Month: March 2014
Sunday Degeneracy
NHL:
Detroit ML +140 at NYR
I also might take the Bruins/Panthers under 5.5 at -130
NBA:
Bulls +9 and Under 191.5 Teaser vs MIA
BTW here is some more Canuck fail:
Puck Line
A couple years ago I asked about reverse run lines in baseball. Similar situation here with hockey. It has taken me a while in scoping out hockey lines to see that sites like covers.com seem to use ambiguous (some would say wrong) language. They tell me what percentage of the public is taking a side. Fine. What’s not fine is that they ultimately list these picks as ATS. But these are money line picks. Unless I am off-base, sites like covers and thespread run contests where people enter in ML picks and the site turns around and displays these as betting trends. Obvious flaws if this is the actual system are that these picks are not being made based on actual wagers and the puck line is not even a consideration. I want to know
1) if my claims about these sites are correct
2) if there are sites that give actual betting numbers for the money line
3) if there are sites that give actual betting numbers for the puck line
4) what love is
Soccer and UFC Saturday
Here’s are my plays for today:
UFC London:
Danny “The Cheesecake Assassin” Mitchell +190 (I have no idea who this guy is, but great nickname!)
Omari Akhmedow +265 (This guy I do know, another Dagestan Sambo killer. He shouldn’t be this big of a dog)
Soccer:
Tottenham +1 (even) and Draw +330
Also, to answer Lou’s question why things maybe falling apart in Vancouver, this episode from John Tortarella in Calgary a few months back may explain:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XCeuJPhrt8E
Marching Forward
Nauseating last 2 months on my end. When I should have realized things were getting ugly was when Tott was up against Newcastle 0-2 and I had 0-2, 1-2 and 1-3 scorelines covered on bets and the final went 0-4. Forward.
Cardiff City vs. Fulham Draw +240 @ 12
***UPDATE***
I am not 1000% on this but I think there is a conference tournament being held in Asheville, North Carolina (Southern Conf.), and that UNC Asheville (Big South) is not a member of said conference.
Pitts @ Clemson ML +109 @ 11
MTD : -12
Friday
Our play on Vancouver yesterday…was not close. The Canucks may be the most dysfunctional team in the league and have moved into ‘Do Not Bet Until Further Notice’ status for me. I think they’ve now lost 11 of 12 obviously dating back to before the Olympic break. I didn’t take into account any streaks that were pre-Olympics, but it’s clear that nearly everyone involved has stopped giving a crap. From Canucks Army:
It’s not that I find curling more exciting than hockey, but I don’t think I’ve watched a full Vancouver Canucks game beginning-to-end since their game against Toronto right before the Olympic break, and before then, well, yeah.
Nothing doing in NHL tonight. NBA has Cleveland and Milwaukee on the watch list but nothing definite as yet.
Thursday
Keeping up with the regular plays here after the NHL trade deadline. There’s no real tanking issue in the NHL, mainly because the draft is such a complete and total crapshoot. Nearly all of the first round are awkward high school juniors which makes for strangely decent television. Maybe we will liveblog it this year or attend in person…
Play today is Vancouver who sent Roberto Luongo back to Florida at Dallas for Mike Modano’s jersey retirement. Dallas finds ways to lose lots of winnable games and hopefully this is another one as this is a lost season for Vancouver who has lost three in a row. Canucks +126. Columbus or the Islanders for anyone feeling particularly frisky though neither is really close to being a play for me.
Wednesday
Colorado was a winner yesterday 4-2. Nothing doing today in either NHL or NBA. Not that there have been many NBA plays in general as I am using a pretty strict system. We’ve had 42 plays in NHL this season good for a 23-19 record and a +12.25.
Tuesday
Columbus was a 2-1 winner last night, hope some of you were following along. One play again tonight, Colorado +145 @ Chicago.
Monday
1-1 yesterday as Philadelphia was a comeback winner in OT 5-4 but Phoenix lost, unaware the game lasts for 60 minutes and not 40.
Columbus is the play tonight +105 @ Toronto. Calgary +160 for anyone feeling adventurous.
Streaking
In the wrong direction. Should have played Capitals yesterday. Another effort today…Flyers +115 @ Washington.
UPDATE: Flyers were a winner this afternoon in OT. 1/2 unit play on Phoenix +122 tonight in a very rare home game versus St. Louis. First start for Ryan Miller in goal for the Blues and some 90% of the money is on St. Louis. This one is free on real TV with the Center Ice Preview.
