Last Week: 2-2-1
This moved down to +7, and now -6, when Watson tore his ACL in practice. I thought the Colts could keep it close before that injury, and I definitely do now (even for the 6-7 points) with Tom “Not So” Savage at QB for the Texans
LAR at NYG Over 39.5
This has gone up to 42!
Last Week: 2-3
Chargers vs Pats Over 48 (-115)
Steelers vs Lions Over 45 (-105)
Bears +9 (-110)
LAC/NE Over 48
Will post here with any football plays, frantically trying to go back in time and catch up on hockey and basketball.
Kansas St @ Kansas (+24 -106)
It is a depressing thought it is already Week 9 for College Football. Waaaaaaaaaaaay back at the beginning of the season I noted how tempting Kansas’ season over looked @ 3. Ultimately, it was a pass, based largely on analysis from Bill Connelly, who noted that the massive turnover Kansas was going to experience this year in their secondary was a giant, sprawling, waving in your face red flag re: defensive success. Thankfully, we have steered clear of the Jayhawks, but this seems like a good match-up to take a chance on them. Kansas St does not have one of the better aerial attacks in the Big-12, and 90% of the money is on the Wildcats. Kansas seems due, let’s hope.
Last Week: 3-2
First…hey, we have a podcast this week!
Now the picks:
Bears +3 (+105)
Bears are 3-0 ATS at home this year. The positive juice plus Cam Newton’s shoody QB play pretty much clinches this bet for us.
Green Bay +165
This is a game on the road the Saints always lose. Even to the backup QB.
Buffalo -3 (-120)
Seahawks at Giants Over 39
TEASER: MIN -4.5 and Under 38
Just saw the Ravens’ inactives on offense. Yeesh.
Math play here…and I feel this should be around 42. Defensive TDs should happen in this game.
NE/ATL Over 56
Last Week: 4-1
Sean and I talk about each division, with a focus the NFC South, NFC North and AFC West and why the US Soccer team failed to qualify for the World Cup (Spoiler: They are old)
New England vs New York Over 47.5 (-110)
No Stephon Gilmore on a Pats defense already reeling. I think even the Jets can score 20-24 today. Pats get Gronk back so offense should return to normal after soft performance last week in Tampa.
Dunno why Tampa favored on the road here. This should be a pick em or Arizona -1 IMO
Giants vs Broncos Over 38.5 (-115)
This is more of a math play. Both offenses terrible but watch randomness happen. And defensive TDs
80% of the money on Green Bay