Wild Card Sunday
Underdogs seized the day yesterday… again. 95% have hit vs the spread since 2018. Wild stuff. Thankfully, we hit props to save the day. Here are my picks for today:
Tennessee +3.5*
I have them +1000 to win the AFC; I could hedge now, and Baltimore played well (against bad teams) down the stretch. But Derrick Henry has been running like a beast, and Tannenhill has played efficient to where I am comfy doubling down this round. The only fear: the Titans have the worst secondary in the playoffs. Ravens aren’t really a throwing team, but even they could probably have a good day vs this secondary. Lou expects a shootout; so for props, my plays are: Total Receptions – Mark Andrews (BAL) OVER 5 (-115), Total Passing Yards Lamar Jackson Over 209.5 (-115), First offensive play of the game – Pass at +115, Tannehill Rushing Yards OVER 25 (-108), Derrick Henry 2 TDs +200, Anthony Firkser First TD +2800.
Bears +10.5
I wanna pick against Truibisky in a playoff game. I really do. But no fans in dome, Saints burning me over the last few years, and just way too many points for a playoff game even if the team is the worst remaining in the field. Bears do have a good defense so they can keep it close. I expect the Bears to have long drives that settle for field goals, so taking the First Score of the Game – Field Goal +150 prop.
Cleveland +6*
Taking this as a small hedge for my 3 team teaser which Pittsburgh is the final leg of. This should be a close game; Cleveland has been dealing with COVID issues all week and their coach won’t even be there but to it. I expect Cleveland to get ahead early, and also taking Browns 1H ML at +150, but in true Browns fashion spit it away in the second half. I like Diontae Johnson Receptions OVER 6.5 +100, let’s just hope he catches the ball. He will get targets however.
DFS:
