +176
Astors are in Anaheim and I like fading Tommy Hanson here against Houston’s “Ace”
MLS
LA Galaxy @ Dallas U2.5 -125
I don’t actually know what Dallas’s team is called.
Tuesday
Took a few days off on holiday. Went 1-1 on baseball plays last Thursday and am 1-3 for the season (-1.68u)
No plays today with the Champions League about to kickoff and nothing in baseball tonight. Superdork on both league sides are not off to a good start.
Baseball Plays
NY Yankees @ Detroit Tigers -1.5 @ +118 for 18 Units
The Yankees are struggling at the moment, let’s ride the wave. And who the fuck is C C Sabathia these days anyway? And we get Verlander.
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Over 8 @ -101 for 10 Units
Boston Red Sox ML @ +112 for 17 Units
Both of these bets are based on the premise that Dickey needs to show me something fast. I mean, what?
Do not like anything at all about either the Mets/Marlins or Nats/Reds games.
Update
Also took…Cleveland @ Tampa Bay +1.5 +116 for 18 Units
Arizona DBacks @ Milwaukee Under 7.5 @ -105 for 23 Units
Oakland A’s ML @ -154 for 22 Units
SD Padres @ Colorado Rockies Over 10.5 @ -110 for 28 Units
Live In Bet Update (LIBU)
Interesting scores. My Red Sox and A’s picks prove I am a genius, my Rays and Tigers picks prove I know nothing. Watching the Pads/Rox game where the scoreboard operator was messing with Over fans. After a double play, they left the marker like there was still a man on first. Sure enough, the next guy up gets a hit and now there were men on 1st and 2nd. I felt bad for Chacin, the poor bastard didn’t even know that if he walked the next guy the bases would be loaded. 3-1 currently in the 4th, need to get to 11.
Update
LA Angels ML @ +126 for 33.45 Units
Soccer Play
Redknapp says this game is a must win. To my ill equipped soccer ears that sounds like “aggression.”
THE PICK
Wigan @ QPR Over 2.5 -112 15 Units
As of 4/1/13 = -9.78 Units
LIVE IN BET UPDATE
A hit post, a few saves, and Bobby Zamora unintentionally, but unquestionably, kicking a guy in the head, resulting in a red card, all seem to kill any chances of my bet. The crowd is booing the fouled player on Wigan for having his head recklessly placed on top of his shoulders with no regard for Zamora’s cleats.
NCAA Picks
The entire year, literally the entire damn year, I have thought Michigan has been overrated. And they have consistently proven what a fool I am. Let’s keep it rolling.
THE PICK
Michigan @ Syracuse +1.5 -102 32 Units
SIDE PICK
Michigan @ Syracuse Under 129.5 -108 24 Units
Thursday
We covered our U3.5 in Madrid yesterday. Odd match that was. One play so far today:
Twins Pelfrey +132 v Detroit
Considering the following:
Benfica -220 v Newcastle
Need teamsheets for this. Price is steep.
Myers Cle +156 @ Toronto
MLS is also looking blah this weekend. KC -133 and Dallas/Toronto Under 2.5 the best of the bunch.
EDIT: Taking Cleveland at the better price +170
MLB Over/Unders
I had a lost weekend this past weekend and wrote these at some point during it. I was thinking you would have to take me on my word, but seriously, not only do I have the Mets under I have the Padres over. If run differential counted in baseball I am pretty sure the Mets would be in 1st and the Padres in last. Note, I would like to apologize at how skimpy the rationale behind the picks are for me this year, but I will make up for it with increased pick activity during the season. Let’s see what I like.
- #10 Detroit Tigers (Under 92.5) I like Detroit’s rotation, but their closer situation is worrisome to say the least. For those of you who watched the Red Sox on a regular basis last year, you understand how crucial a stopper is.
- #9 San Diego Padres (Over 74.5) So we know that Carlos Quintin will be injured in the process of opening his mail tomorrow. The infield for San Diego is muy bueno.
- #8 Cincinnati Reds (Under 91)
- #7 St Louis Cardinals (Over 86) The Cardinals can pitch, and I am becoming increasingly attuned to how that impacts season O/Us.
- #6 Seattle Mariners (Over 77.5)
- #5 Chicago Cubs (Over 72.5)
- #4 New York Mets (Under 75) Excuse me? 75 wins? This is one of those situations which seems so obviously wrong that it has to be right.
- #3 Kansas City Royals (Over 77.5) When you pop this team on paper, they appear downright legit. And then you put them all in Royal uniforms and the whole thing goes to shit.
- #2 Atlanta Braves (Under 87.5) Read Detroit entry
- #1 Los Angeles Angels (Under 91.5) Again, legit concerns on bullpen.
Wednesday
Lots of discussion about PSG’s 2-2 draw against Barcelona yesterday. It doesn’t really change Barca’s chances of advancing very much at all with the 2 away goals. Pinnacle has Barcelona up to a -700 favorite (PSG +570).
One interesting note from Monday, KC Royals manager Ned Yost decided to bat 3b Mike Moustakas cleanup against lefty Chris Sale and Moustakas promptly left 7 men on base in a 1-0 loss to the White Sox. This is something to watch the next time KC faces a lefty.
Nothing doing in baseball today. Should have taken Iwakuma for Seattle last night at +125
