Saturday
I assume most or none of you care that our Alberta leans were 0-2 yesterday. Sean is correct about today’s games, we are staying on the Islanders as they are only slightly inferior to the Penguins. Islanders +140 @ Pittsburgh. Colorado +140 is a lean at Montreal. NFL late tonight or early in the morning.
UPDATE: An NFL play for tomorrow Cincinnati +3 +105 @ Indy
Friday
No plays yesterday but our lean on the Islanders was good as they won in a shootout 4-3. Two more leans today both involving Alberta:
Calgary +150 @ Columbus and Vancouver @ Edmonton +130. Hopefully we’ll get an actual play again soon.
Thursday
Nothing much doing tonight. New Jersey was the best chance of a play tonight but they are not close anymore. Lean on the official team of MC this season Islanders +106
Leans
I like the Oilers +165 tonight at Arizona (they lost 7-4 #meh….but the fucking Oilers scored 4 goals! That should win me something in principle!).
Also a weather alert: the under in tomorrow’s NE vs NYJ game at 44.5 AND 45 (it is going to be raining with high winds expected all game; also the Pats are missing 3 OL and their starting RB, and the Jets are the Jets). A teaser with NE -10 might be in order as well.
Interesting action on the O/U line tonight:
Despite 63% of bettors taking the over, the #Jets #Patriots total has dropped from 47 to 44.http://t.co/Ba8mkeUapZ
— Action Labs (@ActionLabs_HQ) October 16, 2014
Update Wednesday
Apologies for the late post, but you’re not missing anything. Zero plays or potential plays today. We were 2-0 yesterday making up for an 0-3 NFL week. The numbers on the Buffalo game were all over the place but settled firmly into the range we were looking for. They made things difficult blowing a 3-1 lead with 9 minutes remaining but won the shootout, as did Calgary. As a hockey fan, the shootout and loser point are awful, but for gambling it’s great.
NHL 3-3 +1.8
NFL 4-7 -2.51
MLB Regular Season Closed at a disappointing 41-40 +3.72 Playoffs are 1-0 +1.5 :)
Sharks/Islanders should be an excellent game tomorrow.
Tuesday
I was really missing Al Michaels last night, watching the Rams futilely try and cover last night in front of a home crowd that resembled a preseason contest more than anything else. After missing an easy touchdown and settling for a FG on the previous drive, the Rams actually had a chance to tie or win at the end, but no one including their friends and families expected them to do so. QB Austin Davis threw a pick-6 instead, something that also happened in the other two games I wagered on this weekend. A record if there ever was one.
I was all set to have a play on Buffalo tonight, but it doesn’t look like the numbers are going to support that as people other than Pat have realized how terrible the Hurricanes are at the moment. Buffalo stinks too so this may be a movable force versus resistible object situation. Buffalo +150 does go in the leaner column tonight. One confirmed play and that’s Calgary +161 @ Nashville
UPDATE: Numbers were all over the place. Buffalo is a go at +160
Miracle Cover Sunday
If you ever read a story with the words, “Floyd Mayweather did well,” combined with, “Vegas bookmakers lost…” it probably holds true that Lou also lost money on the same events.
Two last-second interceptions returned for touchdowns by the Denver Broncos and Arizona Cardinals delivered million-dollar blows to Las Vegas sports books, including a $600,000 hit from boxing champ Floyd Mayweather Jr.
I was lamenting ending up with a poor line for both the Jets and Washington, but it didn’t make a difference in the end. I shrugged my shoulders at the Geno Smith INT in the early games, but was a bit flustered after INT #2 in the afternoon, especially as I thought Arizona had run out the clock. I also think I saw a 23-20 final posted at some point. I’m reminded of the day 4-5 years ago when I refused to let Sean & Pat leave the bar with the Lions down 10 (but covering) in Seattle with under a minute to play and no other games to be found because “I was sweating a Matt Stafford Pick-Six.” He promptly threw said interception two plays later and I went home winless that day too.
And it was a miracle cover.
Four games in hockey including Avs-Bruins which has already started. No plays out of the bunch. Kansas City might be playable in baseball but it’s far too early to tell and will be close if it turns out to be good. Rams are the side to be on tonight at home to San Francisco and I’ll update if I end up taking them.
UPDATE: 49ers @ Rams +4 -115 Good price and a good line, we’ll see if the result works out.
Sunday
1-1 on our hockey plays yesterday pushing us to 1-3 for the season. Ottawa was a winner in the shootout, but Winnipeg was never in the game versus San Jose losing 3-0. Our initial NFL experiment was a failure with both the Redskins and Jets lines moving in the opposite direction, but that’s probably just an indication I picked the wrong teams this week. Nothing doing on either NHL game later today.
