Germany’s talent is the best across the board, and they are relatively fit. They are coming off the World Cup win in Brazil and this tournament is a start of the last generation of players from that team like Mueller, Neuer, etc.
Belgium was the #1 ranked team in FIFA at one point, and they also have a ton of young and up and coming talent that will be a force. There only weakness to me is at the wingbacks position. They are strong every where else and at +900 for a top 5 team in the world, it’s good value IMO.
Wales Points Over 3.5 (-105)
Wales was impressive in the qualifying round, and Bale was the second best player during those games (behind Poland’s Lewandowski). They also drew a good group and have winnable games versus Russia and Slovakia.
Group B Prop – 1. England 2. Wales +350
I think they both get out of their group in this order. This could be England’s year (+800 to win it all)to finally make a push with all of the exciting young talent they have. Their manager Roy Hodgson, who is known as conservative, is playing a 4-3-3…even he knows he has good talent this year. Also good news for England: the group stage does not have penalty shootouts.
Group E Winner: Belgium -105
Their group: Italy (who is in a turnover year), Ireland (I love the lads, but they have looked like shit in the friendlies leading up to EURO2016. Roy Keane wanted to kill the players after losing in a friendly to Belarus.), and Sweden (who is the wild card in this group; it all depends if Zlatan can turn on the throwback beast mode).
Group C Prop: 1. Germany 2. Poland +135
Germany to Reach the Final +175
My final four: Germany, England, Belgium, and Poland.
Top Goalscorer – Robert Lewandowski +1400
Poland was the best “in form” team during its qualifiers. Lewandowski averaged a goal a game during those prelims (the only other player to do so was Bale).
Adding these as Lou just had a kid and hasn’t had time to post. I’m also taking on of his leans on Italy as well:
Italy to NOT make it out of the Group Stage +400
Austria 40-1 to win it all
Costa Rica 0.5 (+120)
Only 38% of the public is on Costa Rica, a team that always gives the US trouble. The US is having its own issues right now with form and Klinsmann might be out the door if they don’t win/draw a match in this group.
PARLAY (+700): Costa Rica/USA Draw (+415) and Colombia (-125)
Euro pre-tournament leans to come later in the week.
Sheffield Wednesday +230
Real Madrid/Atletico Under 2 (+105)
Utah +140 and TEASER: UTAH +3 and Under 60
Clemson/Miami Under 56.5
2-0 for Man City Overs…usually want 2.5 but we’ll take the Over 3 today at +105 vs Everton.
1-0 on Man City Overs so far…..getting on the pony again today with Over 2.5 @ +105
I know Mourinho is playing back for Chelsea on the road, but Man City’s defense is so bad they still might find a goal.
Man U @ Aston Villa Under 2.5 (-140)
Putting in +300 parlay with
FCB v Ath Bilbao Over 3 (-110)
Here’s a sweet Scorpion Kick to go into the weekend:
— Deadspin (@Deadspin) August 14, 2015
Stoke City +240 (3 units)
Stoke City/Liverpool draw +230 (1 unit)
Man United -165
AFC Bournemouth at -110 is a lean as well…those folks will be fired up at home for their first EPL games vs a Benteke-less Aston Villa side.
Anaheim Ducks ML +120
BTW, in case you missed it. here are the highlights from Doncaster Rovers taking on Fleetwood in the English 2nd League:
Slightly random bet here that I am probably putting about 25% too much on.
Di Maria to score today – Yes (+260) @ 16
Special thanks go out to my Irish brothers at Paddy Power (!) for the line.