Category: NFL
Thursday Plays
IND @ HOU Under 41
Andrew Luck is out tonight for the Colts. Hasselbeck is also banged up. Ryan Mallett sucks and probably has a short leash. We may see some Josh Johnson tonight for the Colts. Wow is quarterbacking in the NFL bad.
WIN @ BOS Over 5 (-120)
No Chara tonight for the Bruins. The Bruins are also not putting Pasternak on the PP. This is why they have the worst PP in the league.
And one small parlay:
WIN ML +110 and Over 5 (+240)
MNF 10.5
Good weekend for me and great news today as we hit our “Joe Philbin +150 to be fired” bet.
The next bad coach we can take advantage of is Jim Caldwell, who according to Lions WR Golden Tate, who claimed opposing defenses were calling out their plays. Add to Matthew Stafford being an INT and TAINT machine vs one of the best secondaries in the league in the toughest play to play in the league, and this looks like a good time to jump on Seattle -10, the under at 43.5, and putting both in a teaserr. I think Seattle destroys them tonight, even without Marshawn Lynch.
Here are our NHL season leans. I also like Winnipeg to make the playoffs -105, and Edmonton to NOT make the playoffs -130
A handful of @NHL futures as we gear up for Wednesday:@TBLightning to win:
Atlantic +140
East +587
Cup: +925@NHLBruins OVER 88.5 points— Miracle Covers (@miraclecovers) October 5, 2015
NFL Week 4
SD v CLE Over 45
Broncos -7
I don’t know how Minnesota throws the ball on Denver today.
TEASER (+375):
SD -7
DEN -7
ARI -6
GB -8.5
ATL -6
BONUS PROP:
Joe Philbin to be Fired +150
If the Dolphins lose to the Jets in London today, they’ll can him.
NFL Week 3
St. Louis +2 (-115)
This is now at +1.5 (-110). The public loves Pittsburgh this week.
Titans ML +155
The Colts might be imploding. Today is the start of a 4-game home stand for the Titans. They don’t play another road game until November 1. Man, is the AFC South bad; the winner of this division might be 7-9 this year.
BUF @ MIA Over 43
It’s hot in Miami, and this usually loosens up the defenses by the 2nd half and opens the play up. Also, both teams are kinda over rated on defense IMO.
TEASER (+140):
NE -14
SEA -14.5
CAR -10
DFS Lineups for today:
My #DFS lineups for today: pic.twitter.com/smGxJrP8Tn
— Sean ♠️ (@Seanismoney) September 27, 2015
TNF Bets 9.24
Washington +4 (-120)
I don’t think the Giants are 4 points better than anybody right now. This is also a hedge for our WSH Season Under 6.5 bet.
Cincinnati/Memphips Under 70
Hat tip to buffaloholdem on twitter for this one. We took his Temple/Umass Under 55 lean last week as well as the 2H Under 30.
TEASER:
Washington +4
Cincinnati/Memphips Under 70
May you find the goal any way you can tonight:
VIDEO: Keeper discovers that throwing the ball right into an opponent's head is a bad idea http://t.co/AuzCi6CQIp pic.twitter.com/DCELXSfo8r
— Deadspin (@Deadspin) September 23, 2015
MNF Lean
Jets +7 (-115)
This is now at -125. I think if the Jets stay committed to the run and control the clock, they’ll have a shot. CB Antonio Cromartie is also playing tonight. The Colts are sneaky bad; good QB but that is about it. Hilton has a bum hamstring, they still can’t stop the run, the free agents they picked up were good in 2010 and the coach is bad and on a lame duck season. Bad vibes all around.
I don’t usually bet on the Jets, but I took the Raiders =& in the 4PMs as I was stuck….. and I got there.
And here’s some awesome fail in CFB this weekend:
#luckoftheirish https://t.co/Y7D6O0wKnt
— Fake SportsCenter (@FakeSportsCentr) September 19, 2015
SEC! pic.twitter.com/ckhl8ejJad
— Deadspin (@Deadspin) September 19, 2015
Oops pic.twitter.com/bIM9vQNSQf
— Deadspin (@Deadspin) September 19, 2015
NFL Week 2
Here are my leans for this week:
PIT -6 (-105)
This has fallen from -7 to -6. I think the Steelers bounce back today and Antonion Brown has a big game vs an average 49ers defensive backfield. I will say, the 49ers looked pretty good on defense last week – but that might be more due to the fact the Vikings offense blows. BTW, the Steelers are most likely in “America’s teaser” today.
TEN -1 (-110)
Bet against Johnny Manziel anytime you can. Most of the money is on the Titans, but I still feel confident as the Browns are 1-9 in the their last season openers. The most hilarious one of them being from LB Dwyane Rudd throwing off his helmet and getting a penalty at the end of the game after a sack, allowing KC to get a late FG.
