Author: lou
Sunday
Mixed day yesterday as both hoops sides were winners, Eastern Illinois by a single point and Harvard by a lot. One the Texas A&M total, it turned out to be a bad line as it should have been 138.5 instead of 128.5 and was quickly corrected after I placed by action. It didn’t matter as the teams only combined for 107. Kentucky was an easy loser in football and I’m back to a slight negative there after a good run.
NFL today had two games worth noting, only one of which is any good at the moment. Houston is hosting New England today and were anywhere from +9.5 to +7.5 underdogs. That’s now moved to 7 or even 6.5, removing the Texans as a play today :( The other notable game is Atlanta +4 “at” Buffalo as the game is being played in Toronto. I am on Atlanta for a small (half) play. Lastly, the night game tonight is the Giants @ Washington. Not sure yet if that will amount to anything, but if so Washington is the side to be on there.
NHL: Nothing yesterday but one game very likely today and that’s Edmonton +150. Gametime is 6:00 Eastern so I’ll confirm that later.
NCAA: No totals yet as they tend to get released late. One side today, Siena +10.5
Good luck today.
UPDATES: Added Atlanta +4.5 to make for a full bet and confirming Edmonton +150
UPDATE 2: Washington to win -105
Saturday
Updates sporadically as I am all over the place today but not drinking in front of one or more televisions unfortunately. Football play was a loser yesterday, but MO State won for some more Zimbabwean dollars.
College Hoops: Texas A&M – SMU OVER 128.5
College Football: I like Kentucky tonight but it’s too early to post a play. I would like the line to move back to 4 and I will pass at 3. Nothing else looks very appealing
NHL: Seemingly everyone is on a back-to-back. That will happen when the usual batch of Thursday games is pushed to Friday.
NFL tomorrow
UPDATES:
Kentucky +3.5 at home to Tennessee
Hoops side: Eastern Illinois +7
UPDATE 2: One more hoops side Harvard -10
Fake Holiday Friday
Some of us have to work today, which is fine but weird if not in a retail environment. I am thankful for two winners yesterday among many other things. Short post today like most days but here we go:
NCAAF: Eastern Michigan +17 I’m not positive, but I think Eastern Michigan’s band once dressed in Yellow or White Uniforms, proceeded to “fill” a virtual beer mug and then “spill” onto an opponent’s field for their halftime show.
Apparently this is an early game so I’m getting this up now. NHL and College hoops if I have time. NHL will probably be a pass today.
NCAAB Fake Play: Missouri St. +4.5
Happy Thanksgiving
For those of you looking to gamble on something other than NFL today I give you the following:
Charleston/San Diego State UNDER 133
Edmonton +125
Ottawa was a 6-4 winner yesterday. Hockey overall is up to 12-8 +8.52 on the season, though I’m not too optimistic about this Oilers game @ Nashville tonight. Nothing in NFL as noted so see Pat’s Sean’s post below on that. College football today, TIT would be the game & side I would pick if forced, but I am passing on both games.
Wednesday
Quick post before the Holiday tomorrow. I will not have any NFL action tomorrow and likely nothing in any other sport either. Our under yesterday in the Syracuse game was not close. Full NHL slate today but only one play:
Ottawa +125 @ Washington
Happy Thanksgiving
Tuesday Updates
Good day overall yesterday as Washington was the only loser of the four plays. Columbus cruised 6-0 and both unders hit, though in the Syracuse game, it was only by a single point. I need to change my model very slightly to account for the possibility of overtime based on the point spread (closer spread = higher likelihood of OT). It’s safer to play an under in a game like OSU and American, I just need to figure out by how much.
Totals are not yet out for college hoops as that’s the only sport really going today. NHL and College Football have single likely ungambleable games.
NCAA hoops Sides (Not for real $) 1-5-2 -4.5
NCAA Hoops Totals are 5-1 +3.9
NCAA Football: 10-9 +0.53
NFL Teasers 1-4 -3.2
NHL 11-8 +7.27
UPDATE: Single hoops total for tonight. Cal/Syracuse UNDER 135
NFL: 10-7 +3.77
Monday Funday
Great job by Sean and Pat here over the weekend. Great picks by both and a healthy profit was had by all. I sat out most of the day, losing the teaser be but winning some Zimbabwean dollars on a hoops “play.” More action this evening so let’s get to it…
NHL: Columbus +166
NCAA Hoops: Wyoming/Ohio State UNDER 131.5
Minnesota/Syracuse UNDER 143
NFL game tonight is San Francisco @ Washington +4.5. San Francisco is a west coast team playing on the east coast as a favorite with the public 79% on their side. They are also a top 5 play in the Hilton contest, and while those picks are 4-0 this week, it only puts them up to 19-32-2 for the season. Washington +4.5 is the play here.
Will update stats tomorrow.
NFL Sunday
I am largely passing on today’s slate of NFL games as there’s nothing that really stands out. Lots of games are 50/50 as far as public betting numbers. The two teams that were the closest to being bets for me are San Diego and the Jets, but I can only find 4 on the latter and the Chargers line has moved from +5 to +3.5 so that is an automatic pass as I don’t play follow NFL line moves of over a point.
I do have a garbage line teaser today and that’s Chicago and Pittsburgh both +8.5. They are both +1 on Pinnacle.
Yesterday had college football plays go 2-1 as LSU and San Diego State covered fairly easily with Arkansas losing in OT. Hockey plays were 1-1 with Ottawa winning 4-2 and Dallas losing heavily 6-1. Nothing in hockey or college football today.
Lastly, one college hoops play as I don’t see anything on the totals. Please don’t bet these or take the other side as I’m 0 for the season so far. Northeastern +12
How Did I Become the College Football Guy?
Pat is stealing my mojo with the premier league plays, though to be fair I haven’t has a soccer play in months since Betfair dropped their API which allowed everyone to see what % of folks were on what side. I’m like a blind infant without that kind of info. It’s readily available for football though, so more plays!
Texas A&M @ LSU – 5
Miss St. @ Arkansas PK
Boise St. @ San Diego St. +6
There should be a hockey game later. No totals posted for college yet.
UPDATE: Hockey in early as I am out for the day:
Ottawa +125
Dallas +166
Friday
Games went as expected yesterday, at least around here. UAB was an easy winner, taking their game to overtime as a +17.5 underdog and the Saints won by 4, opting to run a play on 4th down as opposed to kicking a late FG. I took a slight loss on the game after getting a late hedge in. Nothing in hockey again tonight and college football is also looking sparse tomorrow. One fake play in college hoops but no totals, and there are a bunch of games started already so no idea if I missed anything there.
Loyola Chicago +108
Current Numbers:
NCAA hoops Sides (Not for real $) 0-4-2 -4.4
NCAA Hoops Totals are 3-1 +1.9
NCAA Football: 8-8 -0.37
NFL Teasers 1-3 -2.6
NHL 9-7 +5.36
NFL: 10-5 +5.04
