Category: NFL
Monday
Buffalo was an NFL loser yesterday thanks to their inability to stop touchdowns from occurring on 3rd and 20. I wasn’t around to get anything down on a teaser or the Cardinals which would have lost and won respectively. Very tempted to have a go with the Rams tonight at +13 at home to Seattle. This is basically the same as last week’s game with the Cardinals, only St. Louis doesn’t have a quarterback. I can’t bet Seattle, so it’s St. Louis or pass. I probably pass here.
No hockey yesterday. Washington is very close today at Vancouver, but I’ll wait a few hour since it’s a west coast game.
Sunday
I am hungover too. 1-1 on hockey yesterday for a small win. 4-4 for +1.5 so far. In NCAA Colorado was a loser by more than 13. 5-6 -1.34 for me now on that season.
Only one NFL play for me so far and it’s Buffalo +11 @ New Orleans. Pat, Sean, their parents and roughly 80% of the betting public are all taking New Orleans today. It’s also a top 5 Hilton contest pick along with Dallas, Seattle, Minnesota and Atlanta. That all points me to the away team and I’d be backing up the truck somewhat if this game were in Buffalo. Also no Jimmy Graham today for the Saints.
I may end up taking Arizona in the late game, but it will depend on the line and if I’m around. Will check for any teasers here too before kickoff.
Screaming Hangover
But I am boozing again so it’s fine. I will live. These are plays I have and I kind of like them. I have to write these down or otherwise I am likely to make opposing bets.
Cleveland +7.5 -119 @ KC
Buffalo @ NO Saints -11 -103
Miami (+6) @ NE
Jets (+5) @ Cincy
Pitt @ Oak Under 40.5 -102
Saturday Streaking
NCAA:
Texas A&M vs Vanderbilt Over 70
I’ve hit this 4 weeks in a row. As long as Manizel plays….and we’re gambling. Vandy also averages 33 points a game, and 37 at home.
UFC:
Ross “The Real Deal” Pearson +130
NFL:
KC – 9 and Teaser with Under 39.5 vs CLE
Jason Campbell is starting for the Browns. I had the displeasure of watching this guy in the second half of a Ravens game I bet on……the line was a sweat but with the way Campbell threw the ball (in the dirt): it wasn’t. He’s awful. If this were Weeden, I’d stay away…but we will take the points.
Dallas +3 + Over 48 Teaser @ DET
This should be a wild game full of mistakes. Could turn out to be important in the wild card picture in the NFC
Denver/Washington Over 59
The Over in Denver’s games this year is 6-0-1 so far this year. Plus anytime I get to bet an over where D’Angelo Hall is involved, I jump in it.
New Orleans -11
Might also throw this in a teaser with GB (-10) at Minnesota.
I am also betting against Tampa Bay the rest of the year…….to put it bluntly, they hate their coach. I put a hundo on the Panthers Thursday (who are playing really good ball right now) wit hthis logic in mind. The only thing that stopped Cam Newton on Thursday night was the Bucs’ cannon:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=Tc6GbsmAnJs
Thursday
Short post again today. Ottawa was an easy winner in hockey yesterday. One play again today and it’s the terrible Rangers +130 @ the equally Terrible Flyers. Another unentertaining sporting event that we are also gambling on is the NFL game tonight. I was on the fence betting this game, but the line move to 7 has pulled me in. Tampa +7 -110, fading the public on a home game per usual. Nothing ridiculous doing on either game, just a standard 1u.
Monday
Good day all around yesterday as our Bookmaker garbage line special teaser came in and the Colts both won and covered. Last week’s teaser was a big one and went 5-2 for a small loss, this week’s was a three team round-robin that won. I’m going to count teasers that end up on the plus side as wins and minuses as losses. Most of the teasers will end up as small losses, but the hope, like most of the other sports, is a small win at the end of the season. Teasers are 1-1 for -0.2 now to date.
NFL with yesterday’s small win is 4-1 +2.21.
Tonight’s game is Minnesota +3.5 at the 0-6 Giants. The public is all over the Giants so it’s Minnesota or nothing tonight. I’m inclined to pass on this game entirely, but that may change before tonight.
Lastly, nothing doing in hockey again as the Calgary line is too high to be a play. I’m definitely not about to go granting exceptions to games that don’t match the system I built, especially since I have no proof other than some light testing that it’s even profitable. I think it will work, but obviously no guarantees. 1-2 -0.7 in the early season there.
Sunday
2-1 yesterday on NCAA, 5-5 -0.24 for the season. Not much doing in NFL today. Bovada is kind enough to still have +4 on Tennessee at home to SF which I would play if it were available to me. It’s not so I’m passing. I may be able to run a small teaser to take advantage of Bookmaker’s shitty lines, but it will need to win until 15-20 minutes prior to kickoff.
I’ll update again in a bit.
UPDATE: Just a small 3-team round robin teaser today. GB -2.5, BAL +8.5, and CAR -1
UPDATE 2: 1/2 unit on Indy +6
Quick Hits
“Looooooooooots of action!” as Karna would say, trying to recover from a disastrous Thursday.
NCAA:
Texas A&M vs Auburn Over 72 (Manziel has been killing these overs. A&M’s defense isn’t very good, either).
UFC:
Gabriel “Napao” Gonzaga +150 (Brazilian, fights out of Ludwig, MA. Good veteran, has won last 3 fights by TKO. Fighting Shawn Jordan, who used to play DT at LSU..athletic but raw talent who has won last 4 fights).
Sad Friday
We came close to a miracle cover last night but Arizona was ultimately stopped on a late 4th down in a Seattle win. It honestly looked and felt like a college game where one team was just more talented than the other. 3-1 on my abbreviated NFL season to date for +1.8 as I had the same action last night as I did on Oakland last week.
Edmonton was also a loser in hockey 3-2 as was Sean’s #Loustrong parlay. One hockey game tonight, Phoenix +135
Thursday Night Crapball
The NFL wants to do another one of these Thursday games, and maybe even a West Coast 10pm game?
I guess the boys in New York enjoy setting money on fire (because if you’d take away one Sunday game – I guarantee you over time, a Sunday game will get more of a ratings share than BOTH of the Thursday Night games combined).
Television is still so bad however that TNF has beaten prime time network ratings 14-out-of-15 weeks (the only show to beat it was “Big Bang Theory”, which I still believe is a propaganda OP to get me to watch LESS television).
While I am not always a fan of the Sports Hub’s 98.5’s Michael Felger, he did keep it real when he said: (during the time of the lockouts of NFL/NHL): “its amazing how these guys seem to make boatloads of money….despite trying their best to get in their own way!”.
It’s an incredible level for sure to have a league, right after PBS’ documentary, “League of Denial” (about it the NFL’s corporate denial of concussions causing brain disease CTE), respond with a PR campaign along with throwing money at the problem to be “serious about player safety”…..only to do something that compromises that very goal (just to make “more money”).
This also goes for 18 game seasons: how the fuck am I going to bet on this shit when half the players on the teams’ playing are on the injured list?
Of course, the rumor could of been a “PR flyer” by the NFL (an organization releases a rumor to see if it would get positive/negative reaction, and then proceed to make a move based off of said reaction). They’ve denied it:
Wondering where the idea of Thursday night doubleheaders came from? So are we. We have not considered this
— Brian McCarthy (@NFLprguy) October 16, 2013
As for the game tonight, I think it is actually toss up. Seattle could blow them out, Arizona could make it a slugfest. Arizona is currently +7 on Bovada (-140). This will be the first of three straight games at home for the Cardinals, who will attempt to try to win their first divisional game of the 2013 NFL Season. Seattle comes into town with the league’s second ranked defense and 10th ranked offense (which Lou has noted, is banged up). Arizona’s defense is also good, and they have won 7-out-9 at home versus Seattle (in which the under has hit in the last four games, due to the classic division-style, “slobberknocker” games). These style of games are so fucking awful to watch on television. The NE Patriots v NY Jets Week 2 game was maybe one of the worst sporting events I have ever attended (although it won’t beat a shitty NBA game)…..and I root for one of the teams.
I then, in the spirit of craptastic football, like the under 41 (-110) tonight between these two uninspiring football teams on this inspiring day of the week (although both teams do make, and give up, spectacular plays).
I’m also doing a $5-for-$30 parlay special, inspired by Lou with both Edmonton +130 and Arizona +200. Let’s add the over in the Edmonton/NY Islanders game at 6 (EVEN) as well, since I am so far up 2 units on the trend of higher goal scoring (maybe due to less goalie pads as I have noted in a previous post).
Tweet of the Week:
Just heard breaking news: Washington Redskins dropping Washington from their name because it is embarrassing.
— Scott McNealy (@scottmcnealy) October 15, 2013
