UFC 181

Posted in Hockey, UFC - 2014/12/06 - 0 Comment

UFC 181 is tonight; their best cards are always usually around July 4th and XMAS time.  This one is no exception as we get TWO great title fights tonight.  Its one of those rare cards I’d recommend casual or non-MMA fans to check out and watch.

Here are my plays:

Duffee vs Hamilton Over Rounds 1.5 +160

Duffee hasn’t fought since 2012 due to injury, and all of his fights have ended in KO (lose or win).  Hamilton has never been KO’d, only submitted.  The majority of the money is on the under here, but I expect both fighters to come out conservatively because the loser of this fight probably gets canned from the UFC, and no one wants to leave themselves open early.

Pettis vs Melendez Goes the Distance -14o

Super stoked for the fight; it’s the all-around game of Melendes vs the athletic kickboxing of Pettis.  Melendez has never been KO’d or submitted, and I think both fighters cancel each other out here and we get a 5 round war as both men are good on the feet with defense and Octagon awareness.

Lawler +170 vs Hendricks

This started at +150.  I have no idea why its gone up; Hendricks is coming off a biceps tear he suffered in the 1st match between these two (great fight) and had to furiously cut 22 lbs of weight in 3 mths (and you have to be at exact weight for title fights).  Hendricks barely made weight in their first fight and it effected him in the 3rd and 4th rounds.  Lawler’s sprawling has gotten better, hasbeaten his last 2 top-10 opponents, and he is better on his feet than Hendricks (a 2-time NCAA champ at OK State).  I expect a Robbie Lawler win tonight, and then we can have an awesome rubber match in March as really, this fight based off of the last one since it was so close, is more like Rounds 6-10 rather than a new fight.

NHL BONUS:

Montreal +105 at Dallas

I am also sadly leaning on Arizona +120 at home to my banged up Bruins, who have lost their last 3 games on a West Coast Swing, and have been outscored 12-6 in this stretch.  87% of the money is on as well:

Today is also MIAA Super Saturday for Massachusetts HS football (no action) but to help you feel old, here’ Vince Wilfork’s kid blowing someone up on special teams: