Miracle Covers

NFL Picks

How about Western Kentucky?  My picks for my NFL picks league…

Minnesota (-1) @ Indy

Oakland (-1) @ Miami

Chiefs (+3) @ Buffalo

Side action at this moment….

Arizona @ Pats (-13)

Balt (+3) @ Philly

Jags/Texans under 40

More to follow?

NFL Pick League

For the NFL pick league I am  in I have the following…

Miami @ Houston (-11)

Philly (-8) @ Cleveland

Jaguars @ Minnesota (-4)

Tackle Football – Professional

Over/Under Contest.  As Lou Lou noted I am currently in a drought on these.  Forward!

#5 Arizona (under 7)

For a team that everyone knows will probably suck, the NFL did Arizona few favors with this schedule.  The firs half is tough, and the second half is brutal.  They will be a home favorite against the Rams in Week 12, but outside of that, goodness.

#4 Patriots (under 12)

I understand that people are down on the AFC East.  But what books are essentially asking the Pats to do to hit this over is sweep the division.  That might happen, but I am betting against it.  Night road games against the Ravens and Jets, tough home games against the Texans and 49ers. Twelve is asking quite a bit from a team that lost to every half-way legitimate team they played last year outside of Baltimore, who will probably be hungry for revenge.

#3 Dolphins (under 7.5)

As ush.  Louis has already analyzed this and I second everything.  At this moment in time, 7.5 might as well be 15.

#2 Tennessee (over 7)

Titans have a very reasonable schedule.  Chris Johnson is still a premier back. IMO this line is an entire game off.  Only danger I see is if Locker struggles significantly but they keep throwing him out there in the name of future franchise improvement.

#1 Buffalo (over 7.5)

Have you seen the last 7 weeks of Buffalo’s schedule???

Lou’s NFL Over/Unders 2012

Confidence Pool scoring and I am usually better than Pat at these. 

5) Miami Fish Under 7.5

 Rebuilding team jettisoning any and all above average players.  Ryan Tannehill had problems with interceptions against the Big-12, I don’t think he’s going to magically improve as a rookie.  I’m not convinced at all that he will develop into a first division starter either. 

4) Dallas Cowboys Under 9

See below.  This still applies even with the win on Wednesday.

3) Buffalo Bills Over 7.5

Will go with the crowd on this one as the schedule is ridiculously easy in the 2nd half.  I do think the Jets are being underrated and the Bills are being pumped up a bit more despite having very similar rosters. 

2) Cleveland Browns Under 5.5

It’s challenging for NFL teams to win more than 12 games or less than 4 due to the parity of rosters and professional tactics.  Cleveland has proven this with the following win totals:

2 (expansion 1999), 3, 7, 9, 5, 4, 6, 4, 10, 4, 5, 5, 4(2011)

This is why we’ve nicknamed the Browns Cleveland Le Poo.  Outside of Joe Haden (possibly suspended for 4 games), Trent Richardson (still getting healthy) and LT Joe Thomas (possibly sad from playing with all of these below average NFL players) there isn’t another consistently above average position player on the roster.  It doesn’t mean someone won’t emerge or have a great season, but Weeden looks terrible and the receiver’s aren’t much better meaning if you can score 24 against Le Poo you should leave with un win.   Mons de six for Le Poo.

 1) Carolina Panthers Over 7.5

Again, see below.  Looking forward to week 7 off the bye, Carolina at home to Dallas.

Random NFL Thoughts Go Here

Twitter actually, but this will do for now.

 I would far prefer the Titans and Jaguars chances of winning the AFC South if they were playing their backup quarterbacks instead of their starters.  Jake Locker probably has more in common with Tim Tebow than any other current NFLer.  Blaine Gabbert might be the 45th best starter in the league at the moment.  Chad Henne is in the low 30s at worst.

GB @ Seattle

 I am looking forward to betting Seattle week 3 on a Thursday night at home.  Hopefully the Pakcers will be 2-0 and Seattle looking all dysfunctional and 0-2.

One more divisional bet to include here.  KC to win the AFC West at +300.  This is essentially a parlay on San Diego and Denver’s Unders, two teams I dislike for Norv Turner and overrated reasons respectively.  I would be happy to get more action at this price.