Month: February 2015
February 8
Single play this afternoon: Dallas +135 @ Rangers
Montreal will be an option later. Their line should improve from +125 to 130-140.
UPDATE: Line is actually going the other way but we’ll hop in regardless: Montreal +125 @ Boston
February 7
Our total was a big giant loser last night as Columbus scored 7 on their own. One game we are monitoring tonight and that’s the Islanders with Johnson in goal visiting Boston. Nothing else stands out in a slow week.
February 6
Late posting. Basketball was a big winner yesterday, rugby today took a hit. One hockey play tonight and it’s a total: St. Louis @ Columbus UNDER 5.5 -120
February 5
Orlando was a winner last night in Jacque Vaughn’s last game as coach. They lost by 7. Absolutely nothing at all doing tonight in NHL in one of the more garbage evenings for a full slate of games that I can remember of late. Some other action to keep things rolling over:
College Hoops
Helen of Troy +4.5
Pat’s Fairfield +9.5
I’m also getting some small action down on the rugby six nations tournament which starts soonish. This is to win the round-robin:
Wales +283
Scotland +1862
Hopefully better action tomorrow.
February 4
A sloppy 0-1 here yesterday as not only did we lose the coinflip on Ottawa 2-1, but also missed an easy winner in Phoenix. I wish I had more time to properly analyze yesterday but sometimes real life and gambling do not mix. Nothing doing in any of the three NHL games tonight. One NBA game for some fun units – Orlando +13.5
February 3
Our leaner on Calgary was good last night as they cruised to an easy win at home to Winnipeg. Also because sports, Edmonton won in a shootout away to San Jose, their first win in 14. Sharks have been playing to the level of their opponents this season which is a small something to keep in mind the rest of the way. One play tonight and that’s Ottawa @ New Jersey in a fairly pointless matchup. I’m waiting on line moves here in the next few minutes and will post a final line when I have it, but I’m playing the game regardless.
Colorado an option for the brave later. Good luck.
Senators +105 for a half
February 2
Sean’s props were a small loser overall yesterday. The biggest upset was Ryan’s longest punt of 61 though he did have lots of opportunities especially in the first half. Pat and I both thought the total was a few points too high but didn’t play it or really come close and it would have lost regardless.
Hockey on Saturday was a exercise in frustration as Dallas won and the Kings lost in pretty standard games, but Edmonton led 2-0 after 2 periods and managed to lose 4-2, conceding three goals in 8 minutes in the 3rd. The shittiest hockey teams are incapable of playing a full game at a high level, but league-wide the winning percentage for teams that lead after two periods is something in the 80-85% range so I’m confident the +170 was good value even with the loss.
I’m debating Calgary tonight at home to Winnipeg who is starting their backup that may be better than their starter in Hutchinson tonight. -110 for both sides is readily available. The aforementioned Oilers are away to San Jose but haven’t named their starter as yet because why bother.
Super Bowl
Today is the big day! Here are my plays
Props:
Russell Wilson and Tom Brady to win MVP 13/4
Danny Amendola Over Yards 20.5 and Catches 2.5
John Ryan under longest gross punt 54.5
Tom Brady 1st play: pass completion -145
DJIA goes down day after EVEN
Tim Wright first TD 15/1
Edleman first TD 6/1
Field Goal/safety frst score +135
Bovada doesnt offer it, but Tim Wright Over catches 0.5 good value
Thoughts on the game:
I like Over (started at 49…now at 47). I think there will be big plays by both teams and it will be a close game. I like the Pats 27-26.
