Super Bowl LV Prop-palooza
Super Bowl LV is here…and while I am taking Tampa in the game (+3.5), and putting in a teaser with the OVER (56) due to the fact that a team who lost the first game of a Super Bowl rematch that year is 7-6 in the second game… this will really be a close game IMO and it’s not where my major action lies. That’s all in the PROPS, baby!
GAME FLOW PROPS:
First Play from Scrimmage – Run @ -114
I usually pick pass every year, but last year was a run, and due to hardly no fans and the weirdness of that, I think both teams come out to settle down to run at first before the passes start flying later.
Biggest scoring half – 2nd Half @ -110
KC usually starts out slow. 2nd half has been the biggest scoring half in 4 of the last 5 Super Bowls.
Will either team attempt a 2 point conversion – YES @ -145
Too much talent on the field not to try one if you are both teams.
Both teams lead in 1st Half? YES @ +105
Will either team score 3 unanswered times in the game? – NO @ +140
Should be a close, back and forth game.
Will the MVP be a QB? YES @ -500
QB has been the MVP 55% of the time. These are also two of the best in the game, and the league will favor that unless someone gets 4 sacks, 2 INT, or 3 TDs.
FIRST TO SCORE:
Mike Evans +1200
Rob Gronkowski +1600
Travis Kelce +600
Patrick Mahomes +1300
Darrell Williams +1300
KC PROPS:
Mahomes Rushing Yards OVER 25 @ -110
Let’s just hope Mahomes doesn’t run backwards again this year for 30 yards at the end of the game to run out clock.
Mahomes Completions OVER 33 @ +175
I see the Chiefs throwing the ball a ton, and quick, vs Tampa’s defense.
Mecole Hardman more catches than Cameron Brate @ +100
Brate is hurt coming into the game, and Hardman coming off nice game vs Bills.
Darrel Williams OVER Reception Yards 14.5 @ -115
Darrel Williams Receptions AT LEAST 2 @ +100
I pounded Chiefs RB Damien Williams reception OVERs last year, I expect more dump offs from Mahomes this Super Bowl too. Williams is KC’s “pass blocking” back, and has gotten more touches since Clyde Helaire-Edwards hit the rookie wall late in the year due to injuries, and Le’Veon Bell is now old and sucks.
Travis Kelce Receptions OVER 8.5 @ +110
Been hammering this all playoff for Kelce. He’ll probably go down as best Receiving TE of all time over guys like Shannon Sharpe and Kellen Winslow.
Tommy Townsend Longest Punt UNDER 52.2 -125
Don’t expect many 3 and outs from KC which allow for punter to have long kicks.
Will the Kansas City Chiefs Successfully Convert a 4th Down? YES @ -165
They will go for it on 4th down than most teams
TAMPA PROPS:
Will Tom Brady Throw an Interception? YES @ -200
He has thrown a pick in each of his last 3 games vs KC.
Leonard Fournette Receptions OVER 4 -125
Fournette has become the “James White” for Brady during this playoff run.
Ryan Succop Kicking points OVER 7.5 @ -115
He has been the best kicker in the playoffs; one edge Tampa has over KC as Butker has struggled.
Rob Gronkowski Anytime TD Scorer +200
OVER Receiving Yards 50 @ +125
He has scored TD in 2/3rds of the Super Bowl he’s been in. Had 80 yards and a TD last time they played.
DFS:
The Ochocinco Special:
My version of Cousin Sal’s Gary Russell bet. I took Pats WR Chad Ochocinco at 0.5 OVER receptions at +100 in Super Bowl XLVI and pranced around in glee at the party I was at when he had his only catch, a 15 yard incut, in the 3rd quarter.
Scotty Miller OVER receptions 1.5 @ +125
Antonio Brown, the other slot receiver for Tampa, comes into the game hurt. The Chiefs blitzed 47% of the time in the 1st matchup… I expect them to continue, and Brady and company to make the adjustment to get the ball out quick on screens and such. Miller also had a good game last game, including a TD before the half. Snow leopards, unite!
