Thursday
Royals lost in extras last night. We are running it back today, Cardinals (Wacha) @ Royals (Ventura) +106
Wednesday
Houston was an easy winner yesterday as was our total that I probably should have played. Rolling with the Royals tonight +114, Vargas v. Wainwright. Also another totals lean, Toronto/Detroit Under 9.
Tuesday
Only a single play today after looking at quite a few more (KC/STL Over and Padres for leaners). 1-1 on the leans yesterday.
Angels (Wilson) @ Astros (McHugh) +122
Last Day
Disappointing bubbling the WSOP Millionaire Maker (I finished 50 out of the money, Ace King losing to 98 of diamonds on 36675 board), but sports betting (thank you, Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics) and other degenerate ventures have been very profitable (I bet against the Red Sox just b/c Lackey was on the mound. Then I took that win and tripled it at the roulette table in 10 minutes), including a nice score at the Aria, winning a $125 tournament of over 287 players:
Fruits of a long days work @ariapoker #grind #shipit pic.twitter.com/TROmq19D1L
— Sean ♠️ (@Seanismoney) June 3, 2014
I also won a seat to the WPT $565 Deepstack Aria Open, which means I’ll be back here in July. Just in time for football futures (and bankroll leaks).
This is how good the trip has ended: after busting out of the Millionaire Maker on my way through the Bellagio, I find a $100 bill on the ground (which later was put in parlay that hit). Now THAT is a miracle cover!
Here are my picks today:
Mets EVEN
PHI/WSH over
Monday
Updates on our season standings coming soon. Seattle was an easy winner yesterday. Not much good tonight with only 8 games. Yankees and STL/KC Under are the best for leans.
Sunday
No plays today following our loss with Arizona last night. They failed to score which makes it difficult to win. There were two options today, Washington who is already underway hosting Texas, was a pass because of the low total (6.5) and Seattle was popping up as a option at home to Detroit because of some weird line moves that have now sorted themselves out. Our home underdog and small favorite subset has not been doing well across all of baseball so far this season and I’m starting to question if it’s only or primarily randomness. The good news has been the occasional total to fall back on.
More tomorrow and good luck to Sean.
Survivor
Pretty good day for me yesterday, despite me losing the Thunder bet (I ended up being quartered as I also too the over, but missed teaser/line/ml). The buzz in the WSOP at the end of the game was kinda neat though. Of the many moments that you take away from Vegas, the random guy going, “YEAH!” at any time for the various result he is desiring is truly a great, positive, human feeling of elation, relief, and joy. Who needs shrinks and prozacs when you have miracle cover run good to turn that frown upside down! I will say: I abhor the cigarette culture here. I’m surrounded by cig butt ash no matter where I go, which in a sense is a fun ironic metaphor for the ashes of the millions of dollars being set on fire in Vegas, ON A DAILY basis.
For yesterday, I went 3-1: missing the White Sox at +105…..but hit a UFC play (CB Dollaway +150), the Orioles at +110, the Athletics at -120, and those 3 in a parlay that paid out 10 to win 127. I also made it to Day 2 of the WSOP Millionaire Maker NLHE tournament with 18.2k in chips. Not bad for a “day”s work”.
Things I like today:
Blackhawks/Kings Under 5 at -105 (Game 7, I expect the best from these two goalies)
Blue Jays/Royals Under 8.5 -110 (Buerhle has pitched well lately)
Cubs +128
Giants +100
A’s -142 (I might also look at taking them winning the AL at some point, they are due. I’ll need to look at this more, and hope I won’t be able to because that will mean I am still playing poker or $1.3 million dollars)
Leave you with this interesting nugget on Spurs futures for the title:
While the #Heat never had higher odds than +280 to win the title, the #Spurs were listed at +1500 back on Feb 14th. pic.twitter.com/lb5U9DaVVm
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) June 1, 2014
Arizona -110
that is all
Friday
Sean’s in Vegas and I’m trying to break a losing streak by going to New Jersey. Life is weird. 1-1 last night for a miniscule profit as Houston won their 6th in a row and Seattle missed Robinson Cano who was scratched during warmups of a 7-5 loss. One total tonight as we are fading a very average Rays team and a Red Sox team with too many lefties against David Price. TB/BOS UNDER 7.5 Evens.
Vegas Thunder
First dispatch from Vegas and the WSOP here…..had a good cash game session last night, and when I checked into my room, the floor I was staying on, smelled like a rap concert. Good karma, indeed.
I’m going to take all of the profit I made from poker and put it on the Thunder -3 (now -3.5 and moving quick), as well as tease them with the over 207, all at -110.
I like the Thunder for 4 reasons:
1) They are the second best scoring team at home, behind the Warriors. They have won 22 out of their last 24 games at home. This means Ibaka doesn’t have to play much/well to make a difference like he will have to in a potential Game 7.
2) The Spurs are old and old teams tend to not do so well on the one day turnaround. The Celtics during the Garnett years were famous for this.
3) “The Game 6, down 3-2 at home” bet theory I have which has been pretty +EV for me over various sports in my betting years. They also got blown out last game. Teams usually respond with their backs against the wall here.
4) The NBA fix is in. The Heat/Pacers series has been a snorefest, with the only story off interest being Lance Stevenson affectionately blowing into LeBron’s ear. This has been a home-and-home series. The NBA needs that Game 7 revenue, and I smell either Duncan enemy Joey Crawford or Dick Bavetta getting called out of the bullpen here.
I also like the Mets +116 tonight against the Phillies. Their starting pitcher Montero can no where be as bad as this guy:
Funny part is, 50 Cent was reportedly throwing strikes in warm-ups, just like the Mets’ bullpen.
