One Shining (Gambling) Moment
Final Four today……gonna be two really good games for a really good tournament and the most watched ever.
Since Lou inquired about this early in the week:
Since the start of the season Kentucky's future odds have gone from +300 to +5,000 to +260. http://t.co/qKs3GgLAjE
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) April 5, 2014
I’ll take UK -1 vs Wisconsin. I think they have the best talent left. Team is another story.
I also like UConn +6.5 vs Florida and I’ll also prob put them and UK in a teaser too*.
*I don’t feel bad about that last sentence being a risky bet b/c of the shear volume of baseball degeneracy below me.
Running for yo life!
Good luck today
Saturday
Winners all around yesterday. Wizards won outright and both the Oilers and Predators were winners in the late games. Apologies for getting my play up 5 minutes or so before whatever the euphemism is for starting a hockey game. One early play this afternoon and that’s Philadelphia +165 @ Boston. I am not a fan betting against this year’s Bruins side, but they seem to be resting up for the playoffs with the #1 seed all but confirmed. Winnipeg tonight is an option for the aggressive folks at Toronto.
In baseball, Mets are a lean and I am passing. Dodgers are showing up right now, which is probably a mistake, as well as Oakland both at 4:00.
Friday
We were all winners yesterday as Columbus shutout Philadelphia 2-0. I am really, really, really hoping Columbus gets drawn against Pittsburgh in the playoffs as that would give us a chance to repeat our Montreal/Washington heroics from a few years back. They’ll probably get Boston though who is much more suited to a long playoff run. 5-3 +3.58 on Columbus alone this season.
Mets, Jays and Astros are on the MLB shortlist as well as the away teams late in NHL, Nashville and Edmonton. Nothing confirmed yet so it may be an empty day. Edmonton is interesting as they are in Phoenix who have suddenly been awful and unable to score. Edmonton is just awful all around so it may be a decent gamble. Not sure if it will come to pass, but I’m always happy to encourage others to try :)
Lastly, the White Sox are currently in action and Tyler Flowers, White Sox catcher and career .206 hitter, is 2 for 2 so far following his 4 for 4 performance yesterday against the Twins. The Twins had a rare performance of their own yesterday with Worcester Tornado alum Chris Colabello getting 6 RBIs.
Updates if at all to be posted before gametime.
UPDATE: Some NBA! Wizards +5
UPDATE2: Nashville for +165
Thursday
Mets were a loser last night by a combination of scoring only 1 run and Bartolo Colon giving up a HR to the opposing pitcher with two strikes in the 5th. No day game action but we have a possible play on the Astros again who are going for the sweep against the Yankees. One hockey play tonight on our favorite team, Columbus +128.
MLB Plays 4/3
I outdid myself yesterday in my Over bet for Braves/Brewers. Yada, yada, yada, teams combined for 1 run. Yada, yada, yada, there were dueling no-hitters going in the 7th. Frankly, I’m not impressed. The Brewers couldn’t even have only given up an unearned run? I mean, that’s how you really stick it to an Over bettor. Go a combined 18 half innings and score when someone drops a pop-up. I mean, Hell, someone hit a home run in the game. That should count as an Over right there.
Washington Nationals @ NY Mets +1.5 -124 @ 14
MTD : 0.00
***UPDATE***
Mets got smacked around in the later innings today so our early play was a loser. Taking the under in Blue Jays/Rays. No Myers tonight and hopefully Archer is in a positive mood off his new contract. This bet probably hinges on Morrow not exploding on the mound.
Blue Jays / Rays Under 8 -110 @ 14
MTD : -14
Wednesday
Our single play yesterday was a winner as the Astros cruised in a 6-2 win. Houston is on the lean list today along one actual play and that is the Mets (Colon) +116. No hockey because back-to-backs ruin everything.
One random baseball thought to share today and it’s on the Cubs opening day lineup which was just filled with replacement level dreck. It looks much better against a righty tonight (though still not good). Something to be monitored the first few weeks especially before the inevitable callups begin that should improve things.
MLB Play(s) 4/2
Harang himself could possibly give up this Over. Garza pitched horrifically during Spring Training.
Braves @ Brewers Over 8.5 +108 @ 10
MTD : +10.00
MLB Play 4/1
Erasmo Ramirez is my boy. I had to unfortunately jettison him from my AL Keeper League at a good price. Let’s show him some love.
Mariners +1.5 -140 @ 14
MTD : 0.00
Tuesday
It was a rough Monday in both sports as all of our plays and potential plays were close losers. In baseball, our lean on the Mets and play on the Diamondbacks both lost as closers Parnell and Reed both blew saves. Hockey was not any better as Carolina lost in a shootout. Winnipeg turned into the most borderline of plays that I didn’t stick around to check on at 10 local time. It would have been a good play/poor result as Winnipeg got up to a 4-0 lead in the 2nd before setting the game on fire and losing in OT 5-4
No day baseball so everything is tonight. Typical light schedule on day 2 of the MLB season (day 11 using NCAA terminology).
One play tonight Yankees (Sabathia) @ Astros (Feldman) +132. Padres are a lean since the total is under 7. Hockey has Carolina and Florida showing as the only options and both played and lost last night.
Opening Day
It’s my favorite day of the year and effectively starts the new year For me so hooray to that. 1-0 on our leans with San Diego’s win and we have another leaner with the Mets and Gee hosting the Natinals. Possible play on Arizona tonight. Hockey later as well.
Just as a reminder that we will have plays on home teams underdogs up to +200 only with some other criteria. Unlike other sports baseball has a tangible benefit to batting last which benefits home teams in addition to the usual referee and travel biases that cover all sports. More on this as time allows…
UPDATE: All 4 away hockey games qualify for leans though there is only one play and that is Carolina EVEN at Ottawa. One baseball game as well Arizona +111
