Category: NFL

A New Season

As the 2013 NFL season approaches, it’s a clean slate for everybody.  You know, like when a coach calls a timeout before an opposing FG….and the kicker misses the FG.

I have various future action this year:

Cincinnati (+215, now to +200) to win AFC North

I’m counting on a Lewis-less Baltimore decline (also, their slot WR and backup tight end combing age would be eligible for  Medicare), a depth deprived Steelers team (with no offensive line), and the poor Browns to contribute to one of the weaker divisions of the year.  I believe Cincy, on paper: has the NFLs 2nd best defense (behind Seattle), unique weapons on the outside in Gresham and AJ Green (the second best WR in the NFL) and they are deep in the RB department.    Their second half schedule is SUPER weak too.  They might start the year 2-3 or 1-4 and finish 11-5.

Chargers Under 7.5 (-125)

Fuck Philip Rivers.  That is all.

Here’s also some random UFC action tonight (hint: bet fighters FROM Brazil fighting IN BRAZIL vs fighters who AREN’T); I’ll post my NFL picks later in the week

Marcos Vinicius + 275
Rafael “Sapo” Natal -190
Glover Teixiera -450 (He’s won 19 in a row, and needs one more win for a title shot vs Jon Jones).

The SuperPowers: Mayock and Johnson do the 1994 Grey Cup

Amazing stuff here; Gus mus love him a rouge.

Mayock and Johnson 1994 Grey Cup

Things we’re rooting for:

The Heat to lose Game 6 so I can bet my BR on them in Game 7.

Bruins first to score in Game 1 on the EDF vs Pittsburgh (+110)

Thiago Silva +170 vs Rafael “Feijao” Cavalcante on UFC on FUEL TV 10

Weekend Plays

We won our NFL Draft under, a life first for me, with 12 SEC players taken.  Player #12 didn’t go until the 32nd pick so our under 13 was good.  It was looking difficult for there to be 14 so while there was a risk of a push, it didn’t seem likely to go over.  It also turned out that under two QBs was a very solid play as maybe NFL teams are getting smarter and not taking crappy players at QB high in the draft anymore.

In baseball, I am now sure at this point that my filters are too stringent so I will tinker with the system setup some more.  Our lean last night in Cahill won but went from -130 to -135 before start time.  Two plays today:

Cleveland +145 @ KC (Kazmir/Santana)

SF @ SD Even (Lincecum/Cashner)

I will be away on Saturday so likely no plays over the weekend, but one in MLS I will post early and that is San Jose +150 away to Chivas.
Debating the under on DC/Columbus even though it is -150.

Blah

Not much happening this week and it’s been busy at work as well.  I’ve missed a few bets with the day games and nothing at night has looked any good at all.  The one bet I would have made was on the Cubs a few days back when they lost in 13.  Still it’s better to not do anything than to do something monetarily harmful, so I’m not going to be bothered too much.  I kind of like Cahill for Arizona tonight but need to see lineups and the public numbers before betting.

One play on the NFL Draft tonight

Total SEC Players Picked in 1st Round Under 13 -250 2u

There should be an MLS play somewhere for Saturday.

 

NFL Plays

Saints ML +112
Jax Jags +3.5 -106
Bills +3 -115
Browns ML +116

Just looked at those last 3 picks.  Jags, Bills, Browns ML.  That is Murderer’s Row, ’27 Yankees type stuff.  Was my keyboard laughing at me while I was typing that?  Likely more lunacy to follow.

NFL Plays

Buffalo Wild Wing commercials, I realized what’s messed up about them.  They only show people where their team is winning.  They never show the Cleveland Buffalo Wild Wings, where conversations go something like this,

Guy One  “So remind me why the fuck we came here.”

Guy Two  “I could be working on my lawn right now.”

At any whoots, I think if the Giants, ie The Most Ever Team Schizophrenic (had to stretch to get METS) have shown us anything these days it is that the final score is going to be either 34-7 (infamous) Giants or 17-10 Cleveland.  Those are the only possible outcomes.  What both of these results have in common…they both hit the under, the only safe bet going.  Cleveland is going to rely on Trent Richardson and that is that.  With “that” said, the under is currently 43 and I am assuming it will only go higher as time gets nearer to kick-off.  I will update with the final number but I will assuredly be taking the under.  Other stuff.

Cincy and the Under

Wash and the Under

Philly Under

And the Giants under hit 44.  As i write this, T Richardson scored before time started on the clock so my bet is already rock solid.  Good luck, bitches

 

 

 

NFL Plays

I think I am 1-8 in my pick em league right now.  Forward!  Those picks…

Titans (+12) @ Houston

Carolina (+7) @ Atlanta

NE Pats @ Buffalo (+4)

And some side degeneracy…

Seattle @ St LouisUnder39.5

Almost certainly more to follow…

 

NFL Bets – 2nd Half – Sluuuuuuuuuuts

Philly (-4.5, +100) 90 Units

Chargers (-4, -101) 100 Units

NFL Winners

Raiders ML (+180) 50 Units

Houston @ Denver under (43.5, -105) 55 Units

Eagles (-3, -123) @ Arizona 44 Units

NFL 2nd half Drunk Bafoonery

Skins/Bengals 2nd half under 24 (-115) 44 to win 38.26

Titans 2nd half (+11, -320) 30 to win 9.38