NCAA Marathon Live Blog
Over the next day or so the NCAA is doing their 24 hour marathon tip-off deal. I am going to live blog this as much as possible. Am I going to fall asleep at points? 1,000%. Will I be drinking casually throughout, you betcha.
21:15 EST
I am currently watching MNF while sipping on a St Ides. The glamor. I was speculating on what job Schiano will have this time next year. The easy answer is as an assistant somewhere in the NFL but I would not be shocked if he wound up coaching high school football for a bit.
21:45 EST
First bet is going to be Long Beach St +20.5 -106 @ 13. They are on the road to #6 Arizona.
22:00 EST
Internet anthropologists observing this live blog decades from now should not expect the continuous fast and furious pace these entries are currently being made in. I have a billion channels but apparently none of them are broadcasting the Arizona game. If things are competitive I’ll find it on the internet. In searching for the game, I realize that there is a station broadcasting girls’ Ohio high school volleyball. It’s listed as one of the Fox Sports channels, but I will refer to it as the Pedo Network until it proves me wrong. I hear a noise of someone walking around upstairs and I quickly flip the channel.
22:50 EST
Miami coming back in MNF, see how that goes. Watching Colo St vs Gonzaga. Larry Eustachy has reemerged. Get that man a beer. Miami takes the lead, see what happens in the 4th.
BYU ML +172 @ 11.
23:30 EST
This game is going back and forth. I have no idea which way it is going to go. Which team is going to win the Ohio high school volleyb…I mean. BYU is doing well against Stanford, up by 4 about a quarter through. The over/under for the game was pretty high for a college game (155) and it is deserved, these teams can shoot. You know you are in a sad state of ignorance when you are reading the comment section on espn to try to get scouting reports. These were 2 different comments I read…
“BYU have couple of big men that will make the night hell for Stanford offense”
“How is interior play? That is likely BYU’s weakness this year, especially on the defensive end”
Okay. Then there was this from someone who was listing reasons to bet against BYU…
“Can’t drink coffee and no Sex.”
There is definitely some irony gambling on and drinking to BYU. Looks like Tampa is going to seal things up.
0:23 EST
Lou hopping in here because I can’t be awake and not participate in these shenanigans. Is this a conference game? I no longer have the desire or wherewithal to keep track. If this is a conference game, BYU will be much better than most of the dreck that passed for Pac-12 basketball the past few seasons. It’s like Big East tackle football if that still exists. No idea if this will be an ‘up’ year for the Pac-12 or not.
0:35 EST
I’m reading a lot early this morning about all of these rule changes in college hoops this season designed to increase scoring. Why not just decrease the shot clock from 35 to 30?
0:37 EST
Just took a flyer on Kentucky to win the national championship at +375. Pinnacle had them at +300 so I can’t be that far off.
0:40 EST
0% chance Stanford wins this game currently down by 20. Their defense has been as poor as Stanford’s women’s offense was against UConn earlier tonight.
1:00 EST
Going to go hopefully 2-1 on the night. BYU should hold on. Wichita St is next, do not know how many would remember this but this team made it to the Final Four last year. That is reason enough to gamble against them.
W Kentucky +15.5 -106 @ 15
1:30 EST
Akron +9.5 -115 @ 14
To get back to Lou earlier, college sports essentially follow the pattern of non-conference early, and then hitting the conference sched up about quarter of the way through their season. W Kentucky hanging in…
2:45 EST
W Kentucky is crumbling before me. They are relying heavily on jump shots and they are simply not hitting them. But still about 10 minutes left. As I type W Kentucky has back-to-back 3 point possessions…
New Mexico St @ Hawaii -3.5 -112 @ 16
7:40 EST
Our picks are struggling at the moment. La Salle usually has a good basketball program, we are going to take Quinnipiac simply for the sake of action.
Quinnipiac +12 -102 @ 15
8:30 EST
The public action on La Salle is to be expected, massive, which makes me like our Quinn play all the more. I am going to add a bet on here.
Quinn/La Salle Under 156 -108 @ 14. FGC is starting to pull away from Hartford, this is the only game I didn’t bet on and if I had I would have gone for Hartford. The line ended somewhere around 7.5, we will see how things shake down.
