World Cup Today 6/19
First, I’d like to recommend a trend for live bettors (such as myself) for these WC games, especially in venues like Manaus (which is in the Amazon) and Brasilia (near a mountain), where either the humidity is often VERY high, or the altitude is high, and that trend is second half scoring.
In this WC, we have already had 6 comebacks. Also, the majority of the goals have been scored in the second half. This is mostly due to fatigue, and as the second games loom, teams moving forward because they need a win rather than a result (see: Australia v NED yesterday, by far the most exciting game so far this WC).
So when the game starts, take a look at the “second half to be highest scoring half” line and take a plunge. I made a nice 25 unit score during the Cameroon v Croatia games as that line was +250 (and this was before Arsenal’s Alex Song got that god awful red card at the end of the 1st half…so make sure you take it early). On a side note, Croatia v Mexico looking to be like a great game.
I am angry I missed betting against Spain yesterday. Chile was essentially playing a home game against futbol’s version of the 2012 Boston Celtics (a once great team with old geezers and a key missing defensive part like Puyol).
Here are my bets today:
Ivory Coast +280
Uruguay v England Under 2.5 +110 (and will also hedge second half with over goals)
Japan +110 and the draw at +250
I leave you with this wonderful vine from the Spurs parade yesterday. Gotta love Pop being a dick:
Bet you can't watch just once https://t.co/GltUdeDLhh
— Michael Smith (@michaelsmith) June 19, 2014
Wednesday
No baseball again today. Sox were an easy 8-2 winner last night because Matt Cain has morphed into Marco Estrada over the past 6 weeks. Soccer is easier with wingers.
Tuesday
No baseball for us either yesterday or over the weekend. There were not many home underdogs or small favorites to pick from, and I did not run the totals engine at all. There is a single play today:
Giants (Cain)@ White Sox (Danks) +110
I have been looking for some World Cup plays, but the public betting information is not very reliable so I’m hesitant to put anything but the smallest plays down, not that there have been many. Thanks to Sean for posting actual content!!!
World Cup 6/17
South Korea +375
Belgium/Algeria Under 2.5 at +150
Brazil 2, Mexico 1 score at 7-to-1
World Cup Today
Columbia-Greece Draw +230 and Colombia 1-0 at 4-1
Italy-England Under 2 -105 and England +180
Japan +170
Costa Rica +850 (small play; Suarez is out today)
Rainy Friday
Two winners yesterday to get us back on track as most of the home teams won. No plays tonight
Cross Bets
Here are my plays today:
Brazil -1.5 @ -120
Brazil 2-0 at 4-1 and Brazil 3-1 at 12-1
Brazil is unbeaten (15-0-2) in 17 straight World Cup openers, winning 8 in a row. Host nations are undefeated in World Cup openers (14-0-6).
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) June 12, 2014
Also, for those of you wondering (and you know who you are *coughpatdartscough*):
World Cup Over/Under props:
Goals: 158.5
Yellow Cards: 275.5
Red Cards: 18.5
Corners: 647.5
PK's scored: 32.5
PK's missed: 12.5— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) June 12, 2014
Here’s an MLB nugget for Lou:
This season MLB underdogs receiving less than 30% of moneyline bets have gone 146-181 for +12.67 units and a 3.9% ROI http://t.co/jOoQ5rVL1h
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) June 12, 2014
I also like Miami -5 and in a teaser with the over 197 in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. More from the good folks at Bet Labs:
During the Big Three era the #Heat have gone 10-0 ATS following a playoff loss of more than 10 points. #NBAFinals http://t.co/WrWa9IpHKq
— Bet Labs Sports (@Bet_Labs) June 8, 2014
World Cup Bets
Not much for me so far, but we’ll try and figure out based on the betting patterns which games are fixed :(
Will England advance from group – No +141
Will France win Group – Yes -134
Argentina to win World Cup making everyone in Brazil sad +393
