Week 13 NFL

Posted in NFL - 2015/12/06 - 0 Comment

New Orleans +7

I think this is a close game today; the Saints have been struggling but their offense plays way better at home, averaging a full 14 more points at home than on the road this season. Carolina has a great defense with the best corner of 2015 Josh Norman, the best LB core in all of football, and a decent (yet depth lacking) defensive line. A McCown threw 31-35 for over 300+ yards vs Carolina in Week 2, so I expect them to be able to move the ball and keep it close in the Superdome. Carolina wins by 3 however, IMO, so I don’t recommend the ML at +260…but if you *are* gonna take two MLs down the stretch vs the Panthers, this one as well as when they are at the Giants in Week 15 would be the ones.

BUF v HOU Under 41.5

I have no idea how points get scored today except for a McCoy run or a Hopkins long TD pass. Both of these defenses are pretty good and it’s cold in Buffalo. This is also a de-facto playoff game as the winner has an more of an inside track to one of the wild card spots.

Miami vs Baltimore Over 42.5

I’ve taken the Miami over the last 4 weeks and it has hit each time. Both of these “back fours” are pretty awful, and the offenses turn the ball over a lot creating defense score opportunities as well.

NY Giants +2 (-105)

Betting on Eli is so dangerous; it’s like eating Chipotle: sure it might be good…but you could also get e.Coli. Eli usually does the “good game/bad game” thing, and he had a shitty game at 1st place Washington last week (can’t believe I just typed that), but with Revis out, I expect a huge day from OBJ and a win over a pretty average-at-best Jets squad.

TEASER:

NE -9

DEN -4

NYG +2