8:45 EST
I had a dream the other night regarding fantasy football. It was a completely different set-up then anything I have ever seen. You have 10 player slots and 6 bench spots. When you draft or pick up a player you have the option of having him take 1, 2, 3 or 4 spots in your lineup, but you have to declare it. The spots the player takes up can be a mixture of starting lineup and bench. For example, you can have Calvin Johnson for let’s say 4 player slots, of which you can have those stats in the starting lineup, on the bench, or a combo. In such a league there are no positions really, just players. I can’t decide if this would be an ungodly clusterfuck or if the idea has merit. Probably clusterfuck, but I kind of like it.
9:45 EST
Where BYU and to a lesser extent Stanford had aesthetic beauty in their game to hit an over, these teams follow the quantity over quality method. The number of shots taken within the first 10 seconds of the shot clock is way out there. Currently we are on pace to cover both bets, but if these d-bags keep chucking who the hell knows. I think I have to bet UMass later but the public money has to be all over them.
10:45 EST
Should cover both bets in the Quinn/La Salle game. Basketball left to play, though. All the action is on UMass, I will join the herd.
UMass -5 -106 @ 12
LSU/UMass Under 157.5 -106 @ 13
Speaking of LSU, we are coming of age to college athletes named Shaq. Deadspin did shit about this roughly a month ago, I am just too lazy to reference it, but there is a crazy number of Shaqi emerging onto the scene.
11:48 EST
Public numbers are here: http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-college-basketball-public-betting-chart though I’m not sure how much good they are this early in the season. I also don’t know how much public numbers matter in basketball in general. I don’t have public numbers in my totals engine for baseball for example, but it’s the first thing I look at in everything else. NFL public numbers aren’t correlated until week 3.
11:51 EST
Mediocre basketball! UMass is up 5. Again I have no useful knowledge, but with all of these ticky-tack fouls being called, it should bump scoring up because of the free throws. I’m sure this is reflected in the totals. Good shooting teams, like BYU, may need to get an extra point or two on their spreads because of the additional free throws per game this season versus last.
11:54 EST
That was Lou talking, not Pat. Not that anyone else is reading. Hi Ed!
11:55 EST
UMass has fully 40% of their points from the foul line. This is awful to watch. I’m going back to do some work now.
13:05 EST
Lou is right, this game is ugly. And by ugly I mean they have smooshed the over. If this game was 12-9 at this point I’d be calling it a masterpiece. Anyway. UMass is up by 6 with 2 minutes to go.
WV -3 -110 @ 12
14:30 EST
The S Carolina/Baylor game is the only game on for the next few hours, which means I shall be napping. Va Tech is on about a 66-3 run right now so we’ll see how that goes.
S Carolina +13.5 -110 @ 20
17:00 EST
S Carolina is hanging tough against Baylor. NC State/Cincy is next and then there is about a trillion games on this evening. Down money? Gamble on a team that you don’t even know their mascot. That solves everything.
Cincinnati -7 -104 @ 14
18:00 EST
LIU +23.5 -107 @ 12
LIU/Indiana Under 172.5 -117 @ 18
172/173 is just about as high as over/unders get in college basketball. If you get a span of 3 minutes with only a bucket you are looking pretty good. I love me a good under. Cincy/NC St tied at the half.
19:00 EST
The power of Christ compels me to bet the marque games this evening.
Mich St -4 -106 @ 12
I will definitely make a poor decision in the Duke game later. (Hint: Duke) Cincy is pushing at this moment, LIU and the under are covering, life is lovely. Also…
College of Charleston -6.5 -102 @ 13
NFL Plays
The bet to make on Thursday was the Over. Negative amounts of D at times.
Bills/Steelers Under 42.5 +100 16
Lions -1 -103 27
Side note to be examined in the future, pretty fucked up lines here for 1 Q
Sun 11/10 | 215 | Cincinnati Bengals | -0.5 +156 | +101 | Over 7.5 +105 | ||
10:00 AM | 216 | Baltimore Ravens | +0.5 -177 | -114 | Under 7.5 -118 |
Bengals 1st Half ML -105 19
All for this moment. Made add more before GameTime
****UPDATE****
2nd Half Bet Raiders/Giants Under 21 +100 @ 15
****UPDATE THE DEUCE****
Positives so far today. 4 o’clock plays
PARLAY 49ers -6 -105 Texans +3.5 -104 @ 14
****3rd Update****
Bucs ML +118 @ 14
NFL Sunday
Ugly day yesterday with two terrible teams losing again, giving back a lot of our win from Friday. In the NFL today, the short list is looking quite sparse. Carolina, Atlanta, San Diego and Dallas are the only options using just the public numbers, and there are a number of reason why those teams are particularly unpopular. Atlanta is out because of their heavy line move and I really don’t see anything on the Chargers that warrant betting them.
