Month: February 2014
Olympics
Couple of hockey plays. The first I am the house. I do not count these towards my YTD.
Sweden/Czech over 4.5 -125 @ 12.5 (I am the Under)
Louis seems to have stumbled upon a flaw in The Matrix with this line but we will see what happens.
Sidney Crosby high goal scorer 13/2 @ 9 Ovechkin is the favorite @ 5/1 but he’s been nicked up recently so we’ll go with The Kid. We pushed last night on our Clemson play. It took the 2 teams 50 minutes to crack 130 and a lot of that has to do with Clemson’s defense, which is up amongst the best this year. Clemson/Notre Dame was one of only 2 college games last night without an O/U. I think the idea is that if Vegas put out a number it seriously believed in it would have been like 110.5 and they would have gotten raped on a weird result like the one that happened. Vegas, not so much a step ahead, as always covering its ass.
MTD : ——–
YTD -42.07
Side Note, Lorenzen is obviously a Chunky Monkey. But I argue that the football acts as an optical illusion. If he was an O-Line Man, you would not look twice. The second he gets the ball hiked to him he instantly gains 45 pounds.
Over Czech
Small play today on Czech Rep v Sweden Men’s Hockey Over 5.5 (-105).
I also have Jared Lorenzen over 3.5 hot dogs today on his couch:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FHdivRyIVTA
NCAAM
Clemson +4 -102 @ Notre Dame @ 14
Notre Dame could very easily be 1-10 in conference right now.
MTD : ——-
YTD : -42.07
Finally
This week has been barren and deserted for any plays in both NBA and NHL. I should have been posting my leans which have been breakeven or so but work got in the way. Regardless there hasn’t been much. One play so far today: Ottawa +150 @ Boston. There might be more in the night games but it’s too early to tell.
Saturday Stuff
Colorado at NY Islanders Over 5.5 (-115)
DET (+105) at TB
Toronto -1.5 (+200) vs VAN
And our soccer “OWN GOAL OF THE YEAR, MAYBE THE CENTURY” goes to:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=36teaTN6O1s
Set it and Forget it Bets
That’s basically what West Coast bets are….especially to us folk who got to wake up in the A.M. It’s also what makes Vegas so dangerous (you can get a full slate of degeneracy in before 10 and then hit up some Steak and Eggs at Bill’s for $6. FROM WHAT I HEAR).
We like tonight:
Dallas (+155) at SJ (Lou Special)
Miami Heat (PK) at LAC (LeBron James in a pick’em? #whynot)
BTW the Cavs lost to the Lakers, 119-108….the same Lakers who dressed only 8 players tonight, and only 5 players in the 4th Quarter.
That’s right, 5 players.
The Lakers’ Robert Sacre fouled out but since the Lakers didn’t have anyone to replace him, he had to stay on the floor after a Technical Foul, and LA would be given a Tech for every foul he committed thereafter. The Cavs shouldn’t feel bad, as they are the worst power play team in the league behind the New York Rangers.
Amazing hilarity.
This pic of Pat Darts……erm……Chris Kaman (who fouled out after 14 minutes!)….. says it all:
Wednesday
Our leaner and coinflip on the Islanders was a winner last night, though the real losers weren’t the capitals, but the fans:
WASHINGTON — The left half of the net was wide open for Troy Brouwer. When he missed badly, putting his shot wide, he was so exasperated that he slumped his shoulders and looked to the rafters as play continued.
It was that kind of game for both the Washington Capitals and New York Islanders, who seemingly tried to top each other in finding the best way to waste a scoring chance. Players whiffed on open one-timers, several shots hit the goal frame and all 11 power plays had fruitless outcomes.
I was following along while travelling last night and couldn’t figure out how the game was 0-0 after two periods. Any given Sunday and all that. Not much doing in hockey tonight since it’s a Wednesday. Dallas is the closest thing we have going but even that is a stretch at San Jose with their backup goalie on a back-to-back. Nothing in NBA tonight either. I am ready for baseball to start.
Last Week of Hockey
NHL style. Islanders are the play tonight but I am passing since they have lost 6 or 7 in a row but you adventurous types feel free to have a go. Plus lots of units on Seattle Sunday.
Olympic Hockey Preview
Just scored a free Olympic bet from Bovada for betting (too much) money on the Super Bowl. We had Seattle (like most of America I’d assume) and so did Lou’s dad. The game wasn’t even close, and the oddsmakers were spot on having Peyton Manning throw a pick at -180 to as high as -230 (disclaimer: we took the juice).
We will choose hockey, as I just don’t know enough about Johnny Weir’s figure skating form to make an opinion about that.
I think Canada is the most talented team in the tournament. I just don’t think their goaltending (Price starts, Luongo is backup) is good enough.
Russia will find a way to fuck it up. They always do. Plus, they are properly hedged with the Russian mafia in any order. Ovechkin will probably win Golden Goal.
I will be rooting hard for the USA; we have the best goaltending (Quick, Miller) but unfortunately in these “open” Euro rinks, they lack the skaters on the outside to create opportunities to score. There are also more penalties called in Olympic play, not good for the physical (read: “slower”) teams. Also, I still don’t know why Okposo didn’t make the team.
Sweden is sneaky good. Lundquist won a Gold back in Torino, proving once more that he’s a capable and clutch goalie against all teams not named, “The Boston Bruins”. I’d probably be more bullish if they didn’t lose Franzen.
The Swiss could actually make it out of their group. That’s a good prop bet.
The Czechs have 4 good lines. They also have 2 40 year olds who didn’t play defense in their primes (Nedved, Jagr), nevermind now, skittish goaltending…… and Tomas “Olay” Kaberle. We will be hammering their individual overs. They’ll score goals, though.
I think the Czechs do however make the final 4….and we can then hedge if they do. So Czechs at 10-to-1 it is.
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4:00a
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Canada
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Russia
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Sweden
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USA
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Czech Republic
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Finland
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Switzerland
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Slovakia
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Norway
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Latvia
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Austria
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Slovenia
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