CIN -3.5 (+105)
I got this early before the juice moved; it is now at -110. This is a 1 o’clock start and West Coast teams usually struggle. And the Bengals looked pretty good in Week 1, thanks to fantasy sleeper TE Tyler Eifert.
CHI +2 (-110)
Arizona is missing Andre Ellington today. I hate betting on Jay Cutler but I think this is a coin flip game and I’ll take the points.
SEA/GB Over 49 (-115)
There will be alot of big plays in this one.
Lou also likes TB +10….but I just can’t bet on Jameis Winston (unless I am counting on a ride from the strip club from him). But its a good bet as 80+% of the money is on the Saints.
TEASER:
PIT -6
DET +3
SEA/GB Over 49
I’m also doing a 7 team parlay today, that is below:
My 7 leg parlay for #NFL today: pic.twitter.com/QYEGUGHtTZ
— Sean ♠️ (@Seanismoney) September 20, 2015
And here are my DFS lineups:
And here are my DFS lineups today: pic.twitter.com/VKSNGcPdBO
— Sean ♠️ (@Seanismoney) September 20, 2015
TNF Lean 9.17
I like the Chiefs tonight -3 (-105). Early season Thursday night favorites killed last year, for a factor of reasons:
1) Most of these games are divisional. And divisional home teams usually do well, even if their records suck, because they know the other side so well. The first 5 games on TNF last year were huge blowouts for the favorites.
2) Short turnarounds: you give a team 4+ days to prepare for a divisional opponent? That’s awfully tough.
KC bullish reasons:
3) Travis Kelce is a beast, probably the second best tight end in the NFL behind Gronkowski (why not Jimmy Graham? Kelce can actually block). His numbers are more amazing considering the fact that KC hasn’t thrown a TD pass to a WR in over 17 straight games.
4) Peyton Manning’s noodle arm. He was 0-12 on passes that went long than 15 yards last game vs the Ravens. The majority of his completions were bubble screens. This is not good if you are a Broncos fan; I expect KC to play aggressive tonight and make Manning prove he can throw the ball deep. 70% chance of rain tonight in KC as well.
5) Denver’s offensive line looked really shaky, and are up against two excellent bookend DEs in Houston and Halu.
6) CJ Anderson, the Broncos starting RB, is probably not playing tonight.
Two bearish reasons: The Broncos defense looked fairly good last game and 65% of the money is on KC.
I’ll leave you with this goal of the year in UCL yesterday:
http://twitter.com/FootyLiveVines/status/644228870078623744
NFL Week 1
Miami -4 (EVEN)
This is now at -120. I think the money came in after RGIII was cleared to play!
Jacksonville +3.5
I think someone wins this game 17-16
Rams +4 (-110)
Seattle’s gonna have issues in pass protection as they traded away their center for Jimmy Graham.
Dallas/NYG Over 52 (-110)
Probably gets to 54 by gametime.
TEASER:
GB -7*
Miami -4
Dallas/NYG Over 52
*everybody in America has Green Bay in a teaser today
2015 NFL Over/Unders
Unlike baseball, this is a best of 5 format between Pat, Sean and myself. Also unlike baseball, I have not been getting progressively worse over the past several seasons. Winner gets a pub crawl and the losers have to watch. Here are my plays and sad justifications…
5) Arizona UNDER 8.5
I don’t think there is any unit on this team one can point to and state that it’s improved from last year. Somehow this team went 11-5 despite playing only three good games (weeks 9-11) in the entire fucking season. They should have finished 5-11 and spared everyone the worst playoff performance by a quarterback since Jake Delhomme.
4) Atlanta OVER 8.5
Hometown pick as the Falcons get the easiest schedule in the NFL and an actual player who can rush the opposing quarterback! That should turn the secondary from swiss cheese into something malleable but without massive holes leaving the offensive line as the only area of significant weakness. Having the best QB in the division also helps compared with an aging interception machine, wet dream option QB and black Johnny Manziel
3) Dallas OVER 9.5
The Falcons with Dallas’s offensive line would win at least 13 games. Dallas can beat up nearly every opponent and slow things down just enough to grind out lots of wins that fail to cover the spread. We can all marvel as Tony Romo morphs in to present day Chris Chandler right in front of us.
2) Tennessee OVER 5.5
Here’s an instance where I would feel far more comfortable backing this shitty team if the coaching staff were competent enough to take what their players are actually good at and plan on accentuating those things instead of forcing a scheme and then bitching about how the players can’t execute. Fortunately, Marcus Mariota is good enough to overcome this handicap with a cupcake schedule and division and the fact that this is the least popular team in the NFL and most likely candidate for the black and white game of the week.
1) Washington UNDER 6.5
See Sean’s post below. We here at Miracle Covers enjoy betting on failure and hopefully they’ll win just enough to pick #2 in the draft again.