Carolina and Dallas are interesting for a couple of reasons. They are obviously anti-public teams or they wouldn’t be on the shortlist, but they both also had a reverse line move this week, and their opponents, SF and NO are the #1 and #2 picks in the Hilton contest this week. For those unaware, the top 5 picks each week in the Hilton contest should be avoided at all costs and possibly bet the other way as the record on those plays is something like 11-33 so far. Any one factor doesn’t make a team worth betting, but when three or more variables start pointing the same way, I start paying attention.
NFL
Carolina +6 -115 @ San Francisco
Dallas +6 -105 @ New Orleans
I would not take 5.5 on either of these.
Bookmaker Garbage Line Teaser
NYG -1, IND -2 -120
Nothing in hockey today.
Rebound
Tough last week but you can only win if you bet more!
NCAA:
Texas A&M v Miss State Over 68
UFC:
Vitor “The Phenom” Belfort vs Dan “Hendo” Henderson – Total Rounds 2.5 Over at -110
NFL:
Teaser: Baltimore +1 and Under 44 (a hedge versus my Cincy win AFC North bet)
Dallas at New Orleans Over 54
Denver (-7) at San Diego, the Over 58, and both in teaser
Chicago (pick) vs Detroit
I now present the worst call of the year (even worse than the penalty kick Chelsea FC’s Ramires got today in the 94′ versus West Brom to salvage a 2-2 tie, thanks to a Eden Hazard PK):
Saturday
NCAA
Purdue +15.5 at home to Iowa
Kentucky +14.5 I am waffling on, but if there’s another tackle football game today for me, this will be it.
NHL will have to check in later. There’s nothing right now.
UPDATE: Kentucky started already and I didn’t get a bet in. I really thought it was a night game.
UPDATE #2: This is really ugly. Florida +165 @ Ottawa. Florida is winless in 7 and just got a new coach & Ottawa has been much improved of late.
Nothing Today
No plays in hockey or tackle football and nothing even close. All winners yesterday.
NCAA 6-7 -1.34
NFL 6-3 +2.01
NHL 7-5 +4.56
Several games look promising for tomorrow’s college slate but NFL is not promising. Nothing much out there at last check. Not that a 1-0 week is anything to be ashamed of :)
NFL Play
As Louis said, lot of stuff going on out there tonight. For the most part I am going to just be a very interested spectator, which in Vegas speak means, “lame guy who is taking up a chair in the sports book.” The one play I am making is in contradiction to Louis with Wash -1 -106 @ 21.
Month to Date : +46.45
Thursday
Today in gambling reminds me of our old Sports Trivia days, “Question 9: Sports!”
Hockey has one straightforward play tonight, Vancouver +156 @ San Jose. Senators were a winner on Tuesday.
College tackle football, Stanford +10 -110 at home to Oregon
Lastly, in Professional tackle football, I have Minnesota +1 at home to Washington.
There is NBA tonight as well, but I do not yet know how to wager on it. :(
Good luck out there.
Fight Club
UFC on Fox Sports 1 tonight. I am currently up 9.5 units on the year in MMA, let’s keep this ball rolling.
On top of that, the fights tonight are at Fort Campbell for the US Troops, benefiting the Intrepid Fund, which benefits soldiers with tramatic brain injury. You can check out the site and make a donation here.
Here are my picks:
Michael “Maverick” Chiesa vs Colton Smith to go the distance at +110
Tuesday
Some bookkeeping and a play in hockey:
NCAA is down to 5-7 -2.34
NFL is 5-3 with yesterday’s injury-aided win +1.01.
NHL, 5-5 +1.85 with Ottawa +115 going tonight.
Also a note from Captain Obvious: It’s easier to be in the plus instead of minus when the games you’re betting have a ‘+’ in front of them.