Category: NFL
NFL Week 8
Indianapolis -3 (-105)
The Raiders suck. Bet against them every week.
Jets +9
The Bears will keep them around; both teams are banged up.
TEASER +140:
Los Angeles Rams -9 (-280)
New Orleans Saints +1.5 (-280)
Pittsburgh Steelers -8 (-280)
DFS:
Week 7 NFL
Jacksonville -4 (-105)
They are going to be mad this week at home after 2 frustrating losses. Houston sucks and DeShaun Watson has been sacked the most out of any QB this year.
Indianapolis -7 (-105)
I will take Luck over Anderson. Maybe he gets hurt and we see the Nathan Peterman experience again! BTW he has still had the case of the bad turnover…but Luck has played pretty well this year, considering who he is throwing to.
Browns at Bucs Over 53 (-110)
Ravens vs Saints Under 49 (-110)
Parlay (+207):
Kansas City Chiefs ML (-265)
Los Angeles Rams ML (-500)
Jacksonville Jaguars ML (-230)
Indianapolis Colts ML (-340)
TEASER (+150):
Indianapolis Colts -7
Jacksonville Jaguars -4
Kansas City Chiefs -7
DFS:
NFL Week 6
Arizona at Minnesota Over 44
Miami +3.5 (-110)
The Dolphins have struggled, and shitted away a game last week with 2 TOs for TDs in the 4th. The Bears are coming off a 45 point week but also a bye and they let teams on the road hang around, as young teams do.
Seattle -3 (+105)
Game in London. It’s at plus odds, the Raiders suck, and we have the Seattle season under. So why not.
TEASER (+140):
Carolina +1
LA Rams -7
Browns +1.5
DFS:
Bellator BONUS:
Yes (Fight goes the distance) (+180)
Fedor Emelianenko vs Chael Sonnen
Week 5 NFL and UFC 229
Arizona at SF Over 40 (-115)
These teams will fail upward to 40 points somehow.
Chiefs vs Jaguars Over 49 (-105)
I will also take a “Will Pat Mahomes throw an INT? – Yes” prop as he is due with 15 TDs, no INT so far this year. He’s pretty much a lock for MVP, barring injury.
Raiders at Chargers Over 53 (-105)
The lack of defense in this game will be played to Benny Hill music.
TEASER @ +150:
Chargers -5
Rams -7.5
Panthers -6.5
UFC BONUS:
Tonya Evinger +135
McGregor +155
Week 3 NFL 2018
Packers -3 (-105)
This was the crowd in Washington last week. The Packers fandom travels extremely well. This will be a defacto home game for the Packers, against an average at best Washington team.
NY Giants at Houston Over 42 (-105)
These teams will fail upward to score points, IMO.
Cardinals +6 (-110)
Bears keep teams in games due to their inconsistent offense; they are young and promising however and that’s something to keep in mind next year.
PARLAY @ +375:
GB ML -150
NE ML -270
LA Rams ML -300
KC ML -280
TEASER: +150:
MIN -17
NE -7
KC -7
LA Rams -7
DFS:
UFC BONUS:
Renan Barao -160
UFC Fighters who have missed weight are 8-1 this year in fights
Week 2 NFL
Houston -3 (EVEN)
They looked shaky last week but they still almost covered and it’s Gabbert vs Watson. I take Watson, especially with no juice.
KC at PIT 53.5 OVER (-110)
There will be points in this fun AFC playoff preview. Even if its Dobbs instead of Big Ben.
CLE at NO OVER 49.5 OVER (-115)
Saints defense gave up 34 last week, and even with Cleveland’s ass offensive play calling and Tyrod “He’s aight” Taylor, should be enough points in this one. If it’s under 50 and the Saints are at home, I’m probably gonna keep firing until it stops.
Oakland +6.5 (-115)
Raiders looked bad and the Gruden Part 2 got off to a bad start, but the Broncos aren’t 6.5 points better than anybody right now. This should be a close, uninspiring, crappy game. Don’t watch it.
LA Rams -13 (-105)
They are simply the best team, and Arizona’s too green as of yet to really challenge them this early in the year.
DFS:
Week 1 NFL 2018
Cleveland +6 (-115)
This is now at 4.5 now we know that Bell is probably not playing. We have had history of going against the Steelers when they are 6 or more point favorites in the last two years (at Jets/at Miami/at Bears). They average 8 less points on the road than t home, Cleveland’s defense is good, and the Browns covered this game last year with Kizer, nevermind Tyrod Taylor (or Mayfield if Tyrod gets hurt).
Saints/Bucs Over 49.5 (-110)
It’s in the dome, should be points in this game.
