‘Basketball’ Archive

Now this is What I am Talking About

Good work, Allen.  I don’t mean on the picks, but on getting crap down on the site.  Any outsider reading Allen’s posts may be potentially blown away by the in-depth knowledge Allen has for such a seemingly random team as William and Mary.  He refers to them multiple times as “The Tribe.”  Did anyone else [...]

Impulse Bets

Just for fun…here are my NBA impulse bets of the eve. Thunder +6.5 at Utah. Utah is coming off a terrific road trip where they came from behind (no pun intended) in every single win. They’ve been back in town just long enough to pat themselves on the back, call up the mistresses, and let [...]

“It’s the Most Wonderful Time of the Year”

Yes, it may be a little early for bowl commercials, but with the NFL in midseason form, college football entering rivalry/championship weekends, NBA entering early season stride, and ESPN’s 24 hour college bball marathon; it’s the perfect time to begin cataloging what is sure to be a whole lotta gambling. Let us begin: NCAA bball-How [...]

Congrats to Louis

Louis raped Vegas and myself by taking Duke at 15-1, 10-1 and 9-1 (with me) to win the National Championship at different stages before the tournament started.  I would never have placed any of those bets, kudos to Louis.

Sweet 16

Here we go. Cornell (+8.5) “@” Kentucky So apparently whoever the higher seed is, is labeled the home team.  This Cornell line is interesting.  I actually think it is very accurate, but what makes me like Cornell here is that I feel they have a much higher chance of winning than most 8 to 9 [...]

Big East Fail

Absolutely nothing doing on these Sweet 16 or NIT games. Butler looks to have peaked at +7.5 against Syracuse. It was a lean for me at that number, I’d have played it at 8, but it’s back down to 6.5 and a pass like the rest of the games. Northern Iowa is +1.5 against a [...]

More Tourney Talk

We clinched our Big East under with Pittsburgh losing to Xavier in the late game yesterday. That leaves the maximum Big East wins available at 15 and even that would require Syracuse meeting West Virginia in the championship game. It more than makes up for a disappointing round two gambling-wise. Of course, even though my [...]

NCAA Round 2

Worried about a top seed who nearly lost in round 1? Here’s something to consider. There are two schools of thought on being tested by a lesser opponent early in the tourney. The optimistic view is that a close game like that serves as a useful wake-up call, and that most teams play such a [...]

NCAA Conference Win Totals

Bookmaker has a prop up listing how many games each conference will win in this year’s NCAA tournament. My initial instinct was 7 1/2 wins for the ACC was way too low. The best (or second best) conference has six teams! How can they only be expected to win 7 or 8 games? Wayne Winston [...]

When Good/Great Programs Have a Down Year – Part 2

Following up on Pat’s post, below records against the spread for selected teams this year compared to their actual record the past two seasons: There have been some attempts to try and predict teams by using the number of minutes returning and then a variable to represent the quality of freshmen, but I’m not aware [...]