Wales Pick (+170)
Under 2 (EVEN)
First of all, I am not drunk at 9am in regards to typing the title of this post; that language is Welsh, and it stands for “Long Live Wales”. This guy should get an Emmy for pronouncing this Welsh city name below:
I think today’s Wales v Portugal game will be a rock fight. Portugal hasn’t scored a goal in regular time this whole tourney, and Wales will be missing one of their key offensive players in Aaron Ramsey due to suspension. Portugal has a habit of eventually choking in these things, and I could see Bale scoring and Wales taking home a 1-0 victory (Bale to score and Wales to win is at +400). The draw at +220 is also not a bad play.
UFC 200 leans coming later in the week.
If you need something to fire you up for the week, watch this pep talk given by the coach of the New England Liberty of the LFL league (I didn’t know that NE had a lingerie football team!). He’s pissed his team is getting his ass kicked 70-7 in the 4th.
I need this guy as a life coach:
Redblacks PK -105
Posting my Euro 2016 leans for Saturday as I won’t be able to do them tomorrow as I will be at Foxwoods for the $400 PPC Multiflight NLHE tournament.
Wales drew Northern Ireland, so this will be a contested darby of sorts but N.Ireland is the lowest ranked team in the tournament and only scored 2 goals vs a Ukrainian side with a swiss cheese defense. They will pack it in and make it tough on the Dragons, but I expect Wales to pull it out (that’s what she said) in the end. I also like the 1-0 exacta, with Bale scoring the goal (I am kicking myself at not taking him as Golden Goal scorer at 18-to-1. It’s basically down to him and Spain’s Morata).
Croatia +165 and Over 2 (-105)
Croatia is not the most fit, but man have they looked impressive in the final third even with their bench guys. Just a well run, clinical operation and a dark horse pick to win it all, especially if Modric can get back to being somewhat fit. Their opponent, Portugal, has more individual talent, but in each of their games they have gone asleep at the wheel defensively, as well as commit dumb turnovers and fouls in their own end. I am surprised the Over is only at 2 with low juice; I’d say it should be 2.5 with higher juice so we are getting value here. This should be a fun, open game.
Winnipeg -2 (-110)
First of all, h/t to buffaloholdem over at Twitter for his CFL thoughts. It’s become quite a place to find lots of value. Who knew 3 down football was so profitable!
Also if you are betting CFL this season you can check out my handicapping video from last year: https://t.co/yRdUBXOnWh
— buffaloholdem (@buffaloholdem) June 23, 2016
There’s DFS CFL now as well (and yes, rouges *do* count) so he’s a good source if you need any tips before places down your bets.
Here’s another nugget of CFL wisdom for the year:
— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) June 22, 2016
DET vs KC Over 45
MIN v CHI Over 43
McCown *is* playing today, and the public is HEAVY on ARI:
Cardinals are the most popular spread bet (82%), moneyline bet (78%), and parlay/teaser (91%) of the day: https://t.co/m8ZX71nzo2
— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) November 1, 2015
MTL v SAS Over 44
Now here is your NFL Quiz of the Day:
JIM CALDWELL EXPRESSION QUIZ:
e) Horny pic.twitter.com/WO5vNIXEya
— Ethan Booker (@Ethan_Booker) October 6, 2015
This KC/TOR series will be fun. It’s going 7, so I bet the total games at 7 (+180), and KC to win in 7 (+425) and TOR to win in 7 (+420). These two teams also don’t like each other, and quite honestly, I think the winner of this series wins the whole thing (unless the Cubs win and bring upon us the end times).
Leaning on NYM v CHI Over, whatever it is, tomorrow. I think 6.5 was the number I saw.
Here’s a sweet catch from last night:
One of the most amazing plays you'll ever see. pic.twitter.com/vFvvK0Bgzx
— Richard Roeper (@richardroeper) October 16, 2015
CFL Sunday: Tiger-Cats/Roughriders UNDER 56.
Good luck today
GOLD CUP BONUS: Jamaica +395 ML (Mexico has been playing like shit)
MTL/HAM UNDER 53.5
Lost a shit ton in Vegas and been in recovery (aka drinking) the last few weeks…..UFC has helped us along the way and hopefully I can use that cash to run it up on poker on Bovada so I can place and hop on Lou’s lean on Dodgers to win the NL (17/4) and World Series (17/2).