Texans +6.5 (-110)
NE is only starting 3 WRs, so Texans should be able to bracket Gronk. The Texans and Watson covered in this game last year. Should be a fun, tight game and potential AFC Title Game preview. I fully expect the Texans to be up late, then Coach Bill O’Brien to nit it up to give the Pats the ball back, and Brady to win it late like he did last year.
Carolina -3 (-105)
The Gowin special. Two of the worst WR corps go at it in this one, but especially Dallas. I just don’t see how they move the balls against a very good Carolina defense at home, unless they win the field position battle by Newton throwing the ball in the dirt.
TEASER +120:
Saints -10
Vikings -6.5
Ravens -7
DFS:
NCAA BONUS:
GA vs S.Carolina Under 55 (-110)
When a point total moves 4+ from it’s originaly line (51 here), the Under hits 57% of the time
UFC BONUS:
Till vs Woodley – Fight Goes the Distance – YES @ +110
PARLAY @ +250: Suarez -500 + Magomedsharipov -1400 + Stamann +130
NFL 2018 Season Plays & Over/Unders
My confidence plays (all of these IRL 1u)
5pts (max) Bills Under 6.5
4) Colts Over 6.5
3) Browns Over 5.5
2) Panthers Under 8.5
1) Cardinals Over 5.5
Others:
Chiefs AFC West +305
Saints NFC South +170
Keenan Allen Most Receiving Yards +1200
Miracle Covers 2018 NFL Preview
It’s that time of year: NFL Preview time! Everybody has a chance in August!
Our AFC Preview:
https://soundcloud.com/miraclecovers/2018-afc-miracle-covers-preview
And Our NFC (and Super Bowl thoughts) Preview:
Here are my plays…Lou and Pat will post theirs soon:
San Francisco to make the playoffs +195
Arizona Over 5.5
Seattle Under 8.5
LA Rams to win Division -125
Saints to win division +190
LA Rams to win NFC +1400 (now at +600)
LA Chargers to win division +175
Pittsburgh Under 10.5
Buffalo Under 6
Player Props:
Everson Griffen Sacks Leader +1000
Myles Garrett Sacks Leader +3300
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Leader +1200
Carson Wentz Passing Yards leader +2200
First Coach to be fired – Dirk Koetter +450
Will Colin Kapernick Play on a Team? No @ -700
CFL BONUS:
Montreal +16
Super Bowl 52 Props and Picks
First, the Props:
Time to sing Nation Anthem Under 2 minutes
This is 6-6 in the last 12 Super Bowls…..Piunk is sick so she may try to hurry through this one
Tom Brady Over Completions 26 (-115)
He’s only missed this once the last 4 years – last week, where Jacksonville possessed the ball 65% of the game. He still went 25/37 so it’s not like he wasn’t close. Also as Cousin Sal said, “The Patriots running game is essentially pick plays and screens to small white guys”.
Over Total Turnovers +2.5 (+145)
Ajayi has lost a fumble this playoff…so has Blount as well as in last year’s Super Bowl. Foles is due for an INT, and Brady has thrown an INT in the last 3 Super Bowls. Add the Philly Special Team returners being in their 1st Super Bowl……there could be an abundance of turnovers in this one.
Burkhead Anytime TD score +175
If he plays, he’s been the Pats goalline guy for score TDs. I wish I could get a Branden Bolden line.
Patriots score on first drive of game – Yes (EVEN)
They haven’t done it in the last 9 Super Bowls they were in. It’s due!
Foles MVP +300, Brady MVP -110
Take the QBs, and hedge.
Amendola Over Receptions 4.5 (-115), Anytime TD scorer (+150), MVP +4400
Danny “Playoff” Amedola has a TD in the last 4 Patriots’ playoff games…he’s replaced Edleman in the “slot white guy role” and really no one can guard that once Tom/McDaniels/Danny figures it out.
Philly First team to call a TO -115
Doug Peterson was the second worst this year in wasting TOs (after Atlanta’s Dan Quinn…which they tried theri best to one up each other in setting TOs on fire in a playoff game)….money in the bank here and a 2nd Half TO may sneaky cost him the game.
Nick Foles Most Running Yards than Tom Brady -115
Seems like stealing….the Eagles actually call RPOs where Foles has the option to run!
Patriots Score on the first drive (EVEN)
They haven’t done so in the last 6 Super Bowls…they are due!
Patriots first play is a pass (-115)
The Pats have opened their games with a pass in every Belichick Super Bowl
Justin Timberlake covers a Prince Song during Halftime show (-170)
They are in Minny..he has to, right? This now is in the -300s….and the bet has shifted from “if” to “what song” (my guess is “Let’s Go Crazy”).
And the pick:
NE -4.5
Over 48
I think Belichick know’s Schwartz’s defense enough and they handle Nick Foles’ RPO game on 2 weeks rest to take care of business. Pats 30, Eagles